Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Los Alamitos Tb
Sunday - December 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRC-1   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(1/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(1/6/5)-(4/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-2   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(4/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(4/1/2)-(3/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-3   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(3/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(3/2/5)-(2/7/3/10/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
LRC-4   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(2/7/3/10/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(2/7/3/10/6)-(2/4/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
LRC-5   WIN (2/7/3/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/10/6)-(2/7/3/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/10/6)-(2/7/3/10/6)-(2/7/3/10/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (2/7/3/10/6)-(2/4/1/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/10/6)-(2/4/1/3)-(4/6/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
LRC-6   WIN (2/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/3)-(2/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/3)-(2/4/1/3)-(2/4/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/1/3)-(4/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/12/11/7/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
LRC-7   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(4/12/11/7/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(4/12/11/7/1)-(1/3/7/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
LRC-8   WIN (4/12/11/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/12/11/7/1)-(4/12/11/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/12/11/7/1)-(4/12/11/7/1)-(4/12/11/7/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (4/12/11/7/1)-(1/3/7/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
LRC-9   WIN (1/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/8/4)-(1/3/7/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRC-1   12/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBE TOWN Aug11 Jul07 Jun16 May04 Apr19 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 125 0.80 39% 1.60    
2  NAUGHTY NIKO Oct20 Jul20 Jun30 Oct29 Oct08 (nunez jes)OLAGUE J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SMARTY NOSE Sep21 Sep06 Aug25 Jul06 Apr07 (castaneda)RAMIREZ S 125 3.50 22% 3.60    
4  DR LOW KEY Dec10 Oct13 Sep04 Jul29 Jun30 (garcia jesus)ORTEGA CESAR 125 8.00    
5  BIG CHEDDAR Nov10 Sep14 Jul06 Jun22 Dec17 (uranga jesus )PAYERAS EDGAR 125 2.50    
6  SAN JAC Nov09 Oct27 Sep29 Jun09 May12 (figueroa roman)GARCIA ERICK 125 20.00    
 
LRC-2   12/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23.5K) 3 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. DREAMCYCLE Nov03 Feb24 Jan26 Dec02 Oct21 (miyadi stev)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 3.50 36% 1.80    
2  TEDDY'S TRIUMPH Nov22 Nov05 Oct08 Aug24   (miller pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 2.50    
3  ALWAYS ON CAY Nov29 Oct31 Oct06 Sep20 Aug23 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 122 4.50    
4  GOSTOSO Sep21 Sep14 Jun22 May27 May18 (vallejo genar)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 5.00    
5  LETSHAVEONEMORE Nov29 Nov08 Oct31 Sep21 Sep14 (garcia anto)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  INSTINCT D' ORO Nov10 Oct04 Sep14 Aug09 Jul27 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
 
LRC-3   12/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAIF         (baffert bob)GARCIA MARTIN 122 2.50 10% 9.30    
  (by ARROGATE out of DESTINE by WAR FRONT)
2  EAGLES DARE Apr27         (hess b)BAZE C 122 8.00 9% 9.90    
  (by BALANCE THE BOOKS out of GREY SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  EXTENSIVE         (mccarthy michael )FREY KYLE 122 2.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CLOTHES FALL OFF by DAAHER)
4  NEW KING Jan28 Dec26       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60 51% 1.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HOLLYWOOD ROYAL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  TRAVAIL Oct26 Aug25 Jun20     (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 122 8.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of SERENE QUEEN by EXPLICIT)
6  IMAGINEER Oct26 Sep29       (blacker danie)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 12.00    
  (by TAPIT out of NASHOBA'S GOLD by SMART STRIKE)
 
LRC-4   12/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOODBINE WAY Nov10 Oct14 Aug17 Jul25 Jun22 (valenzuela )AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 4.00    
2  TIERGARTEN Nov09 Oct14 Aug17 Aug09 Jul26 (papaprodromou)FRESU ANTONIO 122 4.00 10% 9.00    
3  CHAMPAGNE CAMIE Nov15 Oct14 Aug17 Aug01 Jun13 (sadler w)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 1.20 50% 1.00    
4  JEWELOFAKID Sep22 Aug25 Aug04 May19 Apr23 (gonzale)LOPEZ REYNOSO 122 15.00    
5  CHOLLIMA Sep21 Aug22 Jul06 Jun23 Jul04 (vallejo ge)ORANTES R 117 8.00 5% 17.90    
6  GYPSY LYNN Nov10 Sep21 Aug22 Jul27 Jul06 (wallace jerry)FREY KYLE 122 3.50    
 
