Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Friday - October 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(7/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(7/5/3)-(6/7/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-2   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(6/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(6/7/2)-(6/2/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-3   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/2)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/2)-(6/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2)-(6/2/1/3)-(5/4/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-4   WIN (6/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/1/3)-(5/4/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/3)-(5/4/3/6)-(4/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-5   WIN (5/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/6)-(5/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/6)-(5/4/3/6)-(5/4/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/3/6)-(4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/6)-(4/3/2)-(7/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-6   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(7/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(7/1/2)-(1/4/9/10/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SA-7   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(1/4/9/10/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
SA-8   WIN (1/4/9/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/9/10/8)-(1/4/9/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/9/10/8)-(1/4/9/10/8)-(1/4/9/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   10/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAISSON Sep13 Dec17 Oct14 Sep24 Aug18 (rheinford mar)AYUSO ARMANDO 123 4.00    
2  HURRICANE CLOUD (GB) Sep01 Aug25 Jan27 Nov19 Oct01 (baltas richard)FREY KYLE 123 3.50    
3  ENJOY IT STRAIT Sep01 Aug01 Jun23 May03 Mar22 (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
4  FIFTY CENT DOLLARS Sep28 Sep07 May18 Mar07 Feb17 (ruis mick )GONZALEZ RICARDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  OTTOMAN PRINCE (IRE) Jul27 Jun08 Apr06 Mar09   (damato philip)ESPINOZA V 123 6.00    
6  VANTASTIC Jun07 Feb03 Dec03 Oct29 Oct01 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 123 1.60 30% 2.30    
 
SA-2   10/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALANIS Sep08         (miller pete)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 8.00    
SCR  GIGI'S GIRL Aug22         (mendez luis)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 15.00    
3  HELEN'S REVENGE Sep20         (bainum kelly)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  TWO BAR Aug25 Jul21       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50    
5  CALMATE Sep21         (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 3.50 32% 2.20    
6  MOLLY JENSEN         (glatt mark)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 10.00    
7  OVETA'S HOBBY Aug18 Jul21       (sadler w)BAZE C 120 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
SA-3   10/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($31K) 2 ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S A FACTOR Oct06 Aug22 Jul21 Jun09 May26 (garcia antoni)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 15.00    
2  SEVAK Sep20 Sep05 Aug09     (periban jorge)BAZE C 122 5.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  SHANKADOPOLOUS Sep20 Aug15       (freeman edw)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 15.00    
4  FAR WESTERN Sep22 Aug30 Jul26     (hanson rya)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 6.00    
6  WINDS OF FREEDOM Sep05 Aug10       (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 0.80 36% 1.80    
7  A VOTRE SANTE Jul25 Jun30 May03     (kitchi)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  INFAMOUS ANGEL Aug09 Jul07 Jun16 May26   ( )TBA null      
 
SA-4   10/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEP DANCIN NICK Aug31 Aug09 Jun16 May03   (miyadi)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.00 8% 11.50    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MIDNIGHT HUNCH by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  KING OF DRAGONS Aug30         (baltas richard)FREY KYLE 120 2.50 14% 6.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of ZENDREYA by ESKENDEREYA)
3  DON'T HAVE ANOTHER         (freeman edward)CEDILLO ABEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of IF NOT FOR YOU by HENNESSY)
4  DYNODAVE Oct04 Sep05 Jul25     (treece charle)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 15.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of ELEMENTAL METAL by SMART STRIKE)
5  FALCON WINGS         (vega angel)ORANTES R 115 30.00    
  (by CIRCUMFERENCE out of GHOST OF A CHANCE by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  CALL ME SIR Aug30 Aug09       (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 1.20 55% 0.80    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of RUBY BRADLEY by GRAZEN)
7  THEATRICAL CAT         (hanson ryan)BAZE C 120 12.00    
  (by OSCAR NOMINATED out of TRIBAL CHARM by TRIBAL RULE)
 
