Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Monday - March 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(3/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(3/5/2)-(5/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-2   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(5/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(5/3/2)-(3/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-3   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(3/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(3/5/1)-(3/9/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-4   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(3/9/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(3/9/6)-(4/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-5   WIN (3/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/6)-(3/9/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/9/6)-(3/9/6/4)-(3/9/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (3/9/6)-(4/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/9/6)-(4/5/6)-(2/6/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-6   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(2/6/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(2/6/4/8)-(5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-7   WIN (2/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/8)-(2/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/8)-(2/6/4/8)-(2/6/4/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/4/8)-(5/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/8)-(5/1)-(4/9/1/8/10) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
SA-8   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(4/9/1/8/10) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
SA-9   WIN (4/9/1/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/1/8/10)-(4/9/1/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/1/8/10)-(4/9/1/8/10)-(4/9/1/8/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   03/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($37K) 45 M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE ARROW Mar27 Feb20 Dec10 Nov13   (dry)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 6.00    
CAMERON SLOUGH Jan28 Feb18       (drysdale neil)MALDONADO E 124 1.80 35% 1.80    
SHE'S MUY MUY Jan28 Dec10 Oct22     (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 124 2.50    
MARINAS TINA (IRE) Apr30 Apr02 Jan22     (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
DOWHATEVERITTAKES Jan14 Sep22 Jul12 Mar31   (mullins jeff)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
I'M STILL IN IT Nov04 Aug20       (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 8.00    
 
SA-2   03/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT ROD MAMA Jan28 Dec29 Dec09 Nov02 Oct20 (brinkerhoff )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 122 8.00    
ROMAN EMPRESS Feb15 Jan28 Dec29 Dec10 Nov02 (saavedra k)BAZE C 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
DREAM PRINCESS Aug07 May14 Apr08 Jan22   (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 122 0.80 37% 1.70    
A BROKEN BREEZE Jan28 Sep23 Apr22 Feb10 Jan15 (harr)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 5.00    
FLATTERWITHJEWELS Jan28 Dec29 Dec10 Nov11 Jun09 (dam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
 
SA-3   03/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 45 ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE TIME MARK Nov19 Oct01 Aug25 Jun19   (glatt mark)HERRERA A 124 2.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of RUMBAUA by BERNSTEIN)
ZIHUATANEJO May20 Mar12 Feb17 Dec26 Nov19 (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of IT'SCHEMISTRYBABY by MEADOWLAKE)
PALAGIO Jan12 Oct22 Sep04 Apr30 Apr01 (aguirre paul)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HOT ROOTS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SNEAKING CANDY Jan21 Dec26       (puype mike)SMITH E 124 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CANDAVAR by CANDY RIDE)
CAPTAIN CHOOCHIES Feb11 Jan07 Nov26 Nov05 Sep29 (papaprodr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 1.80 34% 1.90    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MIGHTY RENEE by MARIA'S MON)
 
SA-4   03/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALSATION Feb24 Jan15 Dec02 Nov03 Oct14 (o'neill doug)BAZE C 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
STAY ON THE FENCE Feb17 Jan07 Dec17 Nov18 Nov03 (garcia ant)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 5.00    
REFOCUS Aug11 Jun17 May21     (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 2.00 35% 1.80    
PRINCE PRANCEALOT Feb17 Jan07 Dec08 Nov17   (capestro paula )MALDONADO E 122 1.80    
CLEVER CLOVER Feb03 Jan14 Dec17 Dec02 Nov12 (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
SA-5   03/04/2024 4290ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($62.5K) Purse ($37K) 3 F PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOULOUSE DETRAC Feb11 Dec29 Nov26 Sep10   (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 6.00    
SCR  ELEVEN OUT OF TEN Feb15 Jan15 Jan01 Oct15 Jul30 (papaprodro)GONZALEZ RICARDO 119 15.00    
AVOIR Feb16 Oct28 Oct09 Sep08 Aug06 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 64% 0.60    
TIANMA Jan21 Dec26 Nov11 Oct14 Aug19 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 121 6.00    
CERTITUDE (FR) Oct09 Aug06       (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 119 6.00    
SMOOTH AS BUTTER         (powell leon)RISPOLI UMBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
ANG N ASH Feb16         (papaprodro)VAN DRAYDEN 119 15.00    
DISCREPANCY Jan05 Nov26 Oct09 Aug06   (yakteen tim)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 5.00    
MS MCWHINNEY Feb17 Jan28 Jan01     (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 121 3.50 11% 8.50    
 
SA-6   03/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DE JORIA Feb15 Jan27 Jan12 Dec01 Oct14 (periban jorg)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 2.50    
ZZYZX Feb15 Jan05 Dec01 Oct27 Oct08 (ordonez agg)HERRERA A 124 4.00    
YVETT'S SURPRISE Feb15 Jan15 Dec09 Nov25 Oct15 (periban j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 2.00    
MIDNIGHT SILENCE Jan27 Jan05 Dec01 Oct27 Sep22 (gallagher )VAN DRAYDEN 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
HALF NELSON Feb16 Aug19 Jul02 Mar19 Mar05 (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 124 6.00 21% 3.70    
GLORY OF CHROME Jan27 Jan05 Dec03 Feb17 Jan20 (gom)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-7   03/04/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($67K) 3 F PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INVINCIBLE MOLLY (GB)         (mullins jef)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 5.00    
ELEGANT Feb11 Jan01 Nov12 Oct01 Aug13 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
MS BRIGHTSIDE (IRE) Jan20 Dec02       (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00    
MADISON RAE Jan13 Dec10 Nov03 Oct08 Sep09 (miller peter)MALDONADO E 122 15.00 14% 6.00    
SHE IS ROMANTIC Jan20 Dec02 Oct06 Sep03 Aug04 (eurton pe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.50    
HIGHLANDS Dec29 Nov24 Sep19     (mi)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
APRIL VINTAGE Dec29 Nov10 Oct07 Sep01 Jul22 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50    
GRANNY BUDGIE (GB) Feb11         (damato philip)ESPINOZA V 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-8   03/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAMBEAU Jan26 Jan05 Nov26 Jan29 Oct29 (barocio librado)MALDONADO E 122 4.00 6% 14.50    
DIRECT LINE Dec30 Aug12 Dec03 Jul24 May28 (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 1.80    
SCR  GIOVINAZZO Feb11 Dec31 Nov24 Oct14 Aug24 (eurton pe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 2.50    
COWBOY MIKE Dec17 Nov11 Sep24 Aug13 Jul23 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
DEPARTURE Jan26 Dec15 Nov19 Oct14 Sep22 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 122 6.00 37% 1.70    
 
SA-9   03/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3 ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHEN HEROES FLY Jan20 Dec03       (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 121 4.00 7% 14.30    
UPLIFT Jan28 Aug24       (eurton peter)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 15.00    
TIGER BY THE TAIL Feb02 Jan12       (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 20.00    
TRANSCENDENTAL Dec06 Oct28       (thomas jonatha)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  GOOD AT BEING BAD Jan06         (baltas rich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 15.00    
POTENTIAL SPAM Jan20 Dec29 Dec03 Nov12 Sep24 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 121 6.00    
GORILLA BOY Dec29 Oct07 Aug24     (mullins j)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 5.00    
GOLD FOOT Jan20 Nov12 Oct08 Aug24   (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 121 3.50 5% 18.80    
WRONG DIRECTION         (mccarthy mic)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 6.00 23% 3.40    
10  GAZON (GB) Feb03 Jan06       (sadler w)BAZE C 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.