Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Sunday - October 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (3/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/8)-(3/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/8)-(3/7/4/8)-(3/7/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/8)-(2/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/8)-(2/3)-(3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(3/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(3/1/4)-(5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-3   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(5/2)-(4/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-4   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(4/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(4/3/5)-(5/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-5   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(5/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(5/3/2)-(3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-6   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(3/6)-(6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-7   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/6)-(6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(6/1)-(4/3/2/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
SA-8   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/1)-(4/3/2/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
SA-9   WIN (4/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   10/22/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEER MONEY Sep16         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 5.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of TAP TAP UR IT by TAPIT)
2  CODY BOY         (kruljac ian)DESORMEAUX J 120 8.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of TRIBAL FEATHERS by TRIBAL RULE)
3  TOM SEAVER         (d'amato phili)FRESU ANTONIO 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of ENOLA GRAY by GRAZEN)
4  STAGGER LEE         (miyadi steven)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.00 8% 11.20    
  (by GRAZEN out of SKY MARNI by SKY MESA)
5  KISS FOR LULU Sep08 Aug25       (brinkerhoff va)CEDILLO ABEL 120 20.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of AKISS FORAROSE by RIO VERDE)
6  WESTERN GRIT Aug13         (hanson ryan)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 5.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of SHERIKA by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
7  SMILING JOJO         (koriner brian)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ACCOMPLISHEDSISTER by ACCLAMATION (GB))
8  DRIVE FOR SHOW         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 8.00 8% 11.60    
  (by PAVEL out of SILAR RULES by TEN MOST WANTED)
9  DON'T HIT ME BASH Sep29         (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 12.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of OCTOGARIAN by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  WHISKEY RYE Sep29 Aug13       (yakteen tim)TORREALBA JG 113 8.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of ROMANCE IS PASSION by IN EXCESS (IRE))
 
SA-2   10/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH FLYING GRACIE Aug17 Jul27 Jun09 May20   (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 12.00    
2  ASIAN MATRIARCH Sep09 Aug19 Jul28     (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 113 2.50 60% 0.70    
3  MISS PIXY STIX Sep22 Aug17 Jul27 Jun10   (hess b)VAZQUEZ A 118 2.50 18% 4.60    
4  CALIFORNIA CODE Sep24 Aug19       (miller pete)HERRERA A 120 3.00    
SCR  SUGAR FISH Oct01 Sep03       (barocio lib)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 1.60    
 
SA-3   10/22/2023 3960ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRETS TOLD Oct07 Aug12 Jul28 May27 Apr29 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 124 5.00 16% 5.20    
2  FLAME MCGOON Sep08 Aug06 Dec26 Nov18 Oct07 (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 124 4.00    
3  GYPSY LYNN Sep03 Aug05 Jul03 May19 Apr09 (kruljac ian)DESORMEAUX J 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
4  MISS LIZZY Oct07 Sep09 Aug11 Jul22 Jun09 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 121 4.00 10% 8.70    
5  INNER BEAUTY (IRE) Oct08 Sep03 Aug11 May20 Apr28 (mullins jeff)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 2.00    
6  VINCERO GRANDE Nov19 Oct28 Oct01 Sep10 Aug21 (puype mike)HERRERA A 124 8.00    
 
SA-4   10/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG RAINBOW Aug25 Jul21 Jun09     (hanson ryan)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 1.60    
2  MUMBLES BROCKMAN         (miyadi steven)VAZQUEZ A 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
3  BELLA VIENNA Sep10 Jul22       (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 120 1.80    
4  COCONUT GIRL         (valdez jose)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 6.00    
5  JAZZY EMPRESS         (miyadi steven)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  EASTER COMING BACK Sep10         (alvarez g)BAZE C 120 20.00    
 
SA-5   10/22/2023 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($62.5K) Purse ($38K) 35 M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S MUY MUY         (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 119 5.00    
2  MY MOON Sep02 Jul21 Jun11     (kitchingman a)VALDIVIA JR 121 5.00    
3  HA HA GLORIA (IRE)         (miyadi steven)TORREALBA JG 115 4.00 9% 10.70    
4  SORBET Sep17         (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 1.60 67% 0.50    
5  CUTE KHLOE Sep01 Jul29 Jun25 Feb18 Jan25 (ruis s)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  CY'S SILKSTOCKING         (glatt mark)BAZE C 119 6.00    
7  ENCOLPION Aug18 Jul21 Jun02 May27   (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 4.00    
 
