Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - April 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(3/1/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(3/1/6)-(4/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-2   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/7/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(4/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(4/6/1)-(6/4/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-3   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(6/4/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(6/4/7)-(7/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-4   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(7/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7)-(7/1/2)-(4/3/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-5   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(4/3/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(4/3/7/5)-(4/3/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-6   WIN (4/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/5)-(4/3/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/5)-(4/3/7/5)-(4/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/7/5)-(4/3/6/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/5)-(4/3/6/1)-(3/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-7   WIN (4/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/1)-(4/3/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/1)-(4/3/6/1)-(4/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/6/1)-(3/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/1)-(3/1/5)-(5/3/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-8   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(5/3/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
WRD-9   WIN (5/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/7)-(5/3/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/7)-(5/3/6/7)-(5/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   04/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUPID'S THUNDER Mar19 Dec05 Nov16 Nov06 Oct17 (swan e)WADE LYNDIE 120 12.00    
2  CLOUDY HOLIDAY Mar19 Mar01 Feb05 Dec13 Nov03 (arceo sal)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 1.80 31% 2.20    
3  OUR MOON PIE Mar31 Dec07 Nov16 Oct16 Sep18 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 125 3.00 44% 1.30    
4  BARREL THIEF Mar31 Mar08 Feb07 Jul07 Jun09 (jacquot gene)BIRZER E 125 5.00    
5  BUTCHY BOY Mar24 Mar11 Feb20 Jan08 Dec19 (dixon tim)KIMES C 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  I AM GRODD Mar26 Feb08 Jan17 Dec12 Nov07 (williams )TRIANA JR 125 2.00    
 
WRD-2   04/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTO DIAL Mar31 Mar06 Jul29 Apr13 Mar07 (anderson )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 3.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  BEAUDACIOUS COLTON Mar31 Dec13 Nov14 Oct25 Oct16 (swan e)WADE LYNDIE 125 5.00    
3  STORM MAN Mar29 Mar07 Feb02 Apr26 Mar03 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 125 1.60 51% 0.90    
4  LIGHT THE CODE Mar18 Dec07 Nov16 Oct25 Oct05 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 125 4.00    
5  MR SEEKER Jan26 Jul18 Jul11 Jun20 Jun06 (ibarra jose)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 20.00    
6  MADETHEDEAN'SLIST Mar31 Nov08 Sep20 Aug30 Aug10 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  COMPUTING CHAMP Apr01 Mar04 Feb01 Jan17 Dec13 (valdivia )TRIANA JR 120 5.00 ★    
 
WRD-3   04/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED PRINCE Mar17 Feb14 Jan19 Dec14 Oct17 (chleborad lynn)ROMAN KEVIN 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LITTLE RANDY Apr02 Feb07 Jan25 Nov23 Nov14 (dixon tim)KIMES C 120 6.00    
3  WINDTAPPER WIN Mar31 Mar17 Mar03 Jan30 Dec20 (dixon )FLETCHER D 125 20.00    
4  LEMON MERINGUE Mar31 Mar17 Feb16 Jan24 Dec20 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 125 1.60 50% 1.00    
5  NADA YADA YADA Dec12 Nov23 Oct31 Oct16 Sep12 (cogburn o)TRIANA JR 125 6.00    
6  CAT COUNTY Mar17 Mar03 Feb21 Feb07 Jan27 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 3.50 24% 3.10    
7  BIG WALK Mar26 Mar11 Mar02 Feb15 Dec07 (ashford ray)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 3.00    
 
