Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Sunday - January 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(5/1/6)-(4/3/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-2   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(4/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(4/3/2/1)-(4/3/9/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-3   WIN (4/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/9/2)-(2/1/12/7/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-4   WIN (4/3/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/9/2)-(4/3/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/9/2)-(4/3/9/2)-(4/3/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/9/2)-(2/1/12/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/9/2)-(2/1/12/7/5)-(13/11/7/5/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-5   WIN (2/1/12/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/12/7/5)-(2/1/12/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/12/7/5)-(2/1/12/7/5)-(2/1/12/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/12/7/5)-(13/11/7/5/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/1/12/7/5)-(13/11/7/5/4)-(6/7/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
HOU-6   WIN (13/11/7/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (13/11/7/5/4)-(13/11/7/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (13/11/7/5/4)-(13/11/7/5/4)-(13/11/7/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (13/11/7/5/4)-(6/7/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HOU-7   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   01/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIRO DINERO Sep28 Jul14 May26     (clary jaylan)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 8.00 24% 3.20    
  (by AIROFORCE out of INCLEMENT by STORM BROKER)
2  REVELANT Nov26 Oct02       (ashford ray)PARKER L 122 8.00 40% 1.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of ETCHING by PAYNTER)
3  VERY UNLIKELY Nov15 Oct19 Sep28 Aug25   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 6.00 13% 6.80    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of SINGWITHTHEBIRDS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  LA RONALDA Y G Oct19 Sep28 Sep13 Aug21 Jul14 (m)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of UNABASHED by KINGMAMBO)
SCR  BELLERIA BABY Nov09 Oct12       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of FIFTEEN CHURCH by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  WANDERING KIRBY Dec20 Oct25       (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 1.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of MISS HANNA JO by MORE THAN READY)
7  THE Y FACTOR Nov15 Oct19       (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 10.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of PIOUS ASHLEY by INCLUDE)
8  WILD STEEL Nov15 Oct19 Oct02 Sep05 Aug23 (cruz eduardo)PEREZ A 122 4.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of NEEDS NO ICE by POLAR COORDINATE)
 
HOU-2   01/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL LIAISON Nov26 Oct23 Sep28 Aug29 Jun28 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 3.00 19% 4.20    
2  GOSPEL B. HAVIOR Dec13 Nov25 Oct12 Oct04 Sep19 (williams stev)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00    
3  HOT LIPS HOULIHAN Nov29 Nov14 Sep19 Sep04 May07 (bravo francisco)DIAZ RENE 121 4.00    
4  CAPETOWN CANDY Nov30 Nov08 Oct19 Aug22 Jul13 (georg)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 15.00    
5  CAN'T ZAP THIS Nov13 Oct26 Oct04 Sep19 Aug16 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 123 0.80 56% 0.80    
6  READY Nov29 Nov13 Sep06 May04 Apr15 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-3   01/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNA UP Dec12 Nov25 Nov01 Oct12 Sep26 (davidson )TRIANA JR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  OH DOO DAH DAY Dec12 Nov09 Oct04 Aug31 May26 (craddock kari)ELLIOTT S 121 3.00 17% 5.00    
3  ANNAMARIA Nov03 Sep29 Sep07 Aug24 Aug03 (d)DE CRUZ 121 2.50 25% 3.00    
4  GYPSAN Sep26 Sep02 Jul31 Jul07 Jun16 (pish danny)PARKER L 121 3.50 33% 2.10    
5  DIVERTIDA Dec05 Jul07 Jun08 May27 May05 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 8.00    
6  LEPRECHAUN CHARM Jan03 Dec19 Nov20 Nov02 Aug12 (govea cesar)DIEGO V 121 4.50    
7  GOSPEL FREELY Dec12 Nov29 Sep19 Aug31 Jul18 (williams stev)CABRERA DAVID 121 20.00    
8  GOSPEL EXTRA Dec07 Oct10 Aug23 Jul18 Jun05 (william)GONCALVES R 121 30.00    
 
HOU-4   01/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLD BOYS CLUB Nov14 Oct23 Sep14 Jul14 Jun15 (davidson sa)WETHEY JR 122 1.40    
  (by VIOLENCE out of DOUBLE by BERNARDINI)
2  FOLLOW THE STAR         (eoff terry)CABRERA DAVID 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of ALL OTHERS FOLLOW by SEA THE STARS)
3  BILLY DIXON Nov22 Sep05 Jul14     (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 4.50 17% 4.80    
  (by GIFT BOX out of TOPSANA by DISCREETLY MINE)
4  BIG NICKEL Dec07 Nov22 Aug31 Aug13 Jul29 (clary jaylan)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 1.00 43% 1.30    
  (by MR. MONEY out of HAPPY CHOICE by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  MR JAWS Dec06 Nov18 Oct23     (pish )MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 8.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of SPANISH ANGEL by EARLY FLYER)
6  CHAHTA CITIZEN Nov08 Oct11 Sep14 Aug16   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00    
  (by BLENDED CITIZEN out of CAUSEWAY CHROME by KARAKONTIE)
SCR  FLATTER ME DAILY Dec13 Nov30 Nov08     (willis mindy)WADE LYNDIE 122 20.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of IT'S A LOVELY DAY by FLATTER)
8  ZORRO D' ORO         (jacks e)PARKER L 122 8.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TREASURE BOX by LEMON DROP KID)
9  W G SECOND TO NONE Dec13 Nov29 Nov13 Jul14   (george wayne)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 16% 5.10    
  (by BAFFIN out of KAYLA'S B F F by MENHAL)
 
