Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lethbridge
Saturday - September 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LBG-2   WIN (6/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LBG-3   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-4   WIN (8/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/7/5)-(8/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/7/5)-(8/3/7/5)-(8/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LBG-5   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LBG-2   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DROP A CARIBOU Sep09 Aug28 Aug20 Jul23 Jul15 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 2.00 10% 9.10    
2  SPEEDING STYLE Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 Aug04 Jul14 (brown all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 4.00 9% 10.20    
3  SHOOTIN MONEY Sep09 Aug20 Aug12 Jul02 Jun24 (cameron dean)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00    
4  UNUSUAL ACCOUNT Aug25 Aug17 Aug03 Jul14 Jun16 (perry carl)NELSON RYAN 124 10.00    
5  CHIPPEWA BUD Sep08 Aug18 Jun12 May13 May01 (fike jor)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 12.00    
6  SQUARE ROOT Sep02 Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 Aug19 (depew jim)POWELL ANDRE 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
7  LITTLE CASINO Aug25 Aug18 Aug04 Jul28 Jul14 (brown allen)APANGO JUAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  SPORT COAT Aug04 Jul27 Jul07 Jun28 May25 (fike jordie)GORDON GARFIELD 124 12.00    
 
LBG-3   09/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISTINCT APPROVAL Sep15 Aug18 Aug11 Jul27 Jul21 (cameron )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
2  COUNTESS CAT Sep14 Sep02 Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 (mead colten)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.50    
3  MIAMI SOUVENIRS Sep15 Aug31 Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 (mead colten)SIMPSON W 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  I'M OUTTA HERE Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 Aug04 Jul27 (miyashiro tansley)BUGEAUD L 124 6.00    
5  WICKED WOMAN Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
6  WORKIN NINETOFIVE Sep22 Aug11 Jul27 Jul14 Jul07 (weaselhead godf)NELSON RYAN 124 8.00    
 
LBG-4   09/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LYING GHOST Aug24 Aug09 Jul05 Jun15 May26 (dennis clifton )NELSON RYAN 124 15.00    
2  REMEMBERTHEALAMO Sep15 Sep08 Aug24 Aug11 Aug03 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 12.00    
3  ORCADIAN STORM Sep16 Sep04 Aug28 Aug12 Jul29 (brown all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 1.80 25% 3.10    
4  BEAR ME A MOMENT Sep07 Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 Jun29 (brown alle)APANGO JOSE 124 8.00    
5  MR. PICKLES Sep14 Aug09 Jun28 Jun09 Aug19 (gardipy raymond)SIMPSON W 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  HEY JASPER Sep08 Aug17 Jul28 Jul13 Jun28 (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00    
7  AGENT C Sep07 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 (oberholtzer d)FUENTES FREDY 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
8  ANELLO Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 Aug11 Jul28 (perry carl)ROCHA O 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
LBG-5   09/28/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAYBE SOMETIME Sep16 Sep03 Aug20 Jul23 Jul01 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
2  JAKE THE GREAT Sep07 Aug11 Jul27 Jul01 Jun23 (magnuson lyle)BUGEAUD L 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
3  FLASH OF GLORY Sep14 Sep08 Jul27 Jul01 Jun29 (little nol)NELSON RYAN 124 8.00    
4  MADE THE TEAM Sep07 Aug25 Aug10 Jul26 Jul19 (fike jor)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  SIMMS Sep14 Sep02 Aug11 Jul28 Jul14 (shearer krista )APANGO JUAN 124 3.00    
6  WESTERBERG Sep13 Aug23 Aug04 Jul03 May31 (fike jordie)GORDON GARFIELD 124 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.