Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Del Mar
Saturday - November 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DMR-1   WIN (6/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/4)-(6/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/4)-(6/2/1/4)-(6/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/1/4)-(4/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/4)-(4/2)-(8/2/5/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
DMR-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(8/2/5/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(8/2/5/3)-(6/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DMR-3   WIN (8/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/3)-(8/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/3)-(8/2/5/3)-(8/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/5/3)-(6/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/2/5/3)-(6/3/2)-(5/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DMR-4   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(5/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(5/3/4)-(5/4/2/6/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DMR-5   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(5/4/2/6/8) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(5/4/2/6/8)-(5/13/1/2/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DMR-6   WIN (5/4/2/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/6/8)-(5/4/2/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/6/8)-(5/4/2/6/8)-(5/4/2/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/2/6/8)-(5/13/1/2/3) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/6/8)-(5/13/1/2/3)-(7/1/8/9/6) 125 $1.00 $125 
DMR-7   WIN (5/13/1/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/13/1/2/3)-(5/13/1/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/13/1/2/3)-(5/13/1/2/3)-(5/13/1/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/13/1/2/3)-(7/1/8/9/6) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
    PK3 (5/13/1/2/3)-(7/1/8/9/6)-(8/12/11/2/10) 125 $1.00 $125 
DMR-8   WIN (7/1/8/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/9/6)-(7/1/8/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/9/6)-(7/1/8/9/6)-(7/1/8/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/8/9/6)-(8/12/11/2/10) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
DMR-9   WIN (8/12/11/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/12/11/2/10)-(8/12/11/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/12/11/2/10)-(8/12/11/2/10)-(8/12/11/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DMR-1   11/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANDTHEOMOFTHEBRAVE Oct19         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 3.50 13% 6.80    
  (by OM out of OPERANDI by SQUARE EDDIE)
2  JUST A GRAZE Jun09 Apr20       (puype )BERRIOS ISAAC 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of FEEL FREELY by BOLD WARRIOR)
3  THE SCENT Oct13 Aug25 Aug08     (aguirre pau)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 15.00    
  (by ENTICED out of COPPEROPOLIS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  MAKE IT A LARGE Oct20 Aug25       (koriner brian)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRONZE STAR out of WILMA S by JULY CHILD)
5  DESERT ROCKET Oct04 Aug25 Jul28 Jun09 Oct21 (callaghan s)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 5.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of DESERT STEEL by DESERT CODE)
6  BIG GAIN Oct20 Sep13 Jan12     (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by MR. BIG out of ALTOON by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  MISS JO'S CURLIN Oct04 Sep02 Jul28     (galvin w)ESPINOZA V 122 8.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of MISS JO'S COMMAND by FOREST COMMAND)
8  SIR ROCKET         (drysdale nei)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 6.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of DESERT STEEL by DESERT CODE)
 
DMR-2   11/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Desi Arnaz Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TENMA Oct05 Sep07 Aug18     (baffer)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 3.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of AMAGANSETT by TAPIT)
2  PRACTICAL DREAM Oct25 Sep08       (yakteen tim)FRESU ANTONIO 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of IMFOREAL by IN EXCESS (IRE))
3  TWO BAR Oct18 Aug25 Jul21     (baffert bob)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of ROADBUG by QUALITY ROAD)
4  SILENT LAW Oct25 Sep21       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.20 61% 0.60    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of SOUTHERN SILENCE by DIXIE UNION)
5  MAWU Oct06         (baffert bob)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 2.50    
  (by BLAME out of SOUL SINGER by FLATTER)
 
