Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Pleasanton
Saturday - November 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PLN-1   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(3/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(3/4/5)-(1/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PLN-2   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(1/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(1/3/2)-(6/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PLN-3   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(6/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(6/2/5)-(1/2/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PLN-4   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(1/2/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(1/2/7/3)-(6/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PLN-5   WIN (1/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/7/3)-(6/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/3)-(6/2/3)-(1/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PLN-6   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(1/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(1/4/5)-(1/3/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PLN-7   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(1/3/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PLN-8   WIN (1/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PLN-1   11/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMEMBER SUE Oct27 Sep21 Jun21 Sep18 Sep10 (jauregui o)MONROY FRANCISCO 121 1.80    
2  GEA Oct27 Oct06 Aug11 Jul04 May25 (mccanna ti)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 2.50    
3  SHELBY GOLD Oct27 Sep08 Aug25 Aug03 Jul13 (mcca)ANTONGEORGI JR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  A CROWN FOR KITTEN Oct27 Oct06 Aug23 Aug03 Jun09 (maravilla)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 121 8.00 14% 6.40    
5  TIZ MY PRINCESS Oct06 Aug03 Jul07 Jun21 Jun09 (sherman steve )ALVARADO T 121 1.60 40% 1.50    
 
PLN-2   11/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VELOCIOUS Oct25 Sep15 Aug16 Dec26 Dec02 (j)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 5.00    
2  UNION COACH Nov02 Oct12 Sep14 Aug16 Jul26 (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 4.50    
3  HARNEY LANE Nov02 Oct12 Sep28 Aug10 Jul27 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 1.40 32% 2.20    
4  ACE ACE BABY Oct25 Oct11 Sep08 Aug08 Jun22 (calvario)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 3.50 18% 4.60    
5  TOM'S TREASURE Oct25 Sep15 Jul27 Jul05 Jun23 (maravilla jor)RIVERA SANTOS 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  OPEN SOUL AUTISM Oct26 Oct04       (calvario sa)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 4.00    
 
PLN-3   11/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 2 F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEPHELE Oct25 Sep21 Aug09 Jul20 Jun23 (jauregui j)ALVARADO T 120 2.50 58% 0.70    
2  WINSOME LOVE Oct20 Sep21 Aug09     (badilla manuel)DURAN F 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  NALA         (j)JIMENEZ LUIS 120 3.00 14% 6.40    
4  GIDDY UP BUTTERCUP         (tamayo isidr)OROZCO E 120 5.00    
5  WALK'N THE BEACH Oct26 Sep14 Jul27     (mclean bill)RIVERA SANTOS 120 8.00    
SCR  WEST FRESNO         (bonde je)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 2.00    
 
PLN-4   11/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY BATMAN Nov01 Oct20 Oct11 Sep17 Jul08 (perez serg)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 20.00    
2  DEFENSE WINS Oct13 Sep30 Sep07 Aug08 Jul03 (gilmour jim)COUTON JULIEN 123 5.00 19% 4.30    
3  TOO MUCH INFO Nov01 Oct11 Sep29 Sep13 Sep02 (greiner gary)HERRERA HUGO 119 5.00    
4  LESSONS OF AUTISM Sep29 Sep13 Feb27 Feb12 Jan15 (greiner ga)MONROY FRANCISCO 121 1.80    
5  OUR EXPECTATION Oct20 Aug16 Jan13 Dec10 Nov03 (torres a)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 8.00 14% 6.30    
6  BOBBY'S ALIBI Oct20 Sep22 Jan15 Dec26 Nov25 (taylor faith)OROZCO E 121 1.60 37% 1.70    
 
PLN-5   11/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATER TAMARTATER Nov03 Sep22 Aug17 Jul07 Jun02 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 123 0.60 61% 0.60    
2  UPDRAFT Oct19 Sep22 Aug04 Jul20 Jun22 (bauti)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 125 5.00 6% 14.70    
3  TRIANGLE Nov02 Oct04 Sep02 Aug25 Aug02 (greiner gary)HERRERA HUGO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  WHATAFOOLBELIEVES Oct19 Jul20       (jauregui o)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 15.00    
5  BEAR ENCOUNTER Oct19 Aug16 Jul26 Jul06   (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 20.00    
6  BRUISER Oct19 Aug16 Jul28     (mclean bil)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.50    
7  DORADUS Nov02 Oct12 Sep22 Sep02 Jul25 (ramirez m)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PLN-6   11/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CEE'S THE IMAGE Oct25 Oct05 Sep14 Aug03 Jun23 (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 121 3.00    
2  OUTRAGEOUS Nov02 Oct12 Sep02 Aug24 Aug10 (stortz ma)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  WARREN'S WILD RIDE Nov02 Oct12 Aug03 Jul20 Jul05 (lenzini )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 119 6.00 8% 11.30    
4  IRISH PRANCER Oct25 Oct05 Sep14 Jul06 Jun16 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 119 6.00    
5  OUTER SUNSET Nov02 Oct12 Aug18 Aug03 Jun23 (mclean bil)AMERICANO MANUEL 114 12.00    
6  BRONZE GIRL Oct05 Aug31 Aug23 Aug03 Jul20 (ramos jesu)MONROY FRANCISCO 121 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
PLN-7   11/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Mt. Diablo Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAMMAS (GB) Oct13 Aug31 Jul07 Apr27 Apr05 (badilla man)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 0.60 69% 0.50    
  (by HEERAAT out of SPATE RISE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  DE' MEDICI Sep01 Jul20 Jun16 May18 Apr05 (mccarthy mich)RIVERA SANTOS 119 2.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BANDORA by DIXIELAND BAND)
3  AMERICAN ADMIRAL Oct26 Oct06 Sep17 Jul29 Jun11 (yakteen ti)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ESCAMPETTE by SMART STRIKE)
4  MELANIE'S TIGER Oct19 Sep29 Jun08 May12 Apr20 (badilla man)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 119 15.00 5% 18.70    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of MELANIE ROSE by GOTHAM CITY)
5  DRUIDIC Oct31 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul21 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of SHARED IMAGE by ROCKY BAR)
 
PLN-8   11/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPACE BUNS         (bonde jeff)OROZCO E 120 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of THANXFORTHEMEMRIES by CYCLOTRON)
SCR  BUSY MAKING MUNNY Oct26 Sep14       (mccanna tim)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 3.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of JULIA'S KITTY by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  HELLO KID O KID O Oct26 Oct05       (mclean b)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 5.00 19% 4.20    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of NORAH'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  SOLAR BURST Oct05         (jauregui j)ALVARADO T 120 8.00 7% 12.50    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MAKE THE SUN SHINE by MALIBU MOON)
5  TIZSUMMER Oct26         (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
  (by SUMMERSIMAGE out of LA DARLING by PERFECT MANDATE)
6  JOYFUL MISCHIEF         (mcdonald melan)HERRERA HUGO 120 20.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of COURTING MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  CHOKECHERY SHARI Oct26 Sep29 Aug09 Jul05 Jun08 (taylor faith)SANGUINETTI A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of CHOKECHERYMARY by CAPSIZED)
8  KNOW ABOUT AUTISM         (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 120 4.50    
  (by ASTERN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  KAIA Oct26         (bautista )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of KAILI by GRAND SLAM)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.