Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Friday - January 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(4/3)-(1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SA-2   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (4/3)-(1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(1/2)-(3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
SA-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (1/2)-(3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(3/4)-(1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SA-4   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(1/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(1/2/6)-(6/4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-5   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(6/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(6/4/2)-(2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-6   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(2/5)-(3/4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-7   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (2/5)-(3/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
SA-8   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   01/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLIE MOORE (IRE) Jan01 Nov11 Oct14 Aug06   (damato phili)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 2.50 18% 4.40    
ENGLISH DANGER Dec02 Oct21       (quinonez ro)HERRERA A 119 4.00    
PINK WHITNEY Dec02 Nov11 Oct07 Sep08 Jul29 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 121 2.50 19% 4.30    
REAL QUEEN Dec31         (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 8.00    
NAKOTA (IRE) Dec02 Oct28       (gallagher)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 12.00    
SPIRIT RULES Jan01 Dec01 Nov19 Sep24 Sep01 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
SA-2   01/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASTBOUND Nov05 Oct08 Aug19 Jul23 Jun11 (shirreffs joh)FRESU ANTONIO 122 8.00    
MIDNIGHT MAMMOTH Jan07 Nov26 Jul09 Jun11 May27 (dollase craig)ESPINOZA V 122 3.50    
IT'S MY HOUSE Dec10 Nov05 Sep17 Jul30 Jun11 (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60 15% 5.70    
ARHAM Dec31 Nov25 Oct21 Sep17 Aug26 (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.80 56% 0.80    
REDLINE Jan01 Nov05 Oct15 Aug12 Jul30 (dollase cra)HERRERA A 122 4.00    
 
SA-3   01/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 45 ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAND TO SEA Nov25 Oct15 Oct06 Sep08 Aug13 (stute gary)GONZALEZ RICARDO 119 3.00 60% 0.70    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of ROWDY GAL by PURE PRIZE)
SHIP AND SCAM Nov17 Aug24 Jul23 May28 Apr09 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 2.50 13% 6.50    
  (by MRAZEK out of ALBEIT by MINESHAFT)
TOPPERS WAGER Dec30 Nov19 Oct22 Sep29 Aug11 (polanco m)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of TOPPERS SUNSHINE by OLD TOPPER)
CITY OF ANGELS Dec17 Oct22 Sep03 Aug06   (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 1.20    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CHICALELEE by CHEROKEE RUN)
HOT LEGS ROMOLO Dec17 Oct09 Jul28 Jun19 May08 (cecil d)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of OCTOGARIAN by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
SA-4   01/19/2024 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALTERNATE ROCK Nov11 Oct27 Oct01 Aug12 Jul09 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 1.60    
STRESSED Oct27 Oct06 Aug12 Jun24 May21 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
PHENOM Nov26 Oct27 Apr22 Feb20 Jan13 (o'neill d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 1.80 31% 2.20    
NEW COLLECTION (GB) Nov11         (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 5.00    
SCR  AQUA SEAFORM SHAME Feb20 Jan13 Oct29 Sep02   ( )TBA null      
 
SA-5   01/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($37K) 45 M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARREN'S PARADICE Nov25 Oct15 Sep08 Aug18 Jul29 (lewis craig )KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
ELTONSINGSANOTHER Nov23 Oct20 Sep29 Aug13   (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
JAZZY BOO Nov25 Nov02 Dec09     (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00    
PLUM CREEK Dec16 Dec10 Nov25     (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 12.00    
BLAZING BARDOT Dec02 Sep05 Aug05 Jul02 May28 (headley kar)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 8.00    
RYDER'S CANDY Jan06 Dec16 Oct15 Sep22 Jul23 (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 124 2.00 7% 12.60    
 
SA-6   01/19/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOLO CALLS Dec03 Nov17 Sep10 Aug18 Jun11 (eurton pe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00    
A NEW PEACE Jan12 Nov26 Oct14 Sep15 Aug03 (barocio libra)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 5.00 11% 8.00    
GYPSY LYNN Dec31 Nov02 Oct22 Sep03 Aug05 (knapp steve)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 5.00    
GRITTY GIRL Aug06 Jun02 Apr28 May27 Apr08 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  DANCING SOUL Dec15 Nov26 Sep24 Sep03 Aug05 (morfin serg)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 3.00    
TEEN DRAMA Dec01 Oct07 Sep03 Aug05 Jul08 (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
DULCE EMMA Jan05 Dec10 Nov11 Oct06 Jul22 (ram)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 12.00    
 
SA-7   01/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARNELLI Apr22 Jan28 Nov27 Jul30 Jun11 (shirreffs joh)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00    
HOPKINS Feb05 Jan15 Dec26 Nov26 Oct23 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 35% 1.80    
C Z ROCKET Nov25 Sep30 Aug26 Jul29 Jul09 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00    
SEE THROUGH IT Dec02 Oct20 Sep22 Jun16 May13 (naranjo salva)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 8.00    
GINOBILI Feb18 Jan14 Nov20     (miller pet)VAN DRAYDEN 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
SA-8   01/19/2024 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEON LIGHTS (IRE) Dec26 Nov18 Oct27 Aug19 Jul28 (knapp steve)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 3.50    
GOLD COUNCIL Nov18 Nov06       (mulhall k)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
TO SPEIGHT HER Dec08 Nov20 Oct21 Sep05 Jul24 (mathis andy)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 3.00 62% 0.60    
CRIBBAGE BOARD Dec15 Nov18 Oct29 Sep22 Sep03 (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 124 2.50 10% 9.50    
MARS ON FIRE Nov25 Nov02 Apr23 Aug28   (miyadi steven)BAZE C 124 4.00    
AWESOME RHYTHM Nov02 Aug26 Nov05 May07 Apr01 (gar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 8.00    
VORPAL Dec10 Nov26 Jul30 Jul02 Jun11 (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.