Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Woodbine
Friday - August 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WO-1   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/6/1)-(5/9/2/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(5/9/2/8/3)-(1/6/3/7) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
WO-2   WIN (5/9/2/8/3) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (5/9/2/8/3)-(5/9/2/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/2/8/3)-(5/9/2/8/3)-(5/9/2/8/3) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/2/8/3)-(1/6/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/2/8/3)-(1/6/3/7)-(1/2/5) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
WO-3   WIN (1/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/7)-(1/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/7)-(1/6/3/7)-(1/6/3/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (1/6/3/7)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/7)-(1/2/5)-(9/7/1/10/8) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
WO-4   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/7/6/5)-(1/2/7/6/5) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
    DD (1/2/5)-(9/7/1/10/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(9/7/1/10/8)-(4/3/2) 45 $0.20 $9.00 
WO-5   WIN (9/7/1/10/8) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (9/7/1/10/8)-(9/7/1/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/1/10/8)-(9/7/1/10/8)-(9/7/1/10/8) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/1/10/8)-(4/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/7/1/10/8)-(4/3/2)-(3/7/1/6) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
WO-6   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/3/2)-(3/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(3/7/1/6)-(9/4/8/6/3) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
WO-7   WIN (3/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/7/1/6)-(9/4/8/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
WO-8   WIN (9/4/8/6/3) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (9/4/8/6/3)-(9/4/8/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/8/6/3)-(9/4/8/6/3)-(9/4/8/6/3) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WO-1   08/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($111.3K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATSONVILLE RED         (depaulo mi)CAMPOS LUIS 118 8.00 7% 13.60    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ICE FESTIVAL by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  FABER         (attard kevin)MORAN PIETRO 113 3.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of DISOBEDIENT by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  SPIRITUAL MAN Aug04         (dixon)GASKIN ZAVIER 113 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of OBEAH WOMAN by MOBIL)
4  ACCELERANDO         (vassilieva kate)VIVES SOFIA 121 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of AMERICAN SUGAR by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  NITROGEN         (casse mark)CIVACI SAHIN 118 1.60 42% 1.40    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of TIFFANY CASE by UNCLE MO)
6  SLUGGERNAUT         (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 2.50 18% 4.70    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of SARASOTA SUNRISE by THUNDER GULCH)
 
WO-2   08/30/2024 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($39.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M TENACIOUS Aug10 Jul18 Jun15 May12 Apr27 (mattine michae)MORAN PIETRO 117 8.00    
2  JUST ON TIME (FR) Jul06 Jun08 Oct28 Oct14 Sep23 (ladauceur haro)FLORES ESWAN 123 3.00 13% 6.70    
3  EGBERT J Jun15 Sep16 Jul02 Jun17 May27 (buttigieg paul )MORAN DAVID 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHICAGO TYPHOON Aug08 Jul11 Jun27 Aug26 Aug11 (squires nathan)ADAMS AUSTIN 116 6.00    
5  LADY WELLINGTON Aug10 Jul18 May25 May04 Oct28 (des)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
6  LADY XI Aug09 Aug02 Jul11 Jun30 Jun22 (lepiane paul)JOHNSON KIRK 125 12.00    
7  SECRET GIZMO Aug01 Jul06 Jun15 May30 Aug04 (jones)GASKIN ZAVIER 116 15.00    
8  APRIL DE VELP Aug08 Jul18 Jul07 Jun09 May24 (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 121 10.00 5% 18.30    
9  HYPER AWAKENING Aug18 Jul18 Jul06 May11 Dec14 (palmer ker)HUSBANDS J 113 4.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  CANDID CANDACE Jul18 Jun23 May25 Nov24 Nov10 (doyle j)MORAN DAVID 118 5.00    
 
WO-3   08/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($39.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S A FLUKE Jul21 Jun07 May05 Oct15 Sep10 (tharrenos will)MORAN PIETRO 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
2  FOREST STAR Jul20 Jun30 Jun21 Jun07 Dec10 (dominguez sand)ADAMS AUSTIN 116 20.00    
3  STORMIN DAVE Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 Jun07 May19 (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 123 3.50 13% 6.90    
4  PASSTHEPUDDINPLEAZ Jul26 Jun14 May31 Dec14 Dec01 (drake m)SALLES LEO 121 10.00    
5  MOON OVER EGBERT Jul27 Jun28 May26 Apr28 Sep24 (mcknight norma)AEBLY FRASER 118 2.50    
6  MO TOURIST Jun28 Jun07 May19 May05 Dec08 (armata v)HUSBANDS J 118 6.00 15% 5.80    
7  TOWN'S WARRIOR Aug16 Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 Jun06 (gittens devo)NICHOLLS KEVEH 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  DREAM ON BABY Jul26 Jul07 Jun13 Jun02 May05 (mor)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 121 8.00    
 
WO-4   08/30/2024 4290ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWAGGISH Apr20 Mar23 Feb21 Feb07 Jan18 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 121 3.00 53% 0.90    
2  JAMIESTA Aug23 Aug02 Jul26 Jul05 Jun07 (armata v)HUSBANDS J 116 8.00 20% 4.00    
3  MAD DOG N JOE Jul28 Jul07 Jun16 May31 May19 (pottinger anthony)ELLIS S 121 8.00    
4  PROVEN STRATEGIES Jul28 Jul12 Jun16 May26 Dec03 (coryat a)FLORES ESWAN 121 20.00    
5  SALVATOR MUNDI Aug02 Jul12 Jun16 May24 Dec17 (ladauceur haro)AEBLY FRASER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SMALL TALK Jul28 Jul07 Nov11 Sep29 Aug11 (callaghan kell)MORAN PIETRO 118 6.00 ★    
7  EXECUTIVE SEARCH Jun07 May17 Apr25 Mar22 Feb23 (dre)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 121 4.50 ★    
8  SOUPER RIVER Aug02 Jul12 Dec03 Nov17 Oct20 (borsk a)MORAN DAVID 121 4.00    
9  JIMMIES BIG DAY Jul25 May24 Dec17 Nov19 Nov02 (buttigieg)WILSON JAYNE 121 20.00    
10  BLAME J D Jul11 Jun09 May26 Apr28 Mar28 (mckni)GASKIN ZAVIER 116 10.00    
 
