Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Genesee Valley
Saturday - October 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GV-1   10/14/2023 15840ft TURF RC5 SOFT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUALITY CHOICE Apr15 Oct08 Oct02 Aug15 Aug01 (beecher mark)OWINGS BRETT 160      
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CODE BOOK by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  THE BUTLER YATES (IRE) May13 May07 Apr22     (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 165   23% 3.40    
  (by YEATS out of KERRY'S GIRL by FLEMENSFIRTH)
3  MR. FINE THREADS Apr15 Nov06       (davies g)DAVIES TEDDY 160   50% 1.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SEVEN COUNTIES by WAYNE COUNTY (IRE))
4  LOST STORY         (wyatt todd)SCULLY ELIZABETH 160      
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of TELL SOME TALES by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
GV-2   10/14/2023 18480ft TURF RC11 SOFT Genesee Valley Hunt Cup Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANDI'AMU (FR) Oct22         (morris r)CUNDITH SARAH 165   66% 0.50    
  (by WALK IN THE PARK (IRE) out of SAINTE PARFAITE (FR) by SEPTIEME CIEL)
2  MONBEG STREAM (IRE) May13 Apr22 May14     (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 165      
  (by LIBERTARIAN out of NO ORDINARY LOVE by EXPELLED)
3  RENEGADE RIVER May13 Apr22 Mar27     (reynolds paig)TIERNEY CONOR 165   11% 8.20    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of RIVER DYNA by DYNAFORMER)
4  ROYAL RUSE Apr29 Apr22 Apr15 Nov06 Oct08 (neilson sa)SCULLY ELIZABETH 165      
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
GV-3   10/14/2023 15840ft TURF RC10 SOFT Allowance Purse ($10K) 5UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME ADRIAN May13 Apr15 Mar27     (neilson kathy)TIERNEY CONOR 165   25% 2.90    
2  CHOSEN MATE (IRE) Apr22 Mar26 Nov05 May14 Mar27 (hendriks r)KORRELL VIRGINIA 165      
3  MERCOEUR (FR) Apr15 Nov06 Mar27     (morris nei)SCULLY ELIZABETH 165   41% 1.40    
4  SALAMANCA SCHOOL (FR) Nov13 Oct02       (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 165      
5  RAKHAA (GB) Apr22 Apr08       (morris r)CUNDITH SARAH 160   11% 8.20    
6  OUR FRIEND (IRE) May13 Apr22       (davies g)DAVIES TEDDY 165      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.