Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Sunday - October 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ALB-1   WIN (6/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/7)-(6/5/10/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/7)-(6/5/10/1/7)-(6/5/10/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/1/7)-(8/7/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ALB-2   WIN (8/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/3)-(8/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/3)-(8/7/4/3)-(8/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/4/3)-(8/7/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ALB-3   WIN (8/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/3)-(8/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/3)-(8/7/4/3)-(8/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4/3)-(4/5/2)-(12/5/10/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ALB-4   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ALB-5   WIN (12/5/10/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/5/10/11/1)-(12/5/10/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/5/10/11/1)-(12/5/10/11/1)-(12/5/10/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-1   10/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAVITATE TO LAUGH Sep28 Sep12       (villamar candela)MEDELLIN A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
ICY REBEL Sep28 Sep01 Aug17 May11 Apr20 (p)DE CRUZ 124 10.00    
SCR  F S THUNDER RUN         (lello ton)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 122 4.50    
OAKLEY COURT Sep28 Aug17       (amparan alberto)ROSENDO J 122 6.00    
BOLDLY BELIEVE Sep28         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
MARK THE DATE Sep28 Sep12 Sep01 Jun09 Feb18 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 122 3.50 53% 0.90    
CASH UP May04 Apr07       (archuleta adam)CARRENO J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
HAZHONI Sep28 Sep01 Aug23 Jun08 May04 (sing)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 12.00    
ALSONO'S HUNTER Oct27 Oct01 Sep16 Aug14 Aug07 (cadena emili)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 20.00    
10  K P BLAMENGAME Sep28 Jun08 May18 May04 Apr20 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
 
ALB-2   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEMATITE Sep26 Sep06 May12 Dec20 Dec11 (trujillo j)TORRES J 124 12.00    
LUCKY AND DARING Sep26 Sep14 May12 Apr13 Dec18 (g)DE CRUZ 124 10.00    
SIMPERING SMILE Sep06 May12 Apr13 Jan12 Dec11 (martine)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
BIG HOPES Sep06 Aug08 Jul28 Jun01 May10 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 124 10.00 15% 5.80    
FIRST TIME PLAYER Sep26 Sep06 Feb22 Feb01 Jan12 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.00    
GONE KAT Sep26 Jun16 Mar07 Jan05 Nov20 (lambert case)FUENTES A 124 6.00    
GABRIELLA WHO Sep26 Sep14 Jun16 May11 Mar01 (chavez larry)MEDELLIN A 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
ZAPPIN Sep26 Sep14 Aug17 Jul28 Jun08 (chav)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 4.50 25% 2.90    
EMMYS SILVER Sep26 Apr20 Mar07 Feb01 Nov13 (vega a)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
 
ALB-3   10/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEND AGAIN Sep25 Jun15 May11 Apr27 Apr13 (q)DE CRUZ 124 10.00    
EL PATO Sep22 Aug02 Jul19 Jun15 Mar08 (pierce thomas)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00    
ANGELA'S ANGEL Sep05 Aug30 Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 (marquez l)ROSENDO J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
WILD FIREWATER Sep25 Aug23 Mar29 Feb09 Jan25 (meridyth da)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 8.00 7% 12.40    
GOLD EXPRESS Sep25 Sep07 Aug16 Aug02 Jun14 (gleason m)JUAREZ J 124 4.50    
LET EM RIP Sep19 May18 May04 Mar29 Mar07 (martinez e)TORRES J 124 3.50    
DA RINGO Sep21 Sep07 Jun29 Jun09 May11 (gonz)GOMEZ PORTILLO 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
IFFY ASSET CLASS Sep25 Sep07 May05 Apr27 Feb15 (pierce )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
ALB-4   10/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCK IN MY EYES Oct06 Sep26 Jun07 May18 Apr20 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 3.00    
FARMER FRED R F Oct05 Sep06 Aug17 Jul26 Jun09 (mart)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
MY DAD IS THIRSTY Sep25 Sep15 Sep07 Aug25 Aug17 (villamar ca)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 4.50    
BAROSSA Sep13 Aug25 May05 Apr04 Mar08 (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
TEXAS BAD BOY Sep26 Sep06 Aug17 May18 Apr28 (green greg)ROSENDO J 123 2.00 25% 2.90    
ESTEEMED Oct05 Sep11 May11 Apr30 Apr22 (macvittie william)CARRENO J 118 8.00    
 
ALB-5   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST New Mexico State Fair Thoroughbred Futurity Purse ($160K) 2 ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S A GENIUS Sep22 Aug24       (barton )FUENTES T 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of LADY GENIUS by QUINTON'S GOLD)
ON MY MARK Sep22 Aug24 Aug02     (valerio raymond)WADE LYNDIE 117 30.00    
  (by MARKING out of PLENTY OF JOY by DIABOLICAL)
STAND UP GUY Sep22 Sep06       (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN ANTHEM out of DIABOLICAL DAME by DIABOLICAL)
GHOSTLY CHANCE Sep22 Sep06 Aug24     (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 120 30.00    
  (by RUNAWAY GHOST out of ALWAYS A CHANCE by REDATTORE (BRZ))
HOLY HANK Sep22 Aug18 Aug02     (buechler j)HEBERT J 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by HOLY LUTE out of CITY VEIL by GOTHAM CITY)
THE SMOOCH Sep22 Aug18 Aug02     (valerio raymond )SHEPHERD J 117 25.00    
  (by COMFORT out of A KISS FOR MOM by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
HOLDWHATYOUGOT Sep22 Aug18 Aug02 Jun07   (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 20.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of PERFORMANCE REVIEW by ESKENDEREYA)
SIS SPENDER Sep22 Aug18 Aug02     (fincher w)ROSENDO J 117 25.00    
  (by MARKING out of CANDY'S SISTER by STREET BOSS)
RUNAWAY VICTORY Sep22 Aug18 Aug02     (barton dallas)JUAREZ J 120 12.00    
  (by RUNAWAY GHOST out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  SIRRAH Sep22 May26       (buechler j)MEDELLIN A 117 8.00 22% 3.60    
  (by HARRIS out of PASSION TO WIN by EXCESSIVE PASSION)
11  SOUPED UP WILDCAT Sep22 Aug31 May11     (b)DE CRUZ 117 4.50 7% 13.50    
  (by KENTUCKY WILDCAT out of FIRST TO BLUSH by JACK WILSON)
12  HOLY REBEL Sep22 Aug02 Jun07     (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
  (by HOLY LUTE out of SIDEWINDER SALLY by MR. GOLD MOVER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.