Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Wednesday - December 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(8/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(8/5/7/1)-(5/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (8/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/1)-(8/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/1)-(8/5/7/1)-(8/5/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/7/1)-(5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/1)-(5/2/4)-(2/5/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(2/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(2/5/1/4)-(4/5/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/4)-(4/5/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/4)-(4/5/3/2)-(2/4/6/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/2)-(2/4/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/2)-(2/4/6/1)-(5/4/3/1/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/1)-(5/4/3/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/1)-(5/4/3/1/7)-(3/5/1/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/4/3/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/1/7)-(5/4/3/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/1/7)-(5/4/3/1/7)-(5/4/3/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/3/1/7)-(3/5/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   12/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLAFLEET Nov07 Aug01 Jan04 Nov09   (pickett g)HO WESLEY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
GLAMOROUS Nov17 Nov08 Oct19 Sep27 Jul07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60 42% 1.40    
EIGHT OZ MOCHA Nov13 Oct24 Sep02 Aug24 Jul18 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 122 1.80 32% 2.10    
ONE WITH THE FORCE Nov13 Oct11 Aug30     (valvo )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 3.00    
IN RETROSPECT Nov13 Oct24 Oct11 Oct03 Aug17 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 5.00    
PRETTY COAST Nov13 Oct26 Oct11 Oct04 Sep12 (ramos agost)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 20.00    
 
CT-2   12/04/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS PEARL HART Nov13 Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 Aug01 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
S S ITS FUN TO RUN Nov13 Sep12 Aug10 Jul20 Jun15 (lucas a)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
LOVELY LUCY Nov13 Oct24 Sep12 Aug09 Jul18 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 2.50    
SCR  BREAKING BULLET Oct24 Sep12 Aug09 Jul18 Jun28 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
PEGGY'S WAY Nov02 Oct13 Sep26 Sep05 Aug15 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
BANKERS ROSE GOLD Oct26 Oct10 Sep24 Sep10 May23 (lucas bonnie)HO WESLEY 120 4.00    
NO FAKE Nov28 Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 Aug24 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 118 4.50 16% 5.40    
BOBBI TWO STEPS Nov13 Oct03 Sep12 Aug09 Jul20 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
CT-3   12/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POUR ME A DRINK Nov14 Nov08 Oct30 Oct05 Sep14 (ramos agost)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
CUT HIM LOOSE Nov14 Oct24 Aug22 Jul26 Jun08 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 4.50 24% 3.20    
SISTER WINNIE Nov06 Oct04 Sep14 Aug10 Jul11 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50    
JUST HAVE FAITH Nov14 Oct05 Aug24 Jun14 May02 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
MITOLE CANDY Nov14 Oct05 Sep20 Aug22 Aug15 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 1.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  LIME STAR Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 Aug16 Jun08 (conn linda )ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 20.00    
 
CT-4   12/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG TIPPA Oct31 Oct19 Sep16 Aug24 Aug12 (comi w)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
BULL'S LEGACY Nov22 Oct10 Sep27 Aug17 Jul27 (murdock stephen)BOCACHICA O 122 1.60 43% 1.30    
BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Nov21 Nov02 Oct19 Oct03 Aug23 (jackson ang)CACHA-PADILLA B 124 6.00    
GIRLS PERFUME Nov20 Oct30 Oct05 Aug24 Jun14 (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
FRENCHIES GOLD Nov14 Oct24 May09 Feb28 Jan31 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 19% 4.10    
JACKYSINTHECASTLE Nov20 Oct30 Oct10 Aug15 Aug02 (shanley mark)LEWIS M 122 30.00    
SCR  STELLA D'AMORE Oct27 Oct10 Sep27 Aug21   (bryant l)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
SNEAKY LYNK Oct30 Oct03 Sep21 Jul12 Jun21 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
 
