Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fairmount Park
Saturday - April 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FP-1   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(1/5/2/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(1/5/2/4/3)-(5/8/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FP-2   WIN (1/5/2/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/4/3)-(1/5/2/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/4/3)-(1/5/2/4/3)-(1/5/2/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/4/3)-(5/8/2)-(6/2/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FP-3   WIN (5/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/2)-(5/8/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/2)-(5/8/7/2)-(5/8/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2)-(6/2/1/3)-(3/2/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FP-4   WIN (6/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/3)-(3/2/4/6)-(5/3/7/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FP-5   WIN (3/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/6)-(5/3/7/6)-(7/3/4/1/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FP-6   WIN (5/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/6)-(7/3/4/1/6)-(3/4/8/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FP-7   WIN (7/3/4/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/1/6)-(7/3/4/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/1/6)-(7/3/4/1/6)-(7/3/4/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/4/1/6)-(3/4/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FP-8   WIN (3/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/5)-(3/4/6/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/5)-(3/4/6/8/5)-(3/4/6/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FP-1   04/26/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYDNEY'S JOY Mar22 Feb28       (lynch harry )BETHKE A 126 8.00    
MY MAMA SEZ Oct08 Jul23 Jun25 Jun11   (martin dawn)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 10.00 7% 12.90    
MOON RIDGE Sep27 Sep11 Aug21 Jul04 Jun22 (watkins j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 2.00 44% 1.30    
TOUR DE' PORT Apr03 May07 Apr16 Nov07 Oct19 (quinonez m)GALLARDO EDUARDO 126 4.00    
BOGGALITA         (lynch e)DIEGO JAVIER 118 8.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  I BE GONE Dec15 Oct16 Aug30 Aug16 May03 (higgins denn)GILES EMMANUEL 126 6.00    
SCR  DERBY DAY GOLD Oct31 Oct22 Oct08 Sep17 Sep03 (retana gabe)LOPEZ A 126 3.00    
 
FP-2   04/26/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED LABEL Apr03 Jul14 Jun16 May04 Apr17 (lynch harr)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
SEMINOLE BEACH Apr06 Dec11 Nov20 Oct31 Oct22 (blea jr)DIEGO JAVIER 124 8.00 13% 7.00    
SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY Apr03 Oct19 Sep30 Aug27 Jul23 (bentler don)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
RACE DRIVER Apr10 Dec18 Nov23 May16 Apr26 (martinez )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 4.50 9% 10.20    
SANTINO'S FANTASY Nov30 Oct22 Oct05 Sep24 Sep03 (martinez a)LOPEZ A 124 8.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  BERNIE LOMAX Oct31 Oct12 Sep24 Sep05 Aug17 (manley steve)WALES T 124 2.50    
LAYTON THE DAY Oct26 Oct08 Sep17 Sep07 Aug17 (plasters lo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 10.00    
XPRESSIR Oct29 Oct15 Oct05 Aug31 Jul27 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
KARAYEL Nov02 Sep14 Jul20 Jun22 Jun04 (randazzo ted)GILES EMMANUEL 124 20.00    
10  SWISS GUARD Oct31 Oct22 Oct05 Sep14 Aug27 (plasters lori)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 6.00    
 
FP-3   04/26/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARNACK ON TOUR Nov02 Oct22 Oct08 Aug24 Aug10 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 124 3.00    
HOLCOMBE Oct17 Oct02 Aug30 May14 Apr30 (durham mike)WALES T 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPAN Apr10 Jan02 Nov21 Oct29 Oct15 (blea t)ORTEGA JOSEPH 114 10.00    
SENOR MIKE Apr10 Oct24 Oct12 Oct31 Oct07 (pompell rober)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 12.00    
OATHBREAKER Feb23 Jan23 Oct28 Sep26 Aug15 (martinez ral)BETHKE A 124 1.20 66% 0.50    
BEST MAN SPEECH Oct15 Sep28 Sep10 Aug24 Aug06 (lynch harry)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 10.00    
DURANGO CHROME Apr10 Jul02 Jun15 Jun04 May07 (blea tony)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 5.00    
CROWN ROYAL KID Dec04 Oct17 Sep14 Aug20 Aug08 (higgins denn)GILES EMMANUEL 124 8.00 6% 15.30    
 
FP-4   04/26/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINNESOTA MOON Mar28 Nov02 Oct22 Oct12 Oct01 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 6.00 13% 6.50    
ALIBI IKE Apr10 Feb08 Jan07 Dec10 Nov12 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 8.00 15% 5.80    
CANTSTEALMYTHUNDER Nov27 Oct24 Oct13 Sep15 Aug29 (martinez ralp)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
VIOLENZA D'ORO Nov02 Sep24 Sep14 Jul09 Jun22 (randazzo )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 10.00    
SCR  BROKEN JUSTICE Mar19 Feb26 Jan18 Dec04 Nov14 (fridley ste)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.00    
OFF TO THE RACES Nov02 Oct22 Oct05 Sep03 Aug20 (watkins jam)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  PLAIN OR PEANUT Apr13 Mar30 Nov25 Nov17 Oct20 (blea jr)DIEGO JAVIER 124 12.00    
TAPINYOURBLUEJEANS Oct26 Sep21 Aug31 Aug06 Jul09 (becker scott)WALES T 124 3.00    
 
