Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
North Dakota Horse Park
Saturday - July 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FAR-1   07/13/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM8000 ($8K) Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARS ALIGNED Jul30 Jul14 Jun25 Jun11   (martin dean)PINEDA G null      
2  IM THE MAN NOW Jun23 May12 Apr19 Mar22 Mar02 (horst scot)FACKLER CHRIS null   17% 5.00    
3  DAVE May10 Apr19 Mar24 Mar08 Feb25 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN null   9% 10.10    
4  BOOOGER CAUSEWAY May18 May04 Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 (horst scot)WOOD DAKOTA null      
5  DAAHERS BULLY Jun15 May19 May12 Apr19 Mar24 (cavanaugh perry)MARTINEZ R null   54% 0.80    
 
FAR-3   07/13/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM5000 ($5K) Purse ($4K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR PETUNIA Jun16 May18 May12 Apr26 Apr19 (cavanaugh pe)BETHKE A null      
2  OLIVIA'S DUCHESS Jun22 Jun16 Jul23 Jun11 Mar18 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS null      
3  SMART N WICKED         (martin dean)BEETEM BRIAN null   30% 2.30    
4  GIANNA'S WILD CAT Jun16 Jun02 May12 Jul22 Jun25 (horst scot)MARTINEZ R null      
5  TAP THE HEART Jun09 May18 Apr27 Apr13 Mar30 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN null   24% 3.20    
6  LONESHILOHSPECIAL Jun15 May19 Apr12 Mar15 Feb09 (haar j)WOOD DAKOTA null   5% 19.00    
 
FAR-6   07/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST STK10000 ($0K) Purse ($10K) 2 ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPARKLE DANCER         (horst scot)MARTINEZ R null      
  (by LAUNCH COMMANDER out of PISTOLERA by ZANJERO)
2  LAST STAR         (backhaus)GUTIERREZ R null   10% 9.00    
  (by KING CHA CHA out of KREWS STAR by NICE KREWS)
3  LEIGHTON'S STAR         (backhaus lexon)BEETEM BRIAN null      
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of NIX TWILITE STAR by NICK)
4  KID HERCULES         (martin dean)PINEDA G null   10% 9.00    
  (by BASEBALL CARD KID out of BEARS GRACE by PHILANTHROPIST)
5  D'S PHENOMENAL BOY         (estrada francis)HAAR NATHAN null      
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of D AND D'S REMEDY by LUSH)
6  GOTTA BIGFOOT         (delorme marcus)ZIEGLER ZACK null   10% 9.00    
  (by GOTTA CURLIN out of DEMI'S GOT A HEMI by DEMIDOFF)
7  GOTTAMAKETHEWIRE         (horst scot)FACKLER CHRIS null   10% 9.00    
  (by LAUNCH COMMANDER out of STARSHIP MISCHIEF by GONE ASTRAY)
8  PHENOMENAL ROMEO         (estrada francis)WOOD DAKOTA null      
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of FLYING FEDORA by LYRE)
 
FAR-7   07/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST ALW4750C ($0K) Purse ($4.75K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEVEL Jun30 Jun22 Jun08 May27 May04 (thompson gra)BETHKE A null      
2  INCORRIGIBLE Jun20 Jun06 May14 Apr16 Apr01 (cavanaugh perry)HAAR NATHAN null   24% 3.10    
3  BIG CITY BOY May19 Dec07 Nov14 Oct11 Sep16 (cavanaugh perry)MARTINEZ R null   7% 14.00    
4  SHARP AZ NAILS Jun30 Jun22 Jun08 May27 May12 (thompson grady)ZIEGLER ZACK null      
5  ROCK N JUNE BUG Jun15 Jun25 Jun10 Apr30 Apr14 (ness joh)SEESTHEGROUND KOBE null      
6  WELDON G Jun15 May12 Apr14 Mar16 Mar02 (horst scot)FACKLER CHRIS null   47% 1.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.