Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gillespie County Fair
Sunday - August 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GIL-9   WIN (9/7/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/8/10)-(9/7/8/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GIL-10   WIN (3/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/5)-(3/8/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/5)-(3/8/1/6/5)-(3/8/1/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GIL-9   08/11/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KITCHEN MATCH Jul21 Apr28 Aug26 Aug13 Jul16 (hernandez j)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 20.00    
NATURAL HIGH Jul20 Aug12 Jul15 Jun22 May27 (echeverria)MORALES X 128 12.00    
RED BIRD'S STORM Jul21 Feb11 Feb02 May27 May14 (camacho jose)VERA T 128 6.00    
APPEAL GUY Jan05 Aug26 Aug12 Jul15 Jul02 (aguirre rica)BEVERLY JR 128 12.00    
GET WITT GONE Jul20 Jun09 May25 Apr27 Mar02 (sauceda jess)VIVANCO L 128 3.50    
QUEEN OF THUNDER Jul20 May19 Jun24 May06 Mar26 (roman manuel)VITAL HUMBERTO 123 15.00    
PLAY RULE Jul13 May18 May03 Feb25 Aug13 (rou)URIETA MANUEL 128 4.00 30% 2.30    
DON'T BLAME DEXTER Jul20 Jul16 Aug27 Jul17   (hernandez al)FIERRO RODOLFO 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
MY LITTLE PRINCE Jul20 Jul13 Jun01 May04 Apr19 (hibdon n)BENAVIDES D 128 3.00 42% 1.40    
10  CIBOLO ERL Jul21 May18 Apr07 Aug26 Jul15 (jolley j)ALVIZO RAFAEL 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
GIL-10   08/11/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL MOMENT Jul21 Jun02 May10 Apr28 Mar22 (sauceda je)MORALES X 128 4.00    
WAR ROGUE Apr05 Feb11 Oct13 Aug26 Aug13 (deleon pilar)VIVANCO L 128 6.00    
LITTLE AVENGER Jul20 May10 Apr05 Feb23 Feb03 (camacho jose)VERA T 128 3.50 42% 1.40    
HARRY Jul21 May18 May10 Mar10 Feb11 (rou)URIETA MANUEL 128 8.00    
SCHOENHARDT Jul21 Aug13 Jul16 Jun15 May06 (carrizal)ALVIZO RAFAEL 128 12.00 5% 19.00    
DOC'S BOLERO Jul21 Jul03 Jun02 May10 Apr26 (hibdon n)BENAVIDES D 128 2.50    
RUN ON GIRL Jul21         (roubion steve)CHAPA I 123 20.00    
JUSTIN SPEIGHT Jun29 Jun14 Jun02 May03 Apr19 (hibdon mark)RAMIREZ PAULINA 128 6.00 34% 1.90    
HOLIDAY RUN Jul21 May18 Apr18 Mar24 Mar03 (ascencio jua)EDISON JOCELYN 123 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.