Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Friday - January 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (7/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/6/3)-(3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/3)-(3/1/4)-(2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SA-2   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(2)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SA-3   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/3) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2)-(6/1/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2)-(6/1/2)-(1/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SA-4   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(1/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(1/2/3/4)-(7/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-5   WIN (1/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/4)-(1/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/4)-(1/2/3/4)-(1/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/4)-(7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/4)-(7/2/6)-(2/4/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-6   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(2/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(2/4/3/1)-(5/2/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-7   WIN (2/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/1)-(5/2/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
SA-8   WIN (5/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/7)-(5/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/7)-(5/2/3/7)-(5/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   01/17/2025 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RICE PADDY Dec08 Nov16       (lopez georg)HERRERA A 122 3.50 27% 2.80    
2  MOLLY JENSEN Oct18         (glatt mark)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 2.00    
3  AGGRO Dec26         (mullins jeff)BAZE C 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  BEAUTY JENNY Nov08         (gomez ruben)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 20.00    
5  GEMADINI Dec14 Oct27 Aug31     (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 12.00    
6  PRIME AND READY Dec14 Oct20 Sep21     (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.80 18% 4.50    
7  READY TO DARE Dec08 Oct20 Sep06 Jul27   (puype mike)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
 
SA-2   01/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN WITHOUT KNOCKIN Nov30 Nov01 Oct20 Sep14 Aug02 (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 124 2.00 25% 3.10    
2  YOUR ROYAL FLYNESS Dec18 Nov23 Oct27 Sep14 Jul07 (taylor faith)OROZCO E 124 4.50    
3  BET THE CHALK Nov29 Oct05 Aug11 Jun30   (meier r)BAZE C 124 1.40 43% 1.40    
4  MISS PERU Dec13 Nov15 Nov01 Oct05 Sep13 (rondan f)BAUTISTA J 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MINERAL RIGHTS Dec18 Nov23 Oct13 Jul13 Jun15 (paldaniu)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 3.00    
 
SA-3   01/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAMPETT Dec15 Oct26 Sep05 Aug16 Mar12 (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00    
2  CODE DUELLO Dec28 Oct05 Sep06 Jul28 Mar11 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
3  COWBOY MIKE Sep14 Jun22 May04 Mar23 Mar04 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.20 ★    
4  SAQEEL Nov22 Oct06 Jun29 May26 Apr20 (cerin vladi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.50    
SCR  MY MAN BAGS Dec13 Sep15 Aug26 Aug05 Jun18 (lopez georg)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 20.00    
 
SA-4   01/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISABEL LUDLOW Dec15 Nov10 Oct13 Sep27 Jul14 (glatt mark)HERRERA A 124 4.00 13% 6.40    
2  SAPADILLA Dec15 Nov24 Oct12 Sep08 Jul28 (papaprodrom)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHEEKY GAL Dec15 Oct13 Sep02 Feb23 Feb02 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.50    
4  SOLID TUNE Jan01 Nov17 Sep27 Aug30 Aug01 (marquez alfred)LEZCANO ABEL 124 15.00    
5  STELLAR CAP Dec28 Dec14 Sep20 Sep07 Aug01 (knapp steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00    
6  SHARP RIDE Dec07 Oct20 Sep07 Aug08 Jun08 (pederson dean)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 3.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  BEAU SOLEIL Dec15 Nov24 Aug25 Jul28 May11 (hess b)BAZE C 124 4.50    
 
SA-5   01/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANITANEWMERCEDES Dec08 Oct31 Oct14 Sep28 Aug04 (tamayo isi)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 31% 2.20    
2  TRUSTY RUSTY Dec18 Nov24 Nov01 Oct14 Sep28 (calv)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
3  SO I'M TOLD Jan01 Nov19 Oct13 Aug10 Jul07 (valenzuela )AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 12.00 10% 9.30    
4  SUPERNAL Nov23 Oct27 Sep29 Aug25 Aug04 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 8.00 8% 10.90    
5  AURELIAN MAN Nov24 Oct20 Sep07 Aug01 Jun07 (marquez alfred)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.50    
6  THIRTY FOUR COUPE Nov22 Oct27 Jan14 Nov19 Nov02 (miyadi steven)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00    
7  BEE CATCHER Dec06 Nov23 Nov15 Oct20 Sep01 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 4.00    
 
SA-6   01/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($31K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROUSING JEWEL Dec13 Nov30 Nov08 May04 Mar10 (pederson de)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 5.00    
2  TIGER QUEEN Nov23 Oct06 Sep22 Aug10 Jul28 (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 124 10.00 25% 2.90    
3  FIVE O COCKTAIL May04 Apr06 Feb24 Jan28 Dec26 (ramirez miguel)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00    
4  A REAL JEWEL Dec13 Nov15 Oct14 Sep02 Aug17 (ramos je)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 8.00    
SCR  VICTORIA'S CHARGE Dec13 Nov30 Nov09 Oct25 Sep14 (markle dan)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50    
6  HAPPY DANCER Dec17 Dec02 Nov29 Nov18 Sep21 (sherman m)DURAN F 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  ATTRACTED Nov30 Nov02       (wright blain)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 1.80 52% 0.90    
8  BLUE WILDCAT Dec13 Nov30 Mar10 Feb18 Jan01 (tamayo isidro)ALVARADO T 124 12.00    
 
SA-7   01/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($61K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DENDERA Dec26 Aug29 Aug01 Jul05 Jun14 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 15.00 8% 11.50    
2  STOP DIGGING Dec26 Nov24 Oct20 Aug29 Jul26 (callaghan s)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 1.60 35% 1.90    
3  SMILING LADY Nov30 Nov17 Aug29 Aug01 Jun22 (calvario sa)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 3.00 9% 10.10    
4  NOTHING IS FOREVER Dec06 Nov02 Oct05 Aug29 Aug16 (mathis andy)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
5  GIRLCANTHELPIT Jan01 Nov24 Oct11 Aug29 Aug01 (mandella gary)BAZE C 122 20.00    
6  NANCI GRIFFITH Jan01 Nov24 Oct06 Sep20 Aug30 (miyadi steven)FRESU ANTONIO 122 4.50    
7  LOVE OUR FAMILY Jan01 Nov24 Oct20 Oct06 Sep20 (stu)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 6.00    
 
SA-8   01/17/2025 4290ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE JOHN Jan04 Nov23 Oct20 Aug16 Aug03 (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 6.00    
2  PLAYER B Jan01 Dec26 Nov16 Jun07 May19 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 1.80 21% 3.80    
3  MISCHIEVOUS PADDY Nov05 Oct21       (moger jr)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 15.00 7% 13.60    
4  RHYTHEM ON STAGE Nov23 Oct20 Aug30 May25 May04 (gaines carla)BAZE C 122 20.00    
5  KID AZTECA Jan01 Nov23 Oct20 Sep20 Sep13 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.40 49% 1.10    
SCR  PAULLIAC (IRE) Jan01 May17 Apr05 Jan05 Nov25 (damato phili)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 12.00    
7  MAN CHILD Nov30 Jun14 Apr28 Apr05 Jan06 (papaprodro)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  ANDY CAN U HEAR ME May11 Apr05 Feb25 Jan27 Dec29 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 8.00    
SCR  NEON LIGHTS (IRE) Jan16 Jan01 Oct20 Aug15 Jun14 (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.