HOU-5   01/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAINTED LAD Oct16 Sep18 Aug30     (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 8.00 19% 4.20    
2  TX CODE Nov25 Oct10       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 1.20 45% 1.20    
3  MOVEN VAN Nov19 Nov06 Oct16 Sep26 Sep12 (ashford tristan)DIEGO V 123 15.00    
4  CHASING COYOTES Jul13 Jun15 May31 May12 May03 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 20.00    
5  BUBBA'S RECKLESS Dec11 Nov22 Aug23 Jul13 Jun30 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  RIPSTER Nov30 Nov09 Oct16 Sep26 Sep07 (george wayne)SANCHEZ OBED 121 20.00    
7  RECKLESS RED Jun22 Jun08 May10 Apr07 Mar09 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  SUMMER HELP Jul12 Jun22 Jun02 May19 May10 (padilla carlo)CABRERA DAVID 121 20.00    
9  RU MOR STARTER Nov19 Oct25 Sep21 Aug30 Aug04 (j)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
10  TI CAILLOU Nov14 Feb04 Jan26 Jan05 Nov24 (willis mindy)WADE LYNDIE 121 15.00    
11  UNBRIDLED BLING Feb17 Jan21 Jan06 Nov17 Oct21 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 20.00    
12  SPARRA Nov16 Oct16 Sep11 Jul30 Jul13 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 6.00 9% 10.60    
13  SECOND BATTALION Nov14 Oct04 Sep15 Aug18 Jul29 (jenki)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 50.00    
14  YO SOY ROY Jul13 Jun28 May31 May12 May03 (cappellucci dick)PARKER L 121 10.00    
 
HOU-6   01/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARIAH (CHI) Dec04 Oct10 Sep13 Aug23 Jul12 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 121 12.00    
2  OOH LA DA STOOPS Dec07 Jul12 May27     (schne)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00    
3  CRANKY SHEILA Nov29 Oct17 Sep16 Aug13 Jul03 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 15.00    
4  CAJUN DOLL Nov14 Oct31 Sep27 Aug31 Jun09 (dupuy allen)WADE LYNDIE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BLUEBONNET GIRL Dec04 Oct31 Sep21 Jul12 Jun21 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 6.00 11% 8.40    
6  THE NEXT BIG BLING Jul03 Jun09 May18 Apr19 Mar30 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 10.00    
7  HIGH TONE WOMAN Dec21 Sep27 Jul14 May31 Apr21 (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 121 6.00 16% 5.50    
SCR  BLING ON THE LIGHT Jun23 May18 Apr19 Mar30 Mar08 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 20.00    
9  SALTAMONTES DIVA Jul20 Jun02 May05 Mar30 Mar08 (h)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
10  BRAD'S SWEETHEART Sep17 Sep11 May05 Mar22 Mar08 (gou)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 15.00    
11  BLING IT TO ME Jun09 May18 Apr19 Mar16 Feb18 (cravens ronni)CABRERA DAVID 121 4.50 17% 4.80    
12  LEXINGTON DIVA Jan03 Dec12 Nov14 Oct10 Sep21 (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 20.00    
13  BLING BABY Jul07 Jun21 May27     (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 5.00 33% 2.10    
14  BRINGONTHEBUBBLY Nov30 Oct31 Jul03 Jun09 May25 (silva miguel)ALVAREZ L 121 20.00    
 
HOU-7   01/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRUE BLUE SKY Dec15 Nov02 Oct20 Oct12 Sep22 (ramirez-rodrigue)PARKER L 123 1.60    
2  LIUZZA Oct26 Sep19 Jul29 Jun29 Jun01 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 121 8.00    
SCR  OPTIMISTIC COWGIRL Jun16 May25 Apr27 Apr05 Mar02 (cruz eduardo)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 12.00    
4  SAN MATEO KAT Oct11 Sep21 Aug16 Jul06 Jun07 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 121 10.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  PAINTBRUSH Nov23 Jul06 Jun07 May25 Apr05 (g)DE CRUZ 121 15.00    
6  GEOMETRIQUE Dec04 Nov13 Oct26 Oct19 Oct03 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 3.00 39% 1.50    
7  TALKIN CADEE Dec04 Nov16 Oct18 Sep20 Jul14 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
8  CLAIRE JUNE Mar02 Jan19 Nov03 Sep24 Sep02 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.