Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Sunday - October 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(3/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(3/6/5)-(7/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-2   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(7/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(7/2/3)-(5/3/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-3   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(5/3/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(5/3/4/6)-(2/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-4   WIN (5/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/6)-(5/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/6)-(5/3/4/6)-(5/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/4/6)-(2/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/6)-(2/6/5)-(7/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-5   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(7/6/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(7/6/3)-(1/5/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-6   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(1/5/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(1/5/7/8)-(3/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-7   WIN (1/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/8)-(1/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/8)-(1/5/7/8)-(1/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/8)-(3/1/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/8)-(3/1/8)-(1/6/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-8   WIN (3/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/8)-(3/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/8)-(3/1/8)-(3/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/8)-(1/6/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SA-9   WIN (1/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   10/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERAL (IRE) Sep04 Jul22 Sep10 Jul30 Jun18 (mulhall kr)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 6.00 11% 8.40    
MARGOT'S BOY Sep29 Nov06       (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 4.00    
EASTERN OCEAN Oct01 Sep09 Aug13 Aug03 Jun03 (glatt mar)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 1.80 47% 1.10    
CASTLE LEOCH Oct01 Aug19 Oct20 Sep14 Jul22 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 5.00    
FLAVIUS Sep30 Aug31 Jul23 May29 Apr29 (papaprodro)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 14% 6.20    
SCR  LANSDOWNE (GB) Oct15 Sep20 Aug24 Aug02 Jul27 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 20.00    
TAISHAN Sep04 Aug12 Aug03 Jun04 May06 (papaprodromou )CEDILLO ABEL 122 8.00    
 
SA-2   10/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET HELLO Sep29 Aug17 May26 Apr21 Mar19 (hess b)MALDONADO E 118 4.00    
TIZZY TWISTER Oct15 Aug03 Jul01 Jun10 May05 (valdez r)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 2.00    
BIG NOVEL Oct08 Sep08 Aug03 Jun23 Dec30 (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 117 4.00 47% 1.10    
RUFF RIDE Oct09 Sep03 Jul27 Jun18 May28 (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
FLYMETOTHEMOONBABY Sep24 Sep01 Aug10 Jul28 Jul04 (vallej)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
RENEGADE PRINCESS Sep01 Jul29 Jun09 May19 Mar28 (hess b)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
SA-3   10/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAZENLY Oct07 Sep04 Aug12 Jul22 May13 (azcarate dan)GARCIA ERICK 124 8.00    
EL ORO (FR) Oct09 Sep04 Jul21 Jun03 Apr29 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 121 2.50 14% 6.10    
PLAY CHICKEN Jan01         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 3.50 13% 6.90    
TRUSTY RUSTY Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 Aug10 Jun16 (deleon raf)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 121 12.00    
RELAXED ARTIST (IRE) Oct07 Sep17 Sep03 Aug03 Jun16 (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 124 5.00    
DIVINE RASCAL May13 Apr28 Apr02 Mar09 Feb17 (naranjo sal)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 8.00    
K P KWEST Oct09 Sep03 Mar19 Feb07   (mullins jeff)BAZE C 124 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
SA-4   10/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 35 ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHN DUNBAR         (miyadi stev)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 8.00    
LOGON TO WIN Oct09 Sep22 Aug24 Aug06 Jul01 (dealba cesa)HERRERA A 121 3.00    
GRAND TIGER Sep29 Aug11 May28 Apr28   (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 124 2.50 21% 3.90    
RED FALCON Oct09         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 121 4.00 16% 5.40    
BARTON STRONG Sep23         (dry)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
KING ZOG Oct14 Sep23 Jan07 Nov25 Nov04 (knapp )BERRIOS ISAAC 121 6.00 13% 6.90    
CRIBBAGE BOARD Sep22 Sep03 Aug07 Jul24 Jun26 (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 124 12.00    
BEYOND COMPARE Sep29         (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 30.00    
 
SA-5   10/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VERY SCARY Oct15 Jul22 Jun18 May20 Apr30 (kruljac ian)DESORMEAUX J 122 3.00    
TIERGARTEN Oct08 Sep03 Aug05 Mar27 Jan22 (knapp stev)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
NEVER SWAY Oct14 Sep16 Sep01 Jul28 Jun25 (cam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 20.00    
SCR  ISSA COURT Sep03 Jul30 Jun10 Apr30 Mar26 (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00    
OLE SILVER May06 Apr02 Oct21 Sep05 Jun18 (d'amato philip)TORREALBA JG 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
CORNELIA FORT Sep30 Sep03 Aug04 Jun16 May20 (kruljac ian)FRESU ANTONIO 120 5.00 30% 2.30    
SHARED FUTURE Sep17 Aug18 Jul23 Jun17 Apr22 (rheinford m)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 12.00    
FREEDOM LASS Aug26 Jul23 Jun17 Dec03 Oct15 (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 122 3.00    
 