FP-5   04/26/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEMAND RANSOM Oct29 Oct22 Oct13 Oct03 Sep19 (hughes earl)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 10.00    
ONE WAY HOME Apr10 Mar27 Nov02 Oct24 Oct12 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
TONYS MORNING LINE Oct08 Sep14 Aug29 Aug17 Jul21 (manley steve)WALES T 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
D' YANK Oct12 Sep28 Sep03 Aug17 Jul30 (martinez ralp)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
INSIDE THE CIRCLE Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 Aug13 (lynch e)DIEGO JAVIER 124 8.00    
SAFE Nov02 Oct12 Sep24 Sep03 Jun29 (martinez-linares )LOPEZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE MIGHTY MAN Oct31 Oct12 Sep24 Sep03 Aug17 (appleton josh)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 4.00    
 
FP-6   04/26/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET THROUGH Nov02 Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 Sep03 (plasters lori)DIEGO JAVIER 124 2.00    
STROLLNTOTHEMARKET Mar28 Mar14 Oct13 Sep23 Sep13 (clay pat)BETHKE A 124 6.00    
SKYLANE Nov02 Oct24 Oct06 Sep22 Sep05 (randazzo frank )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 4.00 9% 10.10    
LATE BLACKSMITH Mar30 Dec06 Oct29 Oct15 Sep28 (lopez eli)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
MR. CHIVAS Dec05 Nov02 Oct17 Oct01 Aug27 (manley steve)WALES T 124 3.00 64% 0.60    
MISTER SHARPIE Oct05 Sep16 Aug05 Jul27 Jun29 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SOMNUS (GB) Mar30 Oct31 Oct19 Oct01 Sep14 (lynch e)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
DRAGGING MAIN Oct05 Sep21 Sep10 Aug31 Aug17 (durham mike)LOPEZ A 124 12.00    
 
FP-7   04/26/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKIN FOR BALA Oct17 Sep14 Aug31 May11 Apr21 (essenpreis ed)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
FAITHFUL RULER Aug29 Aug01 Jun10 May11 Apr21 (watkins ja)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 4.50    
ST. LOUIE LOUIE Oct26 Oct08 Sep21 Sep07 Jul20 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
KING CAB Mar29 Nov08 Sep22 Aug17 Feb29 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00 19% 4.20    
FEVER NATION Jan03 Oct29 Sep03 Aug10 Jul23 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 6.00    
SWAGGY GEORGE Oct17 Oct05 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 (durham mike)BETHKE A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
MEGAN'S HONOR Aug08 Jul07 Jun09 May26 Apr13 (becker scott)WALES T 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
CLYDE'S GREEN GO Apr10 Sep05 Jul27 Jun02 May12 (pompell r)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 126 10.00    
GOLD SMOKE Oct17 Aug29 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (essenpreis edward)LOPEZ A 124 6.00    
 
FP-8   04/26/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANG TUFF Nov02 Jun23       (pompell rob)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 15.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of SASSY BUCK by KUGELIS)
STEVE Oct31 Oct08 Aug24 Aug06   (appleton jos)BETHKE A 118 12.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of MISS HOPPER by GRASSHOPPER)
ZEE FIRE Dec22 Dec06 Nov02 Oct17 Sep03 (becker scott)WALES T 126 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by FIRING LINE out of SHEZAPPEALING by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
AWESOME DREW         (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 6.00 36% 1.80    
  (by AWESOME OF COURSE out of PIGEON CREEK by BROOKS 'N DOWN)
HARLEY'SRUNAWAYKID Oct31 Aug06 Jul09 Jun23 Jun11 (lynch harry )GILES EMMANUEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DURANGO KID out of RUN AWAY GAL by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
PLAYGROUND WARRIOR Mar30         (blea tony)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 3.50    
  (by DRILL SERGEANT out of LEGACY TYPE by WILDCAT HEIR)
SOMETHINTOBELIEVEN Oct31 Sep10 Aug24 Aug06   (pompell robert)DIEGO JAVIER 118 4.50    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of MAGIC CHAPEL by CHAPEL ROYAL)
CHEF RAY WILEY Jun15 May18 Apr20     (rednour john )SANTOS ADEMAR 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BROWN EYED BANDITA by BIG BROWN)
ADIOS KID Mar13 Feb21 Nov21 Oct31 Oct22 (delong ben)GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 10.00    
  (by PATAKY KID out of LOVE IN PARIS by NOT FOR LOVE)
10  STORMY ATTACK Oct22 Sep10 Aug24     (rednour joh)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 20.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of MISS GIGI by CRIMSON CLASSIC)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.