Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fresno
Saturday - October 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FNO-3   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(4/2/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(4/2/5/6)-(6/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FNO-4   WIN (4/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/5/6)-(6/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/6)-(6/2/4)-(2/3/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FNO-5   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(2/3/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FNO-6   WIN (2/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/4/5)-(2/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/5)-(2/4/6)-(2/1/8/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FNO-7   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(2/1/8/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FNO-8   WIN (2/1/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/7)-(2/1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/7)-(2/1/8/7)-(2/1/8/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FNO-3   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONITA LEONA Sep15 Aug25 Jul28 Jul06 Jun14 (aquino m)HARVEY B 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  EM N HOLL'S FIESTA Sep08 Sep01 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 (miller quen)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 6.00    
3  MEAN SHARON Oct04 Sep01 Aug10 Aug02 Jul03 (puentes jose)COUTON JULIEN 125 2.00    
4  CLAY'S OPAL INDY Sep28 Jun30 Jun16 May25 May01 (perez serg)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
5  A DIME FOR ME Sep15 Aug10 Jul27 Jul14 Jun30 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 1.60 55% 0.80    
 
FNO-4   10/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY WOLF Sep07 Aug11 Jul05 Jun15 Feb24 (stortz mar)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 3.00    
2  KEEPYOURPRANCEON Sep14 Aug17 Aug03 Jul05 Jun23 (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 10.00 11% 7.80    
3  FLY SOUTH Sep22 Jul13 May18 Apr27 Apr05 (thomas ruby)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 4.00    
4  PATSY MONTANA Sep01 Aug16 Oct28 Feb24 Jan29 (ramos jesu)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 2.00 44% 1.30    
5  SMILIN RUBY Sep22 Jul26 Sep25 Sep03   (thomas r)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 6.00 11% 8.30    
6  DADS DIVA Aug30 Aug04 Jul20 Jun21 Jun02 (peery debbie)COUTON JULIEN 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  TIA SUZI Sep15 Aug18 Aug03 Jul21 Jul12 (peery debbie)OROZCO E 122 6.00    
 
FNO-5   10/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIKE OPERATOR Sep13 Jul07 Jun23 Apr19 Jan01 (aquino m)HARVEY B 121 4.00    
2  KO SAMUI (IRE) Sep15 Aug25 Aug11 Jul21 Jul12 (evans just)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 8.00 17% 5.00    
3  ECOLOGIST Sep21 Aug10 Jun29 Jun07 May18 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
4  GORDY'S BOY Sep21 Sep08 Aug31 Aug16 Jul28 (preciado)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MOUNT PELLIAR Sep08 Aug23 Aug10 Aug20 Jul21 (greiner gary)FLORES P 121 3.00    
6  LORD WIMBORNE (IRE) Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul21 Jul13 (ramos jesu)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 1.80 50% 1.00    
 
FNO-6   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHADOWED THOUGHTS Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 122 2.00    
2  AFTER MY OWN HEART Sep14 Aug17 Aug02 Jun29 May27 (becerra perez)FLORES P 125 4.00 40% 1.50    
3  UNION HARBOR Sep22 Sep01 Jul27 Jul05 May26 (thomas jam)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 6.00 13% 6.80    
4  JAN'S BEST Sep29 Aug16 Aug26 Aug19 Jul15 (hernand)LOPEZ BENJAMIN 125 12.00 12% 7.60    
5  ALMOST GOT LUCKY Jul14 Jun21 Jun02 Apr27 Mar22 (paldaniu)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  TOPPER'S CHIEFTESS Sep22 Apr21 Mar16 Feb23 Nov05 (puentes jos)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 4.50    
7  CONQUEST SECRET Sep22 Sep14 Aug18 Aug11 Jul28 (perez serg)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00    
8  UNIFIED A. P. Sep15 Sep08 Aug08 Dec16 Dec01 (f)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
 
FNO-7   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3 F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTER SUNSET Aug18 Aug03 Jun23 May25 Apr21 (mclean b)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 118 5.00    
2  BROOKYS GAL Sep14 Aug17 Jul28 Jun21 May27 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 118 2.00 41% 1.50    
3  HARNEY LANE Sep28 Aug10 Jul27 Jun28 Aug25 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 118 4.50    
4  WARREN'S WILD RIDE Aug03 Jul20 Jul05 Jun14 May17 (lenzini mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 3.50 23% 3.40    
5  OUTRAGEOUS Sep02 Aug24 Aug10 Jun30 Jun14 (stortz marcia)DURAN F 118 3.00    
6  UNION COACH Sep14 Aug16 Jul26 Jun02 Apr21 (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 113 10.00 7% 14.30    
 
FNO-8   10/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAISLEES PROMISE Sep22 Aug04 Jul07 Jun23   (gonzalez f)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.50 8% 11.50    
2  GIANOLA Sep22 Mar08 Feb25 Jan26 Jan07 (paldaniu)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 2.50 68% 0.50    
3  THECHIEFHASTRICKS Sep22 Jun09 May04 Apr14 Apr07 (puentes jose)COUTON JULIEN 125 10.00    
4  GALLOPING MAJOR Sep22 Aug24 Aug02 Jun30 Jun07 (thomas jam)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 5.00    
5  CRAZY STORM Sep08 Aug25 Aug08 Jul19 Jul06 (gilmo)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 122 6.00    
6  DORADUS Sep22 Sep02 Jul25 Jan07 Dec02 (ramirez m)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 3.50    
7  NOTCH Sep15 Sep02 Aug11 Aug04 Jul13 (aquino m)HARVEY B 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  GALLO DEL CIELO Sep22 Sep02 Aug16 Dec26 Dec09 (preciado gu)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.