Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sweetwater Downs
Sunday - September 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SWF-7   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
SWF-8   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
SWF-9   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(5/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
SWF-10   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SWF-7   09/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCHESTER'S FINEST Aug31 Aug18 Aug04 Jul06 Jun22 (kemper kerry)LUSK TYSON 128 3.00 44% 1.30    
GO THRU THE HOLE Aug25 Aug16 Aug04 Jul13 Jun29 (story shaun)JOURNET JARRED 128 2.50    
WYOMING CONQUEST Aug24 Aug04 Jul06 Jun22 Sep23 (hall dru)CARDENAS JACOB 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STREET N SOUR Sep02 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 (simpson lyn)CANALES J 128 8.00    
DISCO DANZING Aug25 Aug10 Jul13 Jun29 Jun09 (simpson lyn)OLIVO JUAN 128 4.50    
RESTLESS RAMBLER Sep01 Jul14 Jun22 Jun09 May11 (lusk travis)LARSEN S 128 4.00    
GREY ROGUE Sep01 Aug18 Jul20 Jul13 Jun29 (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 128 6.00 31% 2.20    
 
SWF-8   09/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIZONA STEPHEN Jun22 Jun14 Jun09 May27 May19 (ibanez albert)JIMENEZ DAVID 128 5.00    
MOON HOLLOW Aug30 Sep30 Sep10 Sep02 Aug05 (nielsen rodn)CARDENAS JACOB 128 10.00    
GLORYS ROMANCE Aug31 Jul27 Jun29 Jun15 Sep24 (richins britt)ZAVALA JULIAN 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
LEAP DAY Sep01 Aug18 Aug03 Jul21 Jun28 (tsosie te)IRONEYES R 128 1.60 64% 0.60    
SUPERMAN SHAQ Jul21 Jun30 Jun15 Oct01 Sep15 (giles raele)OLIVO JUAN 128 3.50 8% 11.60    
BAM BAM AGAIN Aug18 Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 Aug27 (giles raelee)CARILLO DANIEL 128 2.00    
 
SWF-9   09/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sue Wallis Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOW DOSE Aug30 Aug17 Jul14 Jun30 Apr08 (mitchell chr)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 3.50    
  (by BAYERN out of POCKETFUL by TOP HIT)
DR GS SWEETIE Aug04 Jul14 Jun30 Jun15 Sep23 (hadley tori)OLIVO JUAN 128 3.00    
  (by CHITU out of TRUE BLUE NATION by BLUEGRASS CAT)
ZIPPIN PIPPIN Jul14 Jun30 Jun08 Dec11 Nov10 (hadley to)IRONEYES R 128 4.50 12% 7.10    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of PROUD DAME by PROUD ACCOLADE)
CRIMSON LADY Aug11 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 (scudder rick)VALENZUELA R 128 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SUSAN'S WILDCAT by FOREST WILDCAT)
DONNA LIRICA Sep01 Aug17 Aug11 Jul27 Jul14 (ibanez alber)JOURNET JARRED 128 10.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of DO IT AGAIN by LANGFUHR)
SATIN HEART Aug25 Aug04 Jul14 Sep23 Sep04 (scudder jr)LUSK TYSON 128 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by BRADESTER out of IN GOLD BLOOD by MY GOLDEN SONG)
SUPER ANNIE Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jun15 Apr18 (taylor josh)ZAVALA JULIAN 128 8.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of PERFECT ANNIE by PERFECT MANDATE)
 
SWF-10   09/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST John Schiffer Memorial Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BARBIERE Sep01 Aug18 Aug11 Jun30 Jun16 (scudder rick)VALENZUELA R 128 4.50    
  (by LAST DRAW out of CREME RINSE by LAHOOQ)
VANTAGE POINT Aug11 Jul27 Jul06 Jun29 Jun16 (hadley to)IRONEYES R 128 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of AIN'T SHE SWEET by STORM CAT)
HOWBEIT Aug25 Jul27 Jul13 Jun08 Apr30 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 128 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of EMERLAUDE by EL CORREDOR)
JON L Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 Jun22 Jun16 (tsosie terri)CARDENAS JACOB 128 3.50    
  (by MACHO UNO out of FEISTIER by SIR NASKRA)
KONA SKYE Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 Sep24 (hadley tori)CANALES J 128 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by U S RANGER out of SQUEEZE ME TIGHT by GOLDEN MISSILE)
BUCK OWENS Aug25 Aug11 Jul13 Jun30 Jun08 (story shaun)JOURNET JARRED 128 5.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of CARRIE ROSE by OLD TOPPER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.