DMR-3   11/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROPICAL RAIN DAY Oct13 Sep02 Jul26 Jun15 May26 (garcia victor)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 20.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of SHE'LL DO by HARD SPUN)
2  HEY JESSIE Oct19         (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
  (by GRAZEN out of BEA'S CEE by CEE'S TIZZY)
3  CO HEART Oct31 Oct11 Sep21     (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of CORRINE by CHIEF SEATTLE)
4  RENATUS Nov01 Oct19 Aug30 Aug11   (garcia anto)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 2.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of IT'S VENGEANCE by CURLIN)
5  OM N JOY Oct26 Oct05 Sep02 Aug11   (ordonez aggie)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 8.00 12% 7.10    
  (by OM out of MARGIE'S MINUTE by HARD SPUN)
6  MRAZEK'S OLD DREAM Oct19 Sep15 Aug08     (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 15.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of WALKINGONADREAM by TAPIT)
7  LESS IS MORE Oct26 Sep15 Sep02     (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of BLAME THE AGENT by JIMMY CREED)
8  ORANGE THUNDER Oct26 Aug30 Aug08     (lewis craig )KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 4.50 29% 2.40    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of ORANGE COVE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
DMR-4   11/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED ON SUNDAY Oct20 Sep13 Aug25 Aug08 Jun30 (miller pete)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 3.00 ★    
2  OCASEK Oct26 Oct11 Sep15 Aug16 Jul25 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00 10% 9.30    
3  THE BIG CHEESEOLA Oct26 Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 (knapp steve)BAZE C 124 4.50 10% 8.90    
4  MISCHIEVOUS DYLAN Nov03 Oct20 Sep20 Sep05 Aug16 (lucas j)MATIAS J 120 30.00    
5  SOUTHERN SLANG Oct19 Aug31 Aug10     (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00    
6  CONSTANT CONFLICT Jul06 Mar23 Feb11 Jan02 Nov20 (harris andr)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 6.00 44% 1.30    
7  PICKING IT UP Oct05 Sep06 Aug10 Jun16 Nov11 (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 10.00    
8  TEQUILA TALKIN Oct19 Sep08 Aug02 Jun30 Jun01 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 3.50    
 
DMR-5   11/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRIDEO (ARG) Oct27 Oct14 Aug31 Jul21 May27 (polanc)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 3.00    
2  CENTRAL DISPATCH Oct06 Sep07 Oct22 Aug17 Jul21 (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
3  SIGILOSO Aug22 Jun06 May25 Apr19 Mar23 (cerin vladim)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
4  PLAYER B Jun07 May19 Apr20 Mar24 Feb11 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  TIGERHON (FR) Sep06 Aug22 Jul20 Jun16 May27 (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
6  BOSS SULLY Sep28 Aug17 Oct27 Sep02 Aug04 (koriner brian)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 3.50    
 
DMR-6   11/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPIRE WARRIOR Oct11         (baltas rich)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 10.00    
2  P TOWN PRANCER Oct25         (bonde jeff)FRESU ANTONIO 120 3.00 16% 5.30    
3  FARENHEIT O C Sep20 Aug23       (blacker daniel)FREY KYLE 120 6.00    
4  WHISKEYINATEACUP Sep22 Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 Jun23 (knapp steve)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 4.50 26% 2.80    
5  CITIZEN BARRETT Oct11         (baltas ric)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
6  MASTER JACQUES         (papaprodromou)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  PETRIFIED Aug10         (moger jr)CARMONA SERAFIN 120 20.00    
8  VALENTINES CANDY Oct11 Sep22 Aug30 Jul25 Jul07 (mendoza je)ORANTES R 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  PAX A PUNCH Oct11 Sep22 Sep05 Jul07   (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 3.50    
 
