Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - August 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 4 $0.20 $0.80 
    DD (5/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(5/2/3)-(7/6/5) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-2   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/2/3)-(7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(7/6/5)-(4/3/2) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (7/6/5)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(4/3/2)-(8/5/2/1) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-4   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/3/2)-(8/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(8/5/2/1)-(5/6/7/3) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (8/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/2/1)-(8/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/2/1)-(8/5/2/1)-(8/5/2/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (8/5/2/1)-(5/6/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/2/1)-(5/6/7/3)-(8/5/6) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-6   WIN (5/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/6/7/3)-(8/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-7   WIN (8/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/6)-(8/5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/6)-(8/5/2/6)-(8/5/2/6) 18 $0.20 $3.60 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   08/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBIL CREEK Aug14 Jul22 Jul09 Jun10 May27 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 2.00    
CAVORE Jul09 Jun25 Jun10 May21 Sep13 (cole terry)ALI RONALD 117 3.00    
WIDGET GIDGET Aug19 Aug03 Jul28 Jul21 Jun16 (martin dean)PARRIS SACHIN 113 15.00 29% 2.50    
JUST A POSE Aug14 Jul29 Jul09 Jun25 Jun05 (pruitt)PATTERSON R 123 1.20    
PEPPERMINT SISTER Aug04 Jul20 Jul14 Jun22 May17 (champagne co)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 6.00 34% 2.00    
 
ASD-2   08/27/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOUSE LIMIT Aug20 Aug13 Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 4.00    
RAILSPLITTER Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 Sep20 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
LIARS CLUB Aug20 Aug03 Jul21 Jul14 Jun19 (delaronde le)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
DOUBLE TIME Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 124 10.00    
CLUB CHAMP Aug12 Jul23 Jul03 Jun18 Jun04 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 124 1.20 44% 1.30    
CELERITY Aug20 Jul29 Jul23 Jul01 Jun04 (delaro)PATTERSON R 124 8.00    
 
ASD-3   08/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITSAPRILSDAY Aug14 Jul23 Jul09     (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 114 25.00    
  (by NONIOS out of ITSMOLLYSDAY by GOING COMMANDO)
SCR  HE KNOWS WE KNOW Aug12 Jul29       (brown jared)ALI RONALD 122 1.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of NOSE THE POSE by GOING COMMANDO)
MINI GLAZED DONUT Aug14 Jul29       (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 119 20.00    
  (by PASSION FOR ACTION out of SWEET CINNAMON BUN by POWER BROKER)
TWOLEFTTOLOAD Aug12 Jul23 Jul09     (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 2.50    
  (by SPECULATING out of TALKN TIL MIDNIGHT by BROKEN VOW)
TURN IT LOOSE Aug06         (hartmann jami)CUMBERBATCH R 119 20.00 6% 16.70    
  (by SATURDAYNITELITES out of CRITICAL CHOICE by MARQUETRY)
SGT. FILKOW         (husbands ti)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 15.00 26% 2.80    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of THUNDER GIRL by CRAFTY)
PRINCEOFTHEPRAIRIE Jul29         (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by EDISON out of MILLS BRUSH by CAPE CANAVERAL)
 
ASD-4   08/27/2024 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMANDOSLASTDANCE Aug06 Jul22 Jul09 Jun19 Jun03 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 2.50    
HIGHLANDER HONEY Aug13 Jul07 Jun22 May12 Apr27 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 15.00 19% 4.20    
SEBADAS Jul02 Jun17 Sep03 Jul30   (hrymak br)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
UNDER BUDGET Aug12 Jul15 Jul02 Jun19 Jun11 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 117 2.00 26% 2.80    
DIRTY FLIRT Aug06 Jul15 Jul02 Mar03 Feb18 (duncan murray)CHOW CHAVION 117 5.00    
SCR  OFFLEY SPECIAL Aug12 Jul22 Jul09 Jun11 May27 (gaskin steven)CUMBERBATCH R 117 15.00    
MIDNIGHTCANDYSTORM Aug12 Jul02 Jun19 May27 Dec29 (gardip)PATTERSON R 121 8.00    
 
ASD-5   08/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B B BEAR Jul30 Jul10 Jul01 Jun03   (anderson carl)BALROOP SVEN 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
SUNDANCE SALLY         (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 15.00 12% 7.20    
BLUE TANGO (GB) Aug13 Jul30 Jul10 Jun25 Jun03 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 112 6.00    
BOTTLES AN BIBLES Aug21 Aug13 Jul30 Jul10 Jun19 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 123 40.00    
NO BARB WIRE Aug12 Jul30 Jul08 Sep12 Aug29 (johnson marion)BELLE SHAVON 123 3.50 24% 3.10    
PAM'S AWESOME Aug13 Jul30 Jul03 Aug21   (gaskin st)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 8.00    
TREE HUGGER Aug21 Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 Jun03 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 117 2.50    
LOLA LEE Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jun17 Jun03 (gaskin steven)CUMBERBATCH R 117 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
ASD-6   08/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Nephrite Overnight Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXACTING Aug14 Aug05 Jul16 Jul02 May28 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 119 4.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CENTRING by A.P. INDY)
CONVENTION Aug14 Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 Jun05 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 119 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FANCY DAY by SHAMARDAL)
DEANOS CAPE Aug14 Aug05 Jul22 Jul09 Jun26 (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of JODY SLEW by SLEW CITY SLEW)
GLAVA Jul12 Jun08 May31 May10 Oct21 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 119 6.00    
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of ZENZELDA by REY DE CAFE)
BLAZING BO Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 Jun10 May20 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.80 49% 1.10    
  (by OXBOW out of TAPANEL by TAPIT)
MAGIC TIGER Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 May20 Sep19 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 119 5.00 11% 7.80    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FUNNY GAL by LUCKY PULPIT)
BIG NICK Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 Jun05 May20 (duncan murray)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 3.50 10% 9.00    
  (by BAYERN out of APPEARANCE by HARLINGTON)
 
ASD-7   08/27/2024 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY CAMPER Aug14 Aug05 Jul15 Jun26 Jun05 (desjarlai)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 20.00    
WILL IS CHILL Aug14 Jul29 Jun26 Jun04 Feb10 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 1.60    
FAST TRAFFIC Aug14 Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 Jun26 (delaronde lee)CUMBERBATCH R 124 6.00    
CAPTIVE KITTEN Aug14 Aug06 Jul22 Jul03 Jun18 (morse victo)BADALOO DOUGLAS 119 15.00    
TOOL TIME Aug05 Jul01 May24 May04 Oct21 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 5.00 32% 2.10    
MISTER K Aug14 Aug05 Jul22 Jul16 Jun12 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
COURAGEOUS Aug19 Aug06 Jul29 Jul15 Jun10 (stanford mari)PARRIS SACHIN 112 30.00    
GALLANT OAK Aug14 Aug05 Jul22 Jul02 Jun24 (danelson gary)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.