Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
North Dakota Horse Park
Sunday - August 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FAR-1   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FAR-4   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FAR-5   WIN (3/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/4)-(3/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/4)-(3/7/1/4)-(3/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FAR-6   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
FAR-8   WIN (8/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/3)-(8/4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/3)-(8/4/2/3)-(8/4/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FAR-1   08/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($4.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET GUSSIED UP Jul28 Jun18 May27 May06 Feb25 (cavanaugh perr)BEETEM BRIAN 119 1.80 51% 1.00    
2  UNKNOWN CALLER Jul27 Apr18 Mar15 Feb25 Feb03 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 119 2.50    
3  A C'S OLIVIA ROSE Jul28 Jun22 Jun09 Jul30 Jul14 (delorme )SEESTHEGROUND KOBE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  FINBARFUREY Jul27 Jul14 Jun01 Jun14 Apr23 (backhaus lexon)WOOD DAKOTA 126 3.00    
5  SCRATCH ME Jun28 Jun23 May18 Apr05 Mar17 (allery mark)BETHKE A 126 10.00    
6  HOPPYS CLASSIC Jul28 Jul14 Jun16     (horst scot)FACKLER CHRIS 126 4.50 16% 5.40    
 
FAR-4   08/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SCOOTER FLASH Jul28 Jul21 Jun16 Jun09 May12 (charbonneau jeff)PINEDA G 126 20.00    
2  RIGHT OF REFUSAL Jul20 Jun29 Jun22 Jun02 May04 (thompson gra)BETHKE A 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  PRESTIGIOUSLY WILD Jul27 Jul21 Jul14 Jun15 Jun01 (backhaus lexon)HAAR NATHAN 126 8.00    
4  WHERETHEMONEYWENT Jul21 Jul14 Jun22 Jun02 Sep19 (martin d)SEESTHEGROUND KOBE 121 10.00    
SCR  BEHAVIN MYSELF Jul27 Jun02 May18 May05 Apr20 (cavanaugh perry)NO RIDER 126 4.00    
6  TIMEHASCOME Jun02 May15 Apr27 Apr06 Mar15 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 126 2.50 27% 2.70    
7  SERENDIP RULER Jul28 Jul11 Jun12 Apr03 Jul20 (ness john)WOOD DAKOTA 126 3.00 33% 2.00    
8  BIG CITY BOY Jul28 Jul13 May19 Dec07 Nov14 (cavanaugh perr)BEETEM BRIAN 126 6.00    
 
FAR-5   08/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOGE OF VENICE Jul14 Jun23 Jun14 Jun01 May04 (thompson gra)BETHKE A 126 4.00 14% 6.30    
2  STARS ALIGNED Jul28 Jul13 Jul30 Jul14 Jun25 (martin dean)BEETEM BRIAN 126 15.00    
3  WELDON G Jul28 Jul21 Jul13 Jun15 May12 (horst scot)FACKLER CHRIS 126 2.00 47% 1.10    
4  PEPPERMINT SISTER Jul20 Jul14 Jun22 May17 May12 (allery mark)PINEDA G 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  INAGOODWAY Jul14 Jun22 Sep23 Aug27 Jul23 (ness john)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.00    
6  RUN FOR MATTY Oct21 Sep23 Jun09 May27 May06 (ness joh)SEESTHEGROUND KOBE 126 20.00    
7  AKASI Jul20 Jun23 Jun08 May25 May12 (thompson grady)WOOD DAKOTA 121 2.50 16% 5.10    
 
FAR-6   08/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EMMITTS ROYAL ECHO Jul21 Jul29 Jul15 Jul09 Jun25 (backhaus lexon)PINEDA G 126 15.00    
SCR  ELI'S FIRE Jul28 Jul14 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 (hurley tri)PRECIADO A 126 20.00    
3  KREWS PASS Jul28 Jul21 Jun09 Jun02 May19 (cavanaugh perr)BEETEM BRIAN 126 4.50    
4  TIFF'S DREAM Jul28 Jul21 Jun23 Jun16 Jul30 (haar robert )BETHKE A 126 10.00    
5  TRICKY KID Jul28 Jul21 May17 Jul30 Jul15 (estrada francis)WOOD DAKOTA 126 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LENNOX THE GREAT Aug03 Jul29 Jun24 Jun18 Jun11 (delorme marcu)FACKLER CHRIS 126 12.00    
7  BONNIE AND Jul28 Jul21 Jun16 Jun09 May19 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 121 0.80 60% 0.70    
 
FAR-8   08/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST NDTA Futurity Purse ($18K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAYLA'S MOON         (delorme c)PINEDA G 122 20.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of SAMANTHA by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
2  KID HERCULES Jul27 Jul13       (martin d)SEESTHEGROUND KOBE 122 4.50 ★    
  (by BASEBALL CARD KID out of BEARS GRACE by PHILANTHROPIST)
3  PHENOMENAL ROMEO Jul27 Jul13       (estrada fran)BETHKE A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of FLYING FEDORA by LYRE)
4  GOTTAMAKETHEWIRE Jul13         (horst scot)FACKLER CHRIS 122 1.60 32% 2.10    
  (by LAUNCH COMMANDER out of STARSHIP MISCHIEF by GONE ASTRAY)
5  LAST STAR Jul13         (backhaus lexon)WOOD DAKOTA 122 20.00    
  (by KING CHA CHA out of KREWS STAR by NICE KREWS)
6  LEIGHTON'S STAR Jul13         (backhaus l)PRECIADO A 122 15.00    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of NIX TWILITE STAR by NICK)
7  D'S PHENOMENAL BOY Jul27 Jul13       (estrada francis)HAAR NATHAN 122 10.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of D AND D'S REMEDY by LUSH)
8  SPARKLE DANCER Jul27 Jul13       (horst scot)BEETEM BRIAN 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by LAUNCH COMMANDER out of PISTOLERA by ZANJERO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.