Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Thursday - September 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(3/5/6)-(5/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-2   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(5/3/1)-(5/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(5/1/2)-(4/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-4   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(4/6/2)-(3/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-5   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(3/5/6)-(7/5/9/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-6   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(7/5/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(7/5/9/3)-(5/6/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-7   WIN (7/5/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/9/3)-(7/5/9/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/9/3)-(7/5/9/8/3)-(7/5/9/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/9/3)-(5/6/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/9/3)-(5/6/1/3)-(8/3/1/6/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRM-8   WIN (5/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/3)-(8/3/1/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PRM-9   WIN (8/3/1/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/6/5)-(8/3/1/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/6/5)-(8/3/1/6/5)-(8/3/1/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-1   09/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUNDTRACK Sep13 Jul28       (arnett g)TOHILL S 119 1.40 51% 0.90    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PARTY GOER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  WICKED HOT FOOT Sep06 Sep01 Aug24 Aug12 Jul27 (young nicole)PUSAC ALBERTO 116 6.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of AMPLY REWARDED by GRAND SLAM)
3  JADA Sep16 Jul07 Jun17 May27   (anderson dou)GONZALEZ ELVIN 116 2.50 22% 3.60    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MO BABY by UNCLE MO)
4  FROST AND FIRE Dec14         (tracy tanner)BACON W 114 3.50    
  (by FROSTED out of CHARLATANA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  FABLED TALE Apr07 Mar24 Mar10     (anderson l)BIRZER E 119 5.00 6% 14.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of TALETOBETOLD by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
PRM-2   09/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($23.5K) 2 F PT- 7:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY FINE AQUILINE Sep13         (arnett g)TOHILL S 119 10.00    
2  MORA HOPPERTUNITY Sep15 Jun23 May26     (gonzalez jose)BACON W 114 3.50    
3  SHESACINCH Sep13         (gleason tyron)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 1.60 42% 1.40    
4  JUST BARB Sep15 Aug25 Aug02     (martin willi)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 3.00    
5  NALLA D         (jordan todd )JORDAN R 119 4.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  PICKMEUPATMIDNIGHT         (loy dew)DE CRUZ 119 8.00 14% 6.00    
 
PRM-3   09/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M AN OAK Aug18 Aug04 Jul20 Jun23 Jun10 (loy dewain)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  EIGHT STRAIGHT Jun29 Jun08 May31 Apr27 Apr05 (loy dewaine)BACON W 117 15.00    
3  AMERICAN WARRIOR Aug04 Jun22 Jun01 May12 Mar24 (arnett g)BIRZER E 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
4  GO OTTO GO Aug25 Aug03 Jul07 May19 Apr26 (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 1.60    
5  VALE Aug26 Aug04 Jun22 Jun10 May18 (loy dew)DE CRUZ 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  BURN JAKEY BURN Sep21 Aug04 Jul05 Jun10 May11 (arnett g)CORBETT W 122 10.00    
 
PRM-4   09/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONCE UPON A DREAM Aug31 Aug02 Jun28 Jun01 May06 (birzer bonni)JORDAN R 123 6.00 19% 4.10    
2  SIR ELI Sep14 Aug30 Aug11 Feb01 Jan18 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 8.00 6% 15.80    
3  CINCO STEVE Sep06 Jul13 May06 Apr15 Apr01 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 4.00    
4  PITTSBURGH Aug04 Jul09 Jun18 May22 Aug28 (martin willia)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 3.50    
5  FLEET OF HOOF Aug19 Apr27 Mar24 Mar10 Jan28 (tracy tanner)CORBETT W 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
6  GABRIEL'S LEGEND Sep12 Sep01 Aug03 Jul03 Jun01 (donlin larry )BACON W 118 2.00    
 