DMR-7   11/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAARL         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of MORNING MOON by DECLARATION OF WAR)
2  HEADSTRONG WAYS         (baltas richar)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DIG DEEPER by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  STORMY PARADISE         (polanco marcelo)BAZE C 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of AVIE'S PARADISE by TASTE OF PARADISE)
4  RICE PADDY         (lopez georg)HERRERA A 120 30.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of ANOTHER LIKE YOU by JUMP START)
5  AMERICAN PRIVILEGE         (shirreffs j)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of LADIES' PRIVILEGE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  MAGALE Aug31         (baltas rich)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 4.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of BIG NIGHT AMERICA by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
7  PAM AND TINA (IRE)         (damato philip)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 8.00    
  (by MEHMAS out of MIA DIVINA by EXCEED AND EXCEL)
8  SPECIAL LOOK Sep21         (hollendorfer jerr)FREY KYLE 120 6.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LION'S TERMS by LION HEARTED)
10  MADEMM COCO May27         (brinkerhoff val)MALDONADO E 120 20.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of OLEANDA AVENUE by A.P. INDY)
11  MADAME SECRETARY         (mandella ric)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of NINA FEVER by BORREGO)
13  PURA VIDA PRINCESA Oct06 Sep08       (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 8.00 33% 2.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of BETYAR by UNCLE MO)
SCR  MOLLY JENSEN Oct18         (glatt mark)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 12.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of MO EMMA by UNCLE MO)
SCR  ALERAMO (IRE) Oct04 Sep06       ( )TBA null      
  (by ARIZONA out of PUTTORE by HIGH CHAPARRAL)
SCR  CAN'TDEALWITHIT         ( )TBA null      
  (by VIOLENCE out of MISSDEALORNODEAL by BENCHMARK)
 
DMR-8   11/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK BEARDS GHOST Oct26         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 3.50 27% 2.80    
2  AFTERNOON NAP Oct27 Oct04 Aug25     (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
4  GOOD VIBES ONLY Nov08 Oct12 Apr27 Mar29 Feb15 (mendoza je)ORANTES R 124 15.00    
5  TRAVELIN' SHOW Oct27 Sep01 May31 Apr20 Feb25 (lewis craig )KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 20.00    
6  J DUTTON Oct06 Sep14 Aug24 Aug05 Jun07 (bryant steve)FREY KYLE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  SMILING BEAST May25         (koriner brian)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
8  UNBRIDLED VISION Feb02 Jan07 Dec09     (mccanna tim)HERRERA A 122 12.00 18% 4.50    
9  BEE EYE GEE Oct18 Sep08 Aug03 Jun09 Aug13 (korine)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  DEVIL AMONG US Oct31 Oct06 Sep14 Aug30 Aug10 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 6.00    
11  SPIRITUAL ADVISOR Oct31 Oct18 Sep15 Jul07 May25 (bonde jeff)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 8.00    
SCR  DISOBEY Sep20 Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 May11 ( )TBA null      
 
DMR-9   11/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORGAN'S BLUFF Oct25 Sep13 Aug23 Mar30 Feb10 (hess b)MALDONADO E 121 30.00    
2  RICH OF JOY Oct25 Aug30 Aug10 Jun15   (garcia victor)FRESU ANTONIO 122 12.00 12% 7.30    
3  NAKOTA (IRE) Oct18 May10 Feb18 Jan19 Dec02 (gallagher pat)VALDIVIA JR 122 20.00    
4  GOD'S FAVOR Sep13 Sep05 Aug08 May27   (papaprodrom)AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 20.00    
5  CRIMSON SONATA Oct18 Aug30 Feb12     (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 125 15.00    
6  DANGEROUS AFFAIR Oct25 Aug02 Jun09     (glatt mark)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 8.00    
7  QUEEN BERKELEY Aug29 Aug08 Jul27 Jun09 May17 (hess b)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 15.00    
8  FIRE BAN Oct05 Sep07 Aug02 May18   (koriner brian)BAZE C 122 6.00 29% 2.40    
9  BLUE FASHION Oct18 Sep05 Jul27 Jun16 May26 (polanc)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 8.00    
10  STEP IT OUT (IRE) Oct18 Oct06 Sep08 Jul27   (damato philip)AYUSO ARMANDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  LAST ELIZABETHAN Oct18 Aug16 Jul26 Jun15 May18 (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 17% 4.90    
12  HAPPYASACLAM (IRE) Jan28 Nov18 Oct20 Aug27 May13 (callaghan s)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 4.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  FLIGHT TO QUALITY (FR) Oct25 Dec26 Nov11     (knapp steve)BAZE C 122 15.00    
SCR  HIGHLY DESIRABLE (IRE) Jun16 May05       (baltas richa)KIMURA KAZUSHI 125 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.