WRD-4   04/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOM'S GIRL Mar26 Mar11 Mar03 Dec13 Dec04 (buehrer w)SANCHEZ OBED 122 5.00    
2  MORO LINGERIE Mar01 Jan10 Nov29 Nov13 Nov01 (williams )TRIANA JR 122 5.00    
3  INCLUDING ELLIE Mar25 Mar11 Jan26 Dec13 Dec04 (mcdanie)GONCALVES R 125 2.50    
4  RUBY THE DESTROYER Apr07 Mar19 Mar11 Feb08 Jan19 (davidson )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SORCERER'S GIRL Mar26 Mar11 Feb15 Jan24 Dec27 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 3.00    
6  WAR MUSIC Mar26 Mar11 Feb24 Jan24 Dec15 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 122 4.00 64% 0.60    
7  WITSEC Apr07 Mar24 Mar10 Dec11 Nov25 (wilson)FLETCHER D 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-5   04/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC CASTLE Apr01 Jan15 Dec28 Dec06 Sep05 (villafranco f)LARA EZEQUIEL 125 2.50 23% 3.30    
2  SLICK COUNTRY BOY Mar24 Mar10 Nov16 Nov02 Oct11 (oberlander jess)ROMAN KEVIN 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MISTER WAYSIDE Apr01 Mar19 Dec07 Nov29 Nov08 (abney mike)QUINONEZ B 122 4.00    
4  HE'S ALL EARS Dec07 Nov09 Oct18 Oct09 Sep12 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 122 6.00    
5  CINCO MAJESTIC Apr01 Mar10 Feb16 Dec20 Nov06 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 125 5.00 ★    
6  SANTA CRUISER Apr01 Jan26 Dec20 Dec01 Oct30 (martinez )TRIANA JR 125 6.00    
7  OUR CORNERSTONE Mar25 Mar04 Dec11 Nov18 Oct18 (stephens )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
WRD-6   04/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARQUEE LADY Nov26 Nov14 Oct30 Oct09 Sep12 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 122 12.00    
2  SEXY BROWN Mar17 Dec12 Nov25 Nov02 Oct09 (cogburn l)KIMES C 122 5.00    
3  MAMASHAVNAHOTFLASH Apr02 Mar17 Feb28 Jan17 Dec12 (davidson bren)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
4  CHAPARRITA Apr02 Mar01 Jan31 Jan05 Dec12 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 125 2.50 46% 1.20    
5  PAULA M Apr01 Dec05 Oct18 Sep12 Aug29 (williams alan)ROMAN KEVIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  NEUTRALIZE Mar17 Mar04 Jan05 Dec05 Oct10 (lee mark)QUINONEZ B 122 4.50    
7  SMART OKIE Apr02 Mar17 Mar04 Dec05 Nov25 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 125 3.50 11% 8.10    
 
WRD-7   04/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEGATAP Mar24 Feb28 Feb08 Sep27 Sep06 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 12.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  UNITED PATRIOT Mar30 Mar07 Feb02 Jan10 Dec11 (roberts bl)SANCHEZ OBED 119 5.00    
3  RACE DAY REBAL Mar31 Mar18 Dec06 Nov16 Oct31 (william)GONCALVES R 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
4  THICK HAZE Mar08 Feb09 Jan19 Oct19 Sep21 (roberts b)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 4.50 29% 2.50    
5  LEADING THE CAUSE Mar18 Mar03 Dec14 Oct29 Sep09 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 12.00    
6  ASSET BASIS Mar24 Mar03 Jan23 Dec13 Aug12 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 122 2.50 18% 4.70    
7  ONCE UPON A DREAM Mar18 Mar04 Dec05 Nov15 Oct16 (buehrer m)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 119 6.00    
8  EASY BIG BOY Mar31 Jan08 Dec19 Dec06 Nov22 (dixon tim)KIMES C 119 10.00    
 
WRD-8   04/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Wilma Mankiller Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAY LIGHTNING Jun06 Apr29 Mar18 Dec20 Nov15 (hernandez)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of FAIRY GRAY by CAT THIEF)
2  PALACEIN Mar03 Feb08 Nov13 Sep29 Aug30 (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 2.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of NAPLES GOLD by LANGFUHR)
3  TAKE ME SERIOUS Mar24 Nov25 Oct18 Sep26 Aug23 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 126 2.00 44% 1.20    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SOUTHERN EQUITY by AFTER MARKET)
4  BIRDIE BE GONE Nov25 Nov02 Aug31 Aug10 Jul07 (biehler michael)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00    
  (by WILBURN out of BLUE GENE SONG by BUDDHA)
5  STONE COLD LOVER Mar08 Dec27 Nov15 Oct24 Jun26 (corderman)TRIANA JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of FULL OF SASS by BORREGO)
6  MERASOL SUGAR Feb02 Dec22 Jul05 Jun15 Jun01 (ortiz alexa)BIRZER E 126 4.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CHANEL NUMBER MINE by VALUE PLUS)
 
WRD-9   04/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICKS NIGHT OUT Dec06         (led)ZABALA CASTILLO 120 20.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of MS J J R by KANTHAROS)
2  BEVERLY DINER Apr02         (villafranco frederi)KIMES C 120 15.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of DARN GOOD by SASHA'S PROSPECT)
3  GETTIN OUT OF HERE Mar17 Mar03 Nov30 Nov02 Sep29 (ashford tristan)BIRZER E 120 6.00 9% 10.20    
  (by FLAT OUT out of STREET ANGEL by PICCOLINO)
4  ONE EYE SUPER FLY Mar31 Oct12       (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 120 3.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of SYNERSIS by WITH APPROVAL)
5  MI SONRISA Jul12 Jun09       (bravo f)GONCALVES R 125 2.50 63% 0.60    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of R LADY HANSEN by HANSEN)
6  AMARONA SIOUX         (lee mark)QUINONEZ B 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WILBURN out of BRICKLEY SIOUX by BRICKTOWN CAT)
7  ELLA OKIE         (padilla j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAVVY out of JAZZY OKIE by KING OF SCAT)
8  GO LAUREN GO Nov18 Oct12 Sep29 Sep11 Aug17 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 120 3.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SWEETLY SASSY by LEMON DROP KID)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.