Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fort Pierre
Sunday - October 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FTP-1   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(6/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FTP-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
FTP-4   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FTP-6   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(3/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FTP-7   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FTP-1   10/06/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN OF THE ICE Sep13 Sep07 Aug18 Jul20 Jun01 (ducheneaux jamie)DELORME L 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
OLIVIA'S DUCHESS Sep07 Aug18 Aug03 Jul27 Jul13 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 128 7.00 10% 9.20    
READY TO GET LOUD Jul20 Jul13 May17 May12 May05 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 128 5.00 63% 0.60    
LOVESAFLYIN Sep29 Sep13 Jul20 Jun23 Jun15 (fackler s)PINEDA G 128 3.50    
WUMPMUG Sep28 Sep16 Sep02 Aug18 Jul08 (condon sc)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 128 3.00    
 
FTP-2   10/06/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
W F JAZZ CAT Sep13 Sep06 Jul14 Jun22 Jun16 (ducheneaux jamie)DELORME L 128 6.00    
TEDDYISTRUCKING Sep15 Aug18 Jul27 Jul14 Jun22 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 125 4.00 27% 2.70    
GETTIN TWO COZZY Sep07 Aug31 Jun28 Jun01 May26 (moody skip)PINEDA G 125 3.00    
SCR  A C'S OLIVIA ROSE Aug04 Jul28 Jun22 Jun09 Jul30 (coleman michae)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
MISS CANEY Apr14 Mar30 Mar17 Mar03 Apr04 (red mas)PICKNER XAVIER 125 7.00    
RAYS BIG DREAM Sep07 Aug23 Aug09 Jul13 Jun22 (condon sc)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 128 2.00 38% 1.60    
THINKN BOUT DRINKN Sep02 Aug18 Jun01     (estrada francis)WOOD DAKOTA 128 3.50    
 
FTP-4   10/06/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTAIN DON Sep20 Sep14 Sep06 Aug23 Jul13 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 128 2.00    
ROCK N JUNE BUG Sep27 Sep06 Aug16 Jul28 Jul13 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 128 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FAKE SOLUTION May27 May11 Apr27 Mar30 Mar16 (condon sc)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 128 7.00    
TIME MACHINE Sep06 Aug19 Jun30 Jun07 May10 (johnso)MALDONADO ANGEL 128 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCHMOOZE Sep14 Sep06 Aug23 Aug17 Jul28 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 128 4.50 41% 1.40    
 
FTP-6   10/06/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALPINE EMPIRE Aug03 Jul28 May12     (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 128 6.00 25% 3.10    
PICKLES N ME May11 May10 Apr21 Apr07 Mar15 (bethke a)PINEDA G 128 8.00    
SCR  BUMPY GAME Sep07 Aug18 Oct27 Jul23 Jun24 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 128 3.50    
MAXIMUS THE GREAT Jul23 Jul15 Jun25 Jun18 Jun16 (brewer stanley )WOOD DAKOTA 128 4.00    
DIVE DEEP Sep25 Sep14 Sep01 Aug24 Jul24 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 128 2.00 28% 2.60    
MITCHELL COUNTY May12 Jun19 Jun11 Jun04 May22 (coleman michae)ZIEGLER ZACK 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FTP-7   10/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($7.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZOE'S PAPA CEE Jul27 Jun30 Jun23 May19 May12 (coleman michae)ZIEGLER ZACK 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
RUN FOR MATTY Sep07 Aug17 Aug04 Oct21 Sep23 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 128 5.00    
FORCED RANKING Sep28 Sep21 Sep06 Aug16 Jul13 (condon schuyler)WOOD DAKOTA 128 3.00 59% 0.70    
HEZA WILD RIDE Sep14 Aug31 Aug19 Jul13 Jun28 (johnso)MALDONADO ANGEL 128 2.00    
DAVIDIC LINE Sep27 Sep14 Aug26 Jul08 Jun17 (condon sc)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 128 3.50 17% 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.