Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fresno
Saturday - October 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FNO-1   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(5/6/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(5/6/3/1)-(2/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FNO-2   WIN (5/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/3/1)-(2/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/1)-(2/1/3)-(1/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FNO-3   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(1/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(1/2/5)-(7/1/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FNO-4   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(7/1/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(7/1/3/5)-(2/7/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FNO-5   WIN (7/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/3/5)-(2/7/6/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/5)-(2/7/6/1)-(3/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FNO-6   WIN (2/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/6/1)-(3/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/1)-(3/5/2)-(3/2/1/8/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FNO-7   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(3/2/1/8/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
FNO-8   WIN (3/2/1/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/8/7)-(3/2/1/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/8/7)-(3/2/1/8/7)-(3/2/1/8/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FNO-1   10/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS PERU Sep13 Aug18 Jun29 Jun15 Jun02 (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 2.50    
2  DANCING NURSE Sep15 Jul27       (delima clif)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 10.00    
3  STARLIT HARBOR Sep13 Aug18 Aug10 Jun02 May04 (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 122 1.80 38% 1.60    
4  LOOKOUT PASS Sep13 Aug18 Jul13 Jun29 May10 (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 125 4.00    
5  MAMARANDO Sep13 Aug18 Jul27 Jul13 Jun21 (preciado g)AMERICANO MANUEL 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BET THE CHALK Aug11 Jun30       (meier r)DURAN F 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
 
FNO-2   10/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANGEROUS GAME Aug03 Jul20 Jun30 Mar22 Feb11 (pald)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  LIBERTY WOLF Aug25 Aug16 Aug04 Jul20 Jun16 (stortz mar)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 10.00    
3  LASMUIGH (GB) Sep21 Nov18 Oct28 Jul29 May27 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  PICAHOUSE Sep21 Sep08 Aug23 Aug11 Jun30 (bean robert )OROZCO E 122 5.00    
5  BIG STICK Aug24 Aug18 Aug09 Jul04 Jun15 (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 125 2.00 57% 0.80    
6  AUTISM INCLUSION Sep21 Aug18 Jul27 Jul14 Dec30 (tamayo isidro)REYES R 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
7  WINTER SOLDIER Sep08 Aug16 Jul27 Apr14 Mar23 (stortz m)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 5.00    
 
FNO-3   10/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERRY VALLEY Feb10 Jan20 Jan01 Nov26 Oct23 (deli)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 2.50 34% 2.00    
2  ANTHONYS CLEOPATRA Jan14 Dec10 Sep17 Sep03 Jul22 (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 125 1.80 39% 1.60    
3  LUSMA Sep15 Aug18 Aug09 Jul28 Feb02 (perez ser)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  DRAW ME Aug11 Jul20 Jul04 Apr26 Dec10 (eaton terri)HERRERA HUGO 125 3.50    
5  TWILIGHT EMPIRE Aug27 Jul09 Jun24 Jun02 May20 (delima cliff)OROZCO E 125 4.00    
 
FNO-4   10/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMA MARGARITA GIRL Sep21 Aug31 Aug10     (peery debbie)OROZCO E 120 3.00 57% 0.80    
  (by COAST GUARD out of PERFECT PROMISE by ABRAAJ)
2  SHIPPING LANE Sep14 Aug09       (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 120 2.00 13% 7.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  MISTY MALIBU Sep06 Aug10       (peery debbie)REYES R 120 5.00 ★    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of ROYALTON by EL PRADO (IRE))
4  HELLO KID O KID O         (mclean b)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 6.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of NORAH'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  SOLAR BURST         (jauregui o )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MAKE THE SUN SHINE by MALIBU MOON)
6  CLASSY DOE Sep14 Aug09 Jul05 Jun08   (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 120 6.00    
  (by SOUTHERN IMAGE out of LITTLE DOE by KODIAK KOWBOY)
7  A KITTEN FOR SUE         (ledezma se)MONROY FRANCISCO 120 10.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of OUR CURIOUS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
FNO-5   10/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGAR BEETS Sep21 Jul13 Jun21 May26 May05 (badilla man)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 5.00 18% 4.50    
2  CUT ACROSS SHORTY Sep13 Aug10 Jul18 Jun01 May05 (koch a)HERRERA HUGO 125 6.00    
3  HAPPY DOES Sep07 Aug24 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 125 12.00 6% 14.60    
4  THIRD WHEEL Sep01 Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jul06 (evans justin)REYES R 125 8.00    
5  BIG FLAME Sep08 Aug23 Jul28 Jun22 Apr15 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUPERMAZEL Sep02 Jul20 Jun16 May27 May05 (sherman st)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 4.50    
7  RICH GOLD Sep14 Aug18 Jul20 Jun16 Apr27 (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
8  SUMMANUS Sep21 Sep14 Aug24 Aug11 Aug03 (perez serg)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 3.50    
 
FNO-6   10/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIBERIAN SLEW         (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  THIRSTY FRIEND Sep22         (thomas ruby)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 3.00 44% 1.20    
3  BANDON GIG Sep13         (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 122 6.00    
4  ALOHA CHROME Sep02 Jul28 May18 Jan08   (rodriguez fr)OROZCO E 125 5.00    
5  SENOR FEDERICO Sep13 Aug17       (preciado g)AMERICANO MANUEL 122 10.00    
6  SLADE CUTTER Sep13         (miyadi stev)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 10.00 10% 8.70    
7  FAST CHAZ Sep02 Aug15 Jul20 May05 Apr20 (evans justin)REYES R 122 2.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  HANK WILLIAMS Sep22 Aug17 Jul28     (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
 
FNO-7   10/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNGLASSES (GB) Sep15 Jul04 May25 Apr28 Apr06 (badilla ma)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 4.00    
2  PROOF OF JAZZ Sep07 Aug11 Jul14 Jun07 May27 (trujillo ma)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  DERRYGOOLIN Aug17 Aug11 Jul14 Jun09 May25 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 3.00 46% 1.20    
4  TIZZY TWISTER Aug11 Jul21 Jun14 Apr28 Mar29 (evans justin)REYES R 125 4.00    
5  NOTHING IS FOREVER Aug29 Aug16 Jun15 May18 Apr07 (mathis andy)ALVARADO T 122 2.00 19% 4.30    
6  MADEIRA WINE Aug09 Dec10 Oct28 Sep16 Aug27 (badilla manue)RIVERA SANTOS 125 6.00    
 
FNO-8   10/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSE OF JERICHO Aug25 Jul28 Jun21 Jun02 Apr21 (sherman st)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 8.00 7% 13.30    
2  IRISH PRANCER Sep14 Jul06 Jun16 May10 Apr21 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 118 6.00 13% 6.90    
3  LITTLE LADY LOU Aug17 Aug08 Jul05 Jun23 Nov17 (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
4  CEE'S THE IMAGE Sep14 Aug03 Jun23 May25 Apr28 (rondan fel)AMERICANO MANUEL 111 6.00    
5  VHAGAR Sep29 Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 Jun21 (bean a)RIVERA SANTOS 116 12.00    
6  GROOVY GRAY GAL Jul20 Jun22       (lopez l)REYES R 118 10.00    
7  HAPPY CHAPPY Sep14 Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 Jun23 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  LEEDSTHESKY Sep14 Aug18 Jun29 Jun08 May18 (badilla man)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 118 4.50 6% 15.60    
9  BRONZE GIRL Aug31 Aug23 Aug03 Jul20 Jun16 (ramos jesu)MONROY FRANCISCO 118 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.