Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sweetwater Downs
Sunday - September 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SWF-6   WIN (1/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SWF-7   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/5/4)-(6/1/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SWF-8   WIN (6/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/2)-(6/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/2)-(6/8/4/2)-(6/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/4/2)-(3/4/2/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SWF-9   WIN (3/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SWF-6   09/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.9K) 35 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENTICED BY LOV Sep02 Aug18 Aug04 Jul27   (mitchell chris )ARANA MINOR 126 4.50 45% 1.20    
  (by ENTICED out of MEGHAN by TAPIT)
2  INDY SPEEDWAY Aug31 Aug10 Jul27     (mitchell chris)VIRGEN JESUS 123 6.00    
  (by UNDER CAUTION out of HANNAH GOT EVEN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
SCR  MR. DUFF Jul27 Jun29 May26 May10 Apr12 (hol)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 126 8.00    
  (by DANCE HALL DOCTOR out of BIG HONEY BEE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
4  D P KING LOUIE Sep13 Aug30 Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 (giles rae)RIVAS CARLOS 128 2.50 14% 6.40    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of MAMA LULA by FIT TO FIGHT)
5  TRAILERS BULL PEN Sep21 Jul27 Jun30 Jun16 May26 (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 126 12.00    
  (by TYPHOON SLEW out of COLOR ME SEXY by MISREMEMBERED)
6  SCHEELITE Sep06 Aug03 Aug19 Aug06 Oct02 (ewell rodger)LUSK TYSON 125 1.80 10% 9.30    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of FLOWERSINTHEALLEY by FLOWER ALLEY)
7  BIG BLUE CAT Aug24 Aug17 Jul27 Jun16 Oct01 (guadarrama om)JIMENEZ DAVID 128 8.00 8% 11.70    
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of LISA LULU by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
SWF-7   09/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FURLONGIN FOR LUV Sep07 Aug25 Aug03 Jun30 Jun15 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 128 3.00 9% 10.60    
SCR  PRINCESS AMANDA Aug30 Aug17 Mar25 Jan06 Dec02 (condie kendall)GARNETT G 125 10.00    
3  KESSLER KID Sep07 Sep01 Aug18 Jul13 Jun29 (higgins martha)VIRGEN JESUS 128 4.00    
4  ROUGH PASSAGE Sep13 Aug24 Aug10 Jul14 Jun29 (lusk travis)LARSEN S 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BAYOU CHROME Sep07 Aug24 Aug18 Aug10 Jul07 (kellett wes)CARDENAS JACOB 128 4.50 ★    
6  BETTOR TRIP NICK Sep01 Aug18 Aug03 Sep04 Aug05 (christoffers)VALENZUELA R 128 3.50 60% 0.70    
7  MAFIA Aug31 Aug10 Jul06 Jun16 Jun08 (gre)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 128 15.00    
8  ALL IN STEW OUI Aug31 Aug23 Aug10 Jul21 Jun29 (young bre)RIVAS CARLOS 128 6.00    
 
SWF-8   09/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER ANNIE Sep08 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jun15 (taylor josh)ARANA MINOR 125 10.00    
2  FASCINATED Sep01 Aug18 Jul27 Jul21 Jul14 (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  BYE BYE BROOKY Aug30 Jul21 Jun30 Jun15 May18 (young brent)CARDENAS JACOB 125 15.00    
4  MCGEORGE Sep01 Aug18 Aug10 Jul13 Jun15 (christoffers)VALENZUELA R 128 8.00 20% 3.90    
5  BIBLEMAN Aug31 Jul21 Jun30 Jun14 May19 (giles chad)LARSEN S 128 6.00    
6  BAYTOWN MACCA Sep07 Aug18 Jul21 Sep24 Sep09 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 128 3.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  RIVER TIBER (IRE) Sep22 Aug31 Jun30 Jun23 Jun14 (moody ski)RIVAS CARLOS 128 2.50    
8  ZIPPIN PIPPIN Sep08 Jul14 Jun30 Jun08 Dec11 (hadley to)KELLENBERGER KODY 125 4.00 26% 2.80    
 
SWF-9   09/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hasta La Vista Purse ($26.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VANTAGE POINT Sep21 Sep08 Aug11 Jul27 Jul06 (hadley tori)CANALES J 128 5.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of AIN'T SHE SWEET by STORM CAT)
2  LOVELY LOLA Sep08 Aug25 Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 (simpson shan)JOURNET JARRED 125 2.50 15% 5.60    
  (by FLATTER out of ROYALTY by BIRDSTONE)
3  KONA SKYE Sep21 Sep08 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 (hadley to)KELLENBERGER KODY 128 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by U S RANGER out of SQUEEZE ME TIGHT by GOLDEN MISSILE)
4  BARBIERE Sep01 Aug18 Aug11 Jun30 Jun16 (scudder j)VIRGEN JESUS 128 4.50 23% 3.30    
  (by LAST DRAW out of CREME RINSE by LAHOOQ)
SCR  JON L Sep08 Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 Jun22 (tsosie terri)CARDENAS JACOB 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MACHO UNO out of FEISTIER by SIR NASKRA)
6  NEEDABETTERJOCK Sep21 Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul20 (scudder mike)ARANA MINOR 128 10.00    
  (by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL out of NEED TO BELIEVE by HOLY BULL)
7  BUCK OWENS Sep21 Sep08 Aug25 Aug11 Jul13 (story shaun)VALENZUELA R 128 6.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of CARRIE ROSE by OLD TOPPER)
8  PICKINGUPSTRANGERS Sep07 Aug25 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 (sim)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 128 12.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of WRITE WHEN READY by MORE THAN READY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.