CT-5   12/04/2024 2970ft DIRT RC6 WET FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINDA'S TAJ Nov09 Oct24 Oct05 Aug23 Aug09 (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT Oct30 Sep28 Aug22 Aug02 Jul03 (martinez jose)THORPE DARIUS 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
MAKE IT A DOUBLE Oct30 Sep29 Sep07 Jul12 Apr25 (atkins ea)HO WESLEY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE BIT OF THAT Oct30 Sep28 Aug22 Aug02 Jul18 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 0.60 67% 0.50    
SCR  SNOWY JUBA CAT Sep28 Aug23 Jul18 Jun28 May23 (bass cu)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 6.00 11% 7.70    
BREAKING RULES Nov14 Oct26 Oct03 Sep20 Aug24 (jones michae)LEWIS M 118 15.00    
GOLDEN CAN Nov15 Oct20 Oct10 Sep08 Aug22 (mcmahon thomas)CRUZ ANGEL 120 5.00    
FINE WHINING Nov14 Oct19 Sep28 Jun08 May14 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00    
 
CT-6   12/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARK AVE PRINCE Nov07 Oct12 Sep27 Sep02 Aug24 (jones e)ACOSTA D 118 10.00 13% 6.50    
PRIME SHOPPING Nov09 Oct12 Aug24 Jul13 Jun27 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
DEFIANT GIANT Nov09 Oct18 Aug24 Jul19 Jun01 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.50    
ZIGGY STARDUST Nov09 Oct18 Sep21 Aug24 Aug03 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 1.80 23% 3.40    
SCR  YOUTHFUL ENERGY Nov07 Oct24 Sep02 Aug24 Aug03 (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00    
LUCKY ONE Oct26 Oct10 Aug03 Jan26 Jan04 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 12.00 16% 5.20    
W V LAD Nov07 Oct05 Sep21 Aug24 Jul13 (gazzier kri)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 20.00    
SCR  CHASENJOHNATHAN Nov06 Sep22 Aug26 Jun03 Apr27 (valvo )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 30.00    
LOVE IS WICKED Nov21 Oct24 Oct05 Sep21 Aug17 (johnson dew)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 12.00    
 
CT-7   12/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOTS OF MISCHIEF Oct29 Oct13 Sep24 Sep01 Aug07 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 8% 12.20    
SUBJECT TO CHANGE Nov21 Oct31 Oct10 Sep20 Apr27 (spriggs toschia )ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
RIDICULOUS Nov14 Nov01 Oct03 Sep21 Jun27 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 10.00 21% 3.80    
YO VINNIE Nov18 Sep30 Aug20 May17 May04 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00 22% 3.70    
ROYAL PAIN Nov16 Nov01 Oct12 Oct03 Aug17 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
GROUP EIGHTEEN Nov01 Sep25 Sep11 Aug23 Jun30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00    
I AM THAT I AM Nov01 Oct10 Sep20 Aug31 Aug23 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
BONDED (IRE) Oct24 Oct03 Sep18 Aug31 Aug24 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
BAD LINEAGE Nov22 Nov09 Oct18 Sep27 Aug24 (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 124 4.50    
 
CT-8   12/04/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DICEY GREY Nov13 Oct10 Sep19 Aug23 Aug09 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Nov13 Oct18 Sep27 Sep21 Sep01 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 20.00    
AMENDE CHARLIE Nov02 Oct13       (mckee cyn)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 41% 1.40    
ADIOS SEE YA Jan11 Dec02 Nov11 Mar25 Feb22 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
CASINO TRICKS Oct19 Sep12 Aug15 Jul07 Jun15 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 21% 3.90    
LOOK SHARP Oct27 Oct10 Sep26 Sep12 Aug21 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.20    
SCR  MONCRIEF Nov13 Oct25 Oct19 Sep29 Sep20 (robb troy)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
DISCREET DEVIL Nov13 Oct19 Oct03 Sep26 Sep12 (rodriguez jesus)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.