Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Harrah'S Columbus Nebraska
Saturday - September 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HCN-1   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(1/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HCN-1   09/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($8.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFUL JUDGE Apr12 Mar30 Mar15 Mar01 May14 (curran randy)FACKLER CHRIS 125 4.00 23% 3.40    
NONA Aug18 Apr26 Apr12 Mar24 Mar10 (hoffman r)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 6.00 7% 12.40    
JUDGE JENNINGS Aug23 Apr12 Mar30 Mar15 Feb25 (johnson m)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 36% 1.80    
P R COMIN IN HOT Aug24 Aug03 Jul28 Jun22 Jun15 (haar j)MARTINEZ R 125 2.50    
MAY B BETTER Aug24 Apr12 Mar24 Mar10 Feb25 (hoffman robert)KIMES C 125 3.50    
 
HCN-2   09/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC IN A HAT Aug24 Aug18 Jul20 Jul13 Jun09 (schindler jeff)MARTINEZ R 125 2.00 63% 0.60    
BOURN Sep01 Aug18 Aug02 Jun08 May16 (gonzalez )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 3.50    
LIL MISS DE BUY Sep01 Aug17 Jun30 Jun23 Jun08 (luke l)KIMES C 125 6.00 9% 10.60    
APRETTYLULABY Aug31 Jul21 Jul03 May17 May04 (arceo sal)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50    
OLIVIA'S DUCHESS Aug18 Aug03 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 (reynolds caro)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
HCN-3   09/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN FOR MATTY Aug17 Aug04 Oct21 Sep23 Jun09 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 6% 15.30    
POKER PLAY Sep01 Jul13 Jun24 May27 Mar16 (arceo sal)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50    
HOODOO BROWN Aug31 Aug17 Jul11 Jun27 Jun05 (snodgrass eri)FACKLER CHRIS 125 3.50    
GUINESSEY Aug23 Jul17 Jun27 Jun13 May06 (wise jason)KIMES C 125 2.00 35% 1.80    
FERRARI ROAD Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 Jul10 Jun27 (muckey john)BETHKE A 125 3.00    
RIVERSPORT Sep02 Aug18 Aug03 Jul03 Jun02 (gonzalez )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 6.00 26% 2.90    
 
HCN-4   09/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET THELMA JEAN Jun27 Jun13 May06 Nov18 Oct25 (snodgrass er)BETHKE A 123 12.00    
STOLEN HALO Aug24 Jul14 Jun16 Jun02 May19 (haar robe)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 2.00 50% 1.00    
PRINCESSOFCHITOWN Sep01 Aug18 Jul21 Jun22 Jun15 (schindler jeff)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00 22% 3.60    
TRIBAL SPIRIT Aug24 Aug16 Jul12 Jun23 Jun09 (arceo sal)MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.60    
SCR  SCANDALOUS (GB) Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 May13 Apr29 (snodgrass eri)FACKLER CHRIS 123 8.00    
TAPIT'S LADY Aug16 May11 Apr14 Mar29 Mar17 (bobier bob)KIMES C 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
QUEEN OF THE ICE Aug18 Jul20 Jun01 May17 May12 (duchenea)SEESTHEGROUND KOBE 125 10.00    
 
HCN-5   09/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ BRIGHTER May11 Apr20 Apr06 Mar02 May14 (rivera g)SEESTHEGROUND KOBE 125 5.00    
P R WHY NOT Sep02 May10 Apr06 Oct08 Jun04 (rivera grego)BETHKE A 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
PAISANO JIM Aug18 Apr21 Apr06 Mar23 Mar02 (anderson c)KIMES C 125 4.50 11% 8.20    
KENHEDOIT Sep02 Aug18 May10 May04 Apr21 (dieter da)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 1.80 54% 0.90    
BUMPY GAME Aug18 Oct27 Jul23 Jun24 Jun17 (reynolds caro)FACKLER CHRIS 125 3.50    
MR. BIG SHOT Aug18 May04 Apr21 Apr07 May12 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50    
PICKELJUICE Aug18 May11 May10 Apr07 Mar23 (musquiz j)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 7% 13.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.