Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Monday - September 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/2/4)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(4/3/2)-(1/2/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/3/2)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(1/2/4)-(4/2/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/2/4)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(4/2/3)-(3/2/6) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-4   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/2/3)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(3/2/6)-(5/3/8/4) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-5   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/2/6)-(5/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(5/3/8/4)-(2/1/5/3) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-6   WIN (5/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/4)-(5/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/4)-(5/3/8/4)-(5/3/8/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/3/8/4)-(2/1/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (2/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   09/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFFLEY SPECIAL Aug12 Jul22 Jul09 Jun11 May27 (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 117 0.60 39% 1.60    
HAPPY BIRTHDAY Jul22 Jul16 Jul01 Jun24 Jun17 (stanford maria)DAWKINS DANE 123 5.00 18% 4.60    
NO BARB WIRE Aug27 Aug12 Jul30 Jul08 Sep12 (johnson marion)BELLE SHAVON 123 3.00    
BABY YATTA Sep02 Aug03 Jul28 Jul21 Jul14 (husbands ti)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 116 15.00 6% 15.80    
JACKIE'S THUNDER Sep02 Aug19 Aug14 Jul29 Jul01 (husbands ti)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 8.00    
 
ASD-2   09/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENANO CARO Aug26 Aug12 Aug06 Jul16 Jul01 (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 119 3.50    
SALTO DEL LUPO Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul02 Jun18 (duncan)LEWIS ANTHONY 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
CALL THE COPS Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jul09 Jun25 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 6.00 25% 2.90    
JOHNNY PAYCHECK Aug26 Aug06 Jul09 Jun17 Jun05 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 1.00 47% 1.10    
VEGAS PLAYBOY Aug26 Aug06 Jul15 Jun26 Jun12 (buffalo marvi)CUMBERBATCH R 124 3.00    
 
ASD-3   09/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DROP A CARIBOU Aug28 Aug20 Jul23 Jul15 Jul08 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 1.60 36% 1.80    
CAJUN BERTI Aug14 Jul23 Jun12 Jun04 Apr19 (zawislak dale)CUMBERBATCH R 124 5.00 19% 4.20    
SCREENPLAY Aug26 Jul30 Jul09 Jun12 May27 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.80    
DAAHERS BULLY Jul21 Jul13 Jun15 May19 May12 (cavanaug)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
BIG INVESTMENT Aug28 Aug14 Jul23 Jul08 Jul03 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 3.00    
 
ASD-4   09/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIANT ONE Aug26 Aug05 Jul08 Jun26 Jun12 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.80    
POSEIDONS WAVE Aug26 Jul28 Jun30 May04 Apr21 (delaronde)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 6.00 7% 14.30    
SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN Aug28 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 (desjar)PATTERSON R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
EXOTIC'S BEAR Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jul10 Jun26 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
PRAIRIE DRIFTER Sep04 Aug14 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 3.50    
SCR  WELDON G Sep04 Aug20 Aug04 Jul28 Jul21 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 8.00    
 
ASD-5   09/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAINT PIO Aug19 Aug13 Aug05 Jul16 Jul03 (stanford mar)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 2.00    
SHOOTIN MONEY Aug20 Aug12 Jul02 Jun24 Jun18 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 10.00 17% 4.80    
FAR BEYOND Aug26 Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 Jun26 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
VENTI Aug13 Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 May28 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 3.00    
YOLA Aug26 Aug14 Jul30 Jul08 Jun17 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 5.00    
FAST TRAFFIC Aug27 Aug14 Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 (delaronde lee)CUMBERBATCH R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-6   09/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANKLY Aug14 Jul09       (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 3.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of PLAIN BROWN by SIGHTSEEING)
MAJOR NOTE Aug21         (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 122 20.00    
  (by NONIOS out of NOTE TO SELF by NOTEBOOK)
BUBBLY TALKIN Aug14         (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of CHAMPAGNE TALKING by TIZNOW)
SGT. FILKOW Aug27         (husbands ti)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of THUNDER GIRL by CRAFTY)
HEYSWEETDARLIN         (hartmann jami)CUMBERBATCH R 117 3.50 33% 2.10    
  (by SATURDAYNITELITES out of DREAM PROOF by IDIOT PROOF)
SCR  NIKKITYSPLIT         (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 114 5.00    
  (by SPECULATING out of SPITEOFSUCCESS by MIDSHIPMAN)
SHIZETTE Aug14 Jul29       (jordan jennife)DAWKINS DANE 119 30.00    
  (by NONIOS out of SAN DIEGO NIGHTS by ALYDEED)
COUNTER COMMAND         (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 6.00 13% 6.90    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of GIGI by THE FACTOR)
 
ASD-7   09/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AYY LADIES Aug21 Aug12 Jul29 Jul16 Jun17 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 6.00 9% 10.40    
SPUN LINE Aug26 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 Jun04 (brown jared)ALI RONALD 123 1.40 58% 0.70    
DANZIGS STAR STORM Sep02 Aug21 Jul30 Jul16 Jun19 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
DIAMOND GRAND Aug26 Aug14 Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 (gaskin st)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.00    
PEPPERMINT SISTER Aug27 Aug04 Jul20 Jul14 Jun22 (champagne co)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 20.00 7% 13.80    
MISS PARFAIT Jul30 Jul08 Jun19 Jun10 May21 (jordan jenn)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 15.00    
RUNAWAY A. TRAIN Aug28 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May21 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 123 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.