SA-5   10/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE ARROW Aug30 Aug01 Mar04 Mar27 Feb20 (drysdale neil)MALDONADO E 125 3.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL JANET Sep06 Aug15 Jun07 May03 Mar23 (periban jorge)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 6.00    
3  LOOKS LUCKY Sep20 Aug23       (mccarthy se)AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 4.50 19% 4.30    
4  BEAUTY N THE BOLT Sep08 Aug23 Jun28 May30 Apr27 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
5  IN YOUR LIFE Sep13 Aug29 Aug08 Jul07 Nov19 (eurton pete)HERRERA A 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
6  SABRES Sep06 Aug08 Jul28 Jun23 May10 (kitchingman a)VALDIVIA JR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  IFUAINTFIRSTURLAST Sep15 Aug25 Aug08 Jun23 Jun07 (brinkerhoff)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 20.00    
8  RESPECT THE CROWN Oct12 Sep15 Sep08 Jul28 Jun08 (stute gary)BAZE C 119 10.00    
 
SA-6   10/18/2024 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONG MAYSHE REIGN Sep05 Aug15 Sep01 Aug06 Jun18 (glatt mark)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 6.00    
2  PRINCESS MIDNIGHT Sep05 Aug02 May27 Mar17 Feb18 (herrick joe)HERRERA A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  AVOIR Apr18 Mar04 Feb16 Oct28 Oct09 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 14% 6.10    
4  GEM MINE Aug01 Dec01 Nov04 Oct07 Aug25 (baltas richard)FREY KYLE 124 1.60 53% 0.90    
SCR  ACTIVATED (IRE)         (hess b)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 8.00    
6  BIG CELEBRATION Sep05 Jun29 Jun08 Oct06 Jan29 (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 124 10.00    
7  COLLECTMYTHOUGHTS Sep15 May26 Apr23     (koriner brian)CEDILLO ABEL 124 2.00    
 
SA-7   10/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEE EYE GEE Sep08 Aug03 Jun09 Aug13   (korine)BERRIOS ISAAC 119 4.00 18% 4.70    
2  SPIRITUAL ADVISOR Sep15 Jul07 May25 May03 Apr05 (bonde jeff)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  I'M RIPPED Sep29 Sep02 Jul07     (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 119 8.00    
SCR  UNBRIDLED VISION Feb02 Jan07 Dec09     (mccanna tim)FREY KYLE 121 15.00    
5  CALIFORNIA TIGER Aug04 May25 May11 Apr06 Mar08 (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 124 3.50    
6  SPECIAL CLUB Sep27 Sep01 Jun08 May24 May12 (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00    
7  WINDRIBBON Sep08 Aug09 Jul21 May31 Apr23 (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
SA-8   10/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($30K) 35 M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPCHARGE Sep07 Aug02 Jun16 May27 Apr28 (damato phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
2  MATTERS Sep05 Aug08 Apr13 Mar15 Feb17 (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 6.00    
SCR  MOTET Sep22 Apr04 Feb17 Jan28 Dec29 (gomez ruben)AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 10.00    
4  LAST ELIZABETHAN Aug16 Jul26 Jun15 May18 Apr06 (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 15% 5.60    
5  CRIMSON SONATA Aug30 Feb12       (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 125 15.00    
6  NAKOTA (IRE) May10 Feb18 Jan19 Dec02 Oct28 (gallagher pat)VALDIVIA JR 120 8.00    
7  BLUE FASHION Sep05 Jul27 Jun16 May26 Apr06 (polanco marcel)CEDILLO ABEL 121 20.00    
8  SHE BE BOSS Oct05 Sep05       (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  ABOVE ALL ELSE Aug10 Jun28 May25 Apr20   (gaines)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 4.00 11% 7.70    
10  STEP IT OUT (IRE) Oct06 Sep08 Jul27     (damato phil)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 6.00 8% 12.00    
SCR  CANDYINTHEMORNING Sep22 Aug16       (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 125 10.00    
SCR  QUEEN BERKELEY Aug29 Aug08 Jul27 Jun09 May17 (hess b)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 12.00    
SCR  GOD'S FAVOR Sep13 Sep05 Aug08 May27   (papaprodromou)VALDIVIA JR 125 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.