LRC-5   12/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TEQUILA TALKIN Nov16 Oct19 Sep08 Aug02 Jun30 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 3.50 51% 1.00    
3  PERFECT IN GRAY Nov10 Oct12 Aug25 Jul28 Jun08 (periban jorge)AYUSO ARMANDO 117 6.00 5% 17.30    
4  VORPAL Aug01 May18 Apr05 Jan19 Dec10 (hollendorfer je)MALDONADO E 123 3.00    
5  BEER MONEY Nov29 Sep14 Aug24 Aug15 Jul27 (cunningham)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 120 6.00    
6  BIG SPLASH Sep29 Sep14 Dec30 Jun24 Jun10 (vallejo genar)PAYERAS EDGAR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  CONSTANT CONFLICT Nov16 Jul06 Mar23 Feb11 Jan02 (harris andr)AGUILAR ARMANDO 123 8.00 15% 5.60    
8  NEW YORK DREAMS (GB) Nov03 Oct20 Sep22 Aug30 Oct09 (knapp steve)BAZE C 123 6.00    
9  OCASEK Nov16 Oct26 Oct11 Sep15 Aug16 (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 125 6.00    
10  SPIRITIST Nov21 Oct20 Oct05 Sep14 Aug31 (wallace jer)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DAMAZIO Oct26 Sep14 Aug10 May04 Mar23 ( )TBA null      
 
LRC-6   12/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($24.5K) 2 ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR NANO Nov22 Oct25 May03     (gomez ruben)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  PAX A PUNCH Nov16 Oct11 Sep22 Sep05 Jul07 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 1.80 64% 0.60    
3  PROBLEM SOLVER Nov22 Oct25 Sep22     (dealba cesar)ORTEGA CESAR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  VALENTINES CANDY Nov16 Oct11 Sep22 Aug30 Jul25 (mendoza je)ORANTES R 115 2.00 9% 10.10    
5  MASTER JACQUES Nov16         (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 120 12.00    
6  LAST VINTAGE Jul04         (moger jr)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 10.00    
7  FALCON WINGS Nov10 Oct18       (vega angel)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 3.00    
 
LRC-7   12/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($24.5K) 2 F PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROBIN WITH A WHY         (aguirre paul)MALDONADO E 120 6.00    
2  RICE PADDY Nov16         (lopez georg)HERRERA A 120 4.50    
3  CAN'TDEALWITHIT         (kitchingman)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  READY TO DARE Oct20 Sep06 Jul27     (puype mike)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
5  MONTAGE BLUE         (aguirre paul)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 6.00    
6  OVETA'S HOBBY Oct18 Aug18 Jul21     (sadler john )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 120 1.60 26% 2.80    
 
LRC-8   12/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SQUALOTORO Nov02 Oct19 Oct06 Sep21 Sep06 (moger jr)PAYERAS EDGAR 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  BLACK BEARDS GHOST Nov16 Oct26       (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 6.00    
3  JOE DON LOONEY Nov08 Oct12 Sep21 Aug25 Aug09 (barocio lib)AGUILAR ARMANDO 123 8.00    
4  DEVIL AMONG US Nov16 Oct31 Oct06 Sep14 Aug30 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 125 3.50 39% 1.50    
5  SHADY APPEAL Nov03 Sep08 Aug11 Jul09 Jun11 (bonde jeff)MALDONADO E 120 15.00    
6  SQUARE CAT Oct14 Sep13 Jun25 May26 Apr22 (wright blai)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 10.00    
7  PLEASE FOCUS Oct31 Aug22 Aug09 Jul20 Jun13 (lopez l)BAZE C 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  DON'T HIT ME BASH Nov09 Oct04 Sep22 Sep02 Jul28 (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 8.00    
9  FORGIVING SPIRIT Nov29 Oct27 Aug24 Aug10 May27 (miller peter)LEZCANO ABEL 123 8.00    
10  GOOD VIBES ONLY Nov16 Nov08 Oct12 Apr27 Mar29 (mendoza je)ORANTES R 118 20.00    
11  MIO BAMBINO Nov10 Oct19 Sep08 Aug02 Jul04 (mathis andy)FREY KYLE 120 8.00 8% 11.20    
12  IRISH ROYALTY Oct06 Sep08 Aug25 Aug04 Jun13 (glatt mark)HERRERA A 123 4.00 29% 2.50    
 
LRC-9   12/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Soviet Problem Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 7:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN THE AIR TONIGHT Nov01 Oct05 Sep02 Aug04 May26 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 119 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of ANGEL ALLIE by SKY MESA)
2  CIOPPINA PASADINA Oct19 Sep13       (treece charle)PAYERAS EDGAR 119 30.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of BLISSFUL LADY by CREATIVE CAUSE)
3  GRATEFUL MY LOVE Nov01 Sep28       (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 117 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of MISS GEORGIE GAL by INCLUDE)
4  HEY JESSIE Nov16 Oct19       (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of BEA'S CEE by CEE'S TIZZY)
5  Z'S WARDROBE Nov22         (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 117 30.00    
  (by PAVEL out of DRESSED TO A T by SQUARE EDDIE)
6  HOW ABOUT PAVEL Oct19 Aug30 Aug01 Jun15 May03 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 117 8.00    
  (by PAVEL out of HOW ABOUT ZERO by SQUARE EDDIE)
7  MUSICAL NUMBER Oct19 Sep21       (pederson de)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 117 6.00 15% 5.70    
  (by UPTOWN RYTHEM out of LOGICAL SINGLE by SINGLETARY)
8  TEQUILAANDTHERAPY Nov01 Oct06 Aug30 Aug22 Jul27 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 121 3.50 ★    
  (by MRAZEK out of CHEXCESS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
9  CHILLY PHILLY Oct19 Aug30 Jul20     (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 117 10.00    
  (by FROSTED out of ESTELLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.