WO-5   08/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($28.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAYEK Jul25 Jul04 Jun15 May17 Apr28 (mcknight norma)AEBLY FRASER 113 8.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  SPEEDY ROSE Aug09 Jul25 Nov26     (butti)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 4.50    
3  LILLZ HOPE Aug01 Dec14 Nov17 Oct28 Oct07 (sprenger han)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 20.00    
4  PRACTICAL GIZMO Aug08 Aug01 Jul11 Jun27 Jun10 (samulak a)CRAWFORD J 121 20.00    
5  HEKLA'S AURA Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 May23 (colbourne)WILSON JAYNE 121 12.00    
SCR  SMILES FOR DAVID Aug01 Jul11 Jun20 May30 May10 (knight f)HOYTE JASON 121 6.00    
7  KRYPTO GAINS Aug08 May30 May04 Dec16 Dec01 (parente pat)SALLES LEO 121 4.00 22% 3.50    
8  TATOOSONMYSOUL Aug08 Jul18 Jun27 Jun02 May10 (rombis)ALDERSON IAN 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  DIXIE MORNING Jul27 Jun30 Aug06 Jul16 Jun23 (doyle j)MORAN DAVID 123 3.00 25% 2.90    
10  FIRST ROUND PICK Jul18 Jun10 Nov24 Nov05 Oct06 (minshall barba)MORAN PIETRO 116 10.00 6% 15.30    
11  DIAL A CLICHE Aug10 Jun20 May18     (tiller robert)KERR CHEYENNE 112 10.00    
 
WO-6   08/30/2024 4620ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($113.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARATOGA VISION Aug02 Jul06 Jun15 Jun01 Oct14 (patykewich ale)FLORES ESWAN 121 4.00    
2  GOLDEN GHOST (GB) Aug05 Jun29 May12 Mar30 Feb03 (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 120 6.00 5% 17.70    
3  PERSONAL PURSUIT Jul21 Jun29 Dec23 Oct19 Sep23 (casse mark)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.00 19% 4.10    
4  LOVE TO SHOP Nov11 Oct01 Sep03 Jul22 Jun10 (attard ke)WILSON JAYNE 123 1.60 51% 0.90    
5  ECSTASY Jul27 Jul13 Jun21 May26 May05 (attard c)AEBLY FRASER 117 10.00    
6  PEMBERLEY Aug02 Jun15 Nov02 Oct13 Sep17 (mattine michae)MORAN PIETRO 118 15.00    
 
WO-7   08/30/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($54.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIZZEN ASH Aug01 Jun27 Feb24 Jan17 Dec30 (mattine michael)SALLES LEO 121 6.00 13% 6.80    
2  UMNEYAAT Aug11 Jul26 Jul04 Jun20 Jun07 (mcdonald michae)HOYTE JASON 121 12.00    
3  STREGA Jul19 Jun01 Dec09 Oct22 Aug20 (bia)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 3.00 41% 1.40    
4  ASHBURY Aug04 Jul11 Jun08 Dec07 Nov11 (banach darwin )AEBLY FRASER 118 3.50    
5  DIOSA CATRINA Aug01 Jun15 Apr24 Apr06 Feb24 (wright michael )VIVES SOFIA 121 20.00    
6  BIJOU BABY Jul06 Jun15 May19 Nov16 Oct14 (day-phillips c)MORAN PIETRO 118 8.00 6% 16.50    
7  KITTEN'S ROMANCE Jul26 Jul06 Jun15 May17 Dec16 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.50 19% 4.30    
8  VOICE FROM ABOVE Jul18 Jun01 Mar13 Feb21 Jan18 (danner kelse)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 10.00    
 
WO-8   08/30/2024 3960ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($65.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY WITH ATTITUDE Jun02         (colbourne)SEECHARAN A 124 20.00    
2  LINDA'S OPAL Aug10 Jul07       (bunta)GASKIN ZAVIER 119 4.00    
3  SECRET BUTTERFLY         (krczmar ze)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  WHISKEY N ICE Aug10 Jul20 Jun13 May30   (attard c)AEBLY FRASER 115 3.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  ALPHA GAMMA GIRL Jul20         (glennon darr)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 10.00    
6  PRETTY GOOD JOKE Aug10 Jul21 Jun29     (nosowenko nich)FLORES ESWAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  NEW PLAY Jul09         (attard steve)MORAN PIETRO 119 20.00    
8  PRINCESSONAMISSION Aug03 Jul04 Jun13 May17 Nov11 (cole krist)HUSBANDS J 119 6.00 8% 11.50    
9  REVERSE PSYCHOLOGY Jul27         (douglas ma)CAMPOS LUIS 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
10  ONDINE LADY Jul07 Jun13 Dec10 Nov11 Oct07 (pio)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 8.00    
11  TRUSTMYDADDYISSUES Aug10         (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.