SA-6   10/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDY'S STAR Sep23 Sep15 Aug24 Jul04 Jun23 (powell leon)HERRERA A 122 5.00    
TAPIT DOUX Aug20 Jul04 Jun11 May27 Apr03 (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 10.00    
PROFESSORS' PRIDE Sep17 Jul03 Jun02 May05 Mar26 (glatt mar)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
UNWRITTEN CODE Oct06 Sep01 Mar04 Feb10 Jan20 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 6.00    
BELLA RENELLA Jun18 Jun02 Apr02 Mar17 Apr02 (nar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 3.00    
SIGNORA MINISTER Sep23 Aug24 Jul28 Jun24 Jun09 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
CRIMSON ROSE Sep23 Aug27 Jul30 Jun17 May21 (knapp stev)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
SA-7   10/29/2023 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREGORIAN CHANT (GB) Dec31 Oct29 Oct01 Jul24 Jun11 (d'amato p)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.00 52% 0.90    
ZOFFARELLI (IRE) Aug31 Jul29 Jun10 Feb10 Jan02 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 10.00    
NOBLE REFLECTION Sep30 Sep09 Aug04 Jun16 May06 (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 4.00    
SCR  BRAN (FR) Sep30 Sep02 Sep10 Jul24 May29 (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.50    
I'M A GAMBLER (IRE) Sep30 Sep02 Jul23 Dec26   (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 124 3.00 17% 5.00    
RADICAL RIGHT Sep30 Aug25 Aug04 Jun01 May04 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 124 20.00    
VANTASTIC Oct01 Jun02 Mar12 Jan20 Nov05 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 5% 18.50    
DANIEL'S MAGIC Oct09 Sep10 Aug17 Jan22 Nov27 (harty eoin)BRAVO J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
PERFECT FLIGHT Aug25 Jul30 May27 Feb25 Jan28 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00    
 
SA-8   10/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 F PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAFA Sep10 Aug12 Jul21     (stute gary)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by GRAZEN out of HADARRA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
MISS MICHE LADA Oct08         (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of DAHLIA AZUL by QUALITY ROAD)
SMOOVE OVER Sep16 Aug11 Jul01 May27   (hernandez jr)BAZE C 120 20.00    
  (by PAVEL out of SMOOVE IT by SQUARE EDDIE)
LORETTA LYNN         (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of SUNDAY RULES by TRIBAL RULE)
BE A GOLDFISH         (kruljac ian)FRESU ANTONIO 120 12.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CASTILLA by BOLD REASON)
LAMPORGHINI         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 6.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of STORM LAMP by STORM BOOT)
PURA VIDA Oct08 Sep17       (lewis craig)HERRERA A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of BELLA ROJA by HOLD THAT TIGER)
SCR  QUICK KATE         ( )TBA null      
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of JEN'S TRIBE by TRIBAL RULE)
 
SA-9   10/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 ALL PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUY NAMED JOE Oct07 Aug25       (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of HUNGRY ISLAND by MORE THAN READY)
SINE QUA NON         (ellis w)SMITH E 120 12.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of ISLAND ESCAPE by PETIONVILLE)
TRIBAL (IRE) Oct07         (mandel)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 4.00 10% 9.50    
  (by KINGMAN out of WILD AT HEART by SLEW THE KNIGHT)
MAXIMUM CAPACITY Sep30 Sep02       (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CAMRYN KATE by KAFWAIN)
DEALERS SPECIAL Oct07 Sep09       (papaprodromou ge)ESPINOZA V 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UPSTART out of STEHEKIN by ARCH)
MIRACLE MARK Sep24 Aug26 Jul23     (d'amato phi)HERRERA A 120 4.00 25% 2.90    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MELODY'S SPIRIT by SCAT DADDY)
NESSO'S LASTHARRAH Sep24 Aug10 Jul08     (mullins jeff)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of NESSO by ROMAN RULER)
AMBIGUOUS Sep10 Aug05       (miller pe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 10.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of TRUSTINI by BERNARDINI)
TRACK AND FIELD Aug24 Jul30       (mccarthy mich)FRESU ANTONIO 120 5.00    
  (by ENTICED out of RUN LIKE THE BOSS by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  LAKE SUPERIOR Oct15 Sep10       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CELIBATAIRE by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  GOLD FOOT Oct08 Aug24       (mccarthy sean)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TIZ LADYS LEGS by TIZNOW)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.