SA-6   10/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 35 M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS COMMANDER Sep24 Aug13 Jan02 Dec11   (mar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 8.00    
2  CALIFORNIA DIVA Sep16         (fales matt)HERRERA A 121 6.00 10% 9.40    
3  UNKEPT SECRET Sep10 Aug27 Jun02 Nov02 Oct01 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 121 3.00 25% 3.10    
4  ALLOCATE Aug18 Apr22 Feb28 Feb06 Jan14 (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 124 3.00    
5  TIFF WITH JIMMY Sep24 Aug18 Jul01 May21 Apr07 (glatt mark)TORREALBA JG 114 1.60 32% 2.10    
6  TURQUOISE BIKINI Sep29 Sep16 Aug13 Jul02 Jun02 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 121 6.00    
 
SA-7   10/22/2023 3960ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEMON SUSHI Aug27 Aug11 Nov11 Oct16 Aug28 (brinkerhoff val)BRAVO J 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
2  FAST PER SE Sep24 Sep15 Jul01 Jun02 May19 (lopez l)ORTEGA CESAR 124 30.00    
3  AMERICAREDWHITEBLU Oct07 Sep09 Jul22 Jun03 May06 (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 124 2.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  CLUB CAL Apr07 Feb20 Jan20 Dec30 Nov11 (naranjo salva)FRESU ANTONIO 124 12.00    
5  DEVIL MOON Oct07 Sep09 Aug26 Jul27 Jun17 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00 ★    
6  BARSABAS Sep10 Aug17 Jul21 Jun23 May26 (farias ad)RAMIREZ S 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  TIGERHON (FR) Aug26 Jul27 Jun03 Apr29 Jan17 (gla)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 5.00    
8  DON'T SWEAR DAVE Aug13 Jul21 Jun10 May07 Feb26 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 3.00    
SCR  EL ORO (FR) Oct09 Sep04 Jul21 Jun03 Apr29 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 121 10.00    
10  SO I'M TOLD Sep23 Sep15 Jun02 May07 Apr09 (valenzuela ma)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 15.00    
 
SA-8   10/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALAGIO Sep04 Apr30 Apr01 Jan27 Dec26 (shirreffs john)SMITH E 124 5.00 25% 2.90    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HOT ROOTS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  CASTLE ISLAND Mar11 Feb20       (baffert bob)FREY KYLE 121 2.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LISZY'S UNION by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  ADMIRAL HALSEY Aug26 Apr02 Feb20 May08 Mar20 (barocio librado)MALDONADO E 124 6.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  DEVILISH DESIRE         (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 121 5.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of WILD HICKORY by TERRELL)
5  DAZZLEMESILVER Sep04 Jul21 May26 Apr08 Mar11 (periban jorg)DESORMEAUX J 121 6.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of INDIAN GODDESS by WAQUOIT)
6  CENTRAL DISPATCH Aug17 Jul21 Jun25     (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by ARROGATE out of EVE GISELLE by FIVE STAR DAY)
7  MATANZAS CREEK         (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 121 6.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of CUVEE UNCORKED by CUVEE)
 
SA-9   10/22/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 ALL PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAXVILLE Oct01 Aug31 Aug05 Jul28 Jun10 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAKERVILLE out of MARGOT MACHANCE by CREACHADOIR)
2  TOUCHDOWN KITTLE Sep29 Jun10 May19     (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.00 9% 10.20    
  (by TIZNOW out of WESTWOOD PRIDE by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
3  CHROME TO RICHES Sep10 Aug05 Mar25 Jan07   (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 120 5.00 16% 5.10    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of HEAT TRAP by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  DARK MARCUS Aug31 Jul28 Jul01 Nov04 Oct09 (miller pete)HERRERA A 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of MARALAGO by THUNDER GULCH)
5  SILENT HEAT Oct01 Aug31 Jul28 Jun02 May12 (saavedra anthon)VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00    
  (by UNUSUAL HEATWAVE out of SILENT DEPOSITION by SILIC (FR))
6  TOPPERS WAGER Sep29 Aug11 Feb18     (polanco marcelo)FREY KYLE 120 10.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of TOPPERS SUNSHINE by OLD TOPPER)
7  CITY OF ANGELS Sep03 Aug06       (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 3.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CHICALELEE by CHEROKEE RUN)
8  VENOM Oct01 Aug26 Nov27     (dunham daniel)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 20.00    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of HARLAN EXPRESS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
9  AVIATOR NATION Aug31 Aug05 Jul01     (drysdale ne)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 20.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SWEET LIPS by KRIS S.)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.