PRM-5   09/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23.238K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S SOLID SILVER Aug30 Aug04 Jul07 Jun23 Jun10 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.50    
2  SUPER MODEL STROLL Aug16 Jul13 Jun08     (martin willi)JORDAN R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ESPRIT ROUGE Sep09 Aug30 Aug04 Jul14 Jun08 (gleason tyrone)TOHILL S 120 4.00    
4  HARD SPIRITS Sep08 Aug24 Aug04 Jul22 Jun21 (von kel)BACON W 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
5  NAUTICAL MISS Jul08 Jun14 Jun02 May17 Sep29 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 120 6.00    
6  TENNESSEE GRACE Sep16 Aug16 Aug03 Jun23 Sep17 (hargens bob)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
PRM-6   09/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23.238K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GLOME Sep09 Aug23 Aug09 Jul29 Jul12 (hemba brad)BACON W 115 12.00    
2  SURPRISE ROAD TRIP Sep09 Aug12 Jul26 Jun10 May26 (anderson ma)BACHICHA ELIJAH 115 15.00    
3  PLEASEUSETHEPORTAL Aug30 Aug12 Jul26 Jul12 Jun23 (eikleberry k)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 1.80 50% 1.00    
4  SKALKAHO Aug30 Jul22 Jul03 Jun10 May17 (tracy tanner)BIRZER E 120 2.50    
5  WICKLOW LADDIE Sep14 Aug31 Aug12 Jul26 Jul03 (wellington t)JORDAN R 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
6  STROLLER BOY Sep09 Aug30 Aug12 Jul26 Jul03 (guillory )DE CRUZ 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SANGRIA SKY Sep14 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jul08 (tibbitts dave)CORBETT W 124 5.00    
 
PRM-7   09/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.978K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN'T MAKE ME Sep16 Aug31 Aug18 Jul29 Jun29 (mcshane davi)BELTRAN A 124 10.00    
2  BIT A BAD NEWS Aug31 Aug17 Jul29 Jul08 Jun01 (mcshane d)CORBETT W 124 15.00    
3  CATALE Sep07 Aug31 Aug16 Jul29 Jul08 (young )FLETCHER D 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  OLIVIA'S HOPE Sep16 Aug24 Aug04 Jun14 May17 (chleborad lyn)BACON W 115 8.00    
SCR  S C SKYLARS EMPIRE Sep16 Sep08 Aug24 Aug16 Aug03 (condon schuy)JORDAN R 124 3.50 35% 1.80    
6  GET THE LEAD OUT Sep14 Sep01 Aug24 Jul07   (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 8.00    
7  NATUSIA Sep08 Aug24 Aug04 Jul22 Jun29 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
8  NEW YEAR'S BELLE Sep08 Aug24 Jul13 Jun17   (martin willia)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 5.00 ★    
9  AMERICAN SUE Sep16 Aug31 Aug17 Jul29 Jul08 (martinez )DE CRUZ 124 4.00 6% 16.70    
 
PRM-8   09/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SINGING EMMA Aug26 Jul12 Jun07 May20 May03 (loy dew)DE CRUZ 122 2.00 16% 5.40    
2  WREAKING HAVOC Aug26 Jul12 Apr26 Apr06 Mar23 (martin willi)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 3.00    
3  UNBRIDLED LUNAR Aug31 Aug03 Jul20 Jun29   (loy dewaine)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 12.00 6% 17.10    
4  GLAMOROUS LIFE Sep02 Aug16 Jul14 Jun28 Jun09 (anderson w)TOHILL S 122 10.00    
5  RUBYSA Sep09 Aug16 Jul21 Jun30 Mar30 (silva a)BIRZER E 122 5.00 37% 1.70    
6  FEARLESS KRISTIE Sep09 Aug26 Aug05 Jul27 Jun24 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
7  CHIP SHORTAGE Sep09 Aug18 Aug03 Jul21 Jun16 (jordan j)BACON W 113 6.00    
 
PRM-9   09/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT-10:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNIGHT COMMANDER Aug30 Aug03 Jul14 May24 Jan06 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 5.00 6% 14.80    
2  UNCLE SINGH Sep14 Sep02 Aug16 Jul21 Jun15 (donlin d)CORBETT W 121 4.00    
3  SHUT UP MAN Sep14 Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 Jun21 (johnston lane)BACON W 118 3.50 28% 2.50    
4  TIN BADGE Sep16 Aug30 Aug03 Jun15 Apr01 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 10.00    
5  WOKE UP IN LOVE Sep16 May20 Nov01 Oct13 Sep18 (arnett g)TOHILL S 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  TOSKA'S RULER Sep16 Aug17 Jul12 Jun24 May26 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 12.00 5% 18.70    
7  SECRET BLARNEY Sep16 Aug30 Aug17 Jul26 Jun24 (mcshane davi)BELTRAN A 121 15.00    
8  SAY IT NICELY Aug25 Aug03 Jul05 Jun15 Apr30 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
9  SMART N INTUITIVE Aug30 Aug05 Jul14 Jun09 May26 (tracy tanner)JORDAN R 121 15.00    
10  MILTON STREET Aug30 Aug11 Jul21 Jul05 Jun21 (martinez )DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.