Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Friday - October 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(5/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(5/4/2)-(2/7/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-2   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(2/7/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(2/7/6/1)-(3/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-3   WIN (2/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/1)-(3/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/1)-(3/6/7)-(3/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-4   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/7)-(3/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(3/6/1)-(7/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-5   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(7/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(7/1/3)-(3/6/7) 27 $0.50 $81.00 
SA-6   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(3/6/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(3/6/7)-(4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-7   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/7)-(4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(4/5)-(11/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-8   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(11/5/3/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
SA-9   WIN (11/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/5/3/1)-(11/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/5/3/1)-(11/5/3/1)-(11/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   10/06/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEN OF INIQUITY (GB) Aug12         (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by ROARING LION out of STYBBA by MEDICEAN (GB))
2  SAKURA FLAVOR (IRE) Sep02 Aug12 Jul21 Jun10 May20 (gallagher )VAN DRAYDEN 120 10.00    
  (by KINGMAN out of MADLY TRULY by MALIBU MOON)
3  BOLT'S BROAD Sep02 Jul21 Jun23 Feb08 Dec30 (ruis sr)FREY KYLE 120 4.00 10% 9.30    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of AWESOME BROAD by MR. BROAD BLADE)
4  STAR OF THE NIGHT (IRE) Sep02         (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by SEA THE STARS out of SIMPLE ELEGANCE by JUDGE SMELLS)
5  HAPPY HAPPY Jul27 Jun10 Apr30 Apr02 Mar11 (gallagher pat)FRESU ANTONIO 124 4.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LAKE NAIVASHA by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  ADELIE (IRE) Sep01 Jul29 Sep10 Aug04 Jun04 (d'amato philip)BRAVO J 124 12.00    
  (by ARDAD out of DAME SHIRLEY by HAAFHD (GB))
7  CHROME DESSERT May21 Oct04       (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 120 20.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of DESSERT by STORM CAT)
 
SA-2   10/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAUVOO Sep08 Aug10 May26 Apr29 Mar31 (periban jorge)BAZE C 119 12.00    
2  QUICK FINISH Aug26 Oct07 Sep02 Aug12 Jul01 (garcia victor)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 5.00 11% 8.40    
3  SANTOS TO WILSON Aug18 Jul21 Oct15 Sep10 Aug11 (aguirre paul)MALDONADO E 122 5.00    
4  SMUGGLER'S RUN Sep17 Aug19 Jul09 May28 May06 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50 11% 8.10    
5  ESTABLISHED Sep23 Aug19 Jul30 Jul04 Jun02 (knapp steve)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
6  GOOD JUJU Sep10 Jul21 Jun30 May20 Apr27 (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00    
 
SA-3   10/06/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMILING AMY Sep03 Aug06 Apr29 Apr01 Mar03 (winick debbie)CEDILLO ABEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FLAMIN AMY by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
2  SAND TO SEA Sep08 Aug13       (stute gary)GONZALEZ RICARDO 121 1.60 32% 2.20    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of ROWDY GAL by PURE PRIZE)
3  THE MUSIC WE MAKE Aug18 Jul04 Jun16     (agarie ricky)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 121 20.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of MORE CAL BREAD by FLYING CONTINENTAL)
4  SATOSHI Sep01 Aug06       (hofmans david)FREY KYLE 121 6.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of MONEY PLAYS by MR. EASY MONEY)
5  TAKE CARAMIE Aug24         (cassidy james)SMITH E 121 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN BALLS out of BIRTHDAY SURPRISE by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
6  DUSTY SPRINGFIELD         (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 17% 4.80    
  (by GRAZEN out of UNSUNG HEROINE by MORE THAN READY)
7  GRAZEN TOUCH Aug24 Aug28 Aug06 Jun11   (aguirre paul)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by GRAZEN out of LAVENDER TOUCH by TOUCH GOLD)
8  SARANDE Nov05 Aug28 Jul22     (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 8.00    
  (by GERVINHO out of TIVAT by GEMOLOGIST)
 
SA-4   10/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 35 ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTANA Aug11 Jul27 Jun02 May06 Apr09 (hess b)MALDONADO E 120 6.00    
2  CRYPTOHOLIC Sep23 Sep01 Jul30 Jun04 Apr23 (mullins jeff)VAZQUEZ A 120 10.00    
3  MEMES Nov12 Sep01 Aug06 Jun19 Mar26 (d'amato philip)TORREALBA JG 117 1.80 35% 1.90    
4  WHISKEY VISION Sep17 Aug06 Jul01 May28 Apr22 (brinkerhoff )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 124 6.00    
5  BUFFETT Aug11 Jul22 May20 Nov24 Oct10 (papaprodromou)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 8.00    
6  BENDETTIJOE Sep04 Aug17 Jul27 Jun08   (cerin vladi)HERRERA A 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
7  BLUEGRASS RYDER Sep15 Aug06 Jul01 Jun03 Apr23 (oviedo phil)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 113 5.00 13% 6.60    
 
SA-5   10/06/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  M IS FOR MAGIC Aug03 Jun02 May14 Apr22 Sep02 (eurton peter)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 5.00 10% 9.50    
2  WET MY BEAK Aug31 Jun10 May12 Apr01   (cerin )BERRIOS ISAAC 122 5.00    
3  CARMEN MIRANDA Aug12 Apr29 Mar04 Feb04 Dec17 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.00 38% 1.70    
4  BELLA D Aug26 Aug05 Jan07 Jun18 May21 (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 12.00    
5  BENEDICT CANYON Aug12 May27 Apr01 Mar24   (d'amato phili)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50    
6  STRESSED Aug12 Jun24 May21 Apr07 Aug04 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
SA-6   10/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 35 ALL PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE UNION Sep01 Feb12       (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  BIG GUN Aug11 Jul27 Oct23 Aug27 Jan15 (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.60    
3  DONTTESTYOURLUCK Sep17 Sep01 Jul30 Jul01 May19 (morfin sergio)CEDILLO ABEL 120 3.00 15% 5.70    
4  QUINCEY Sep22 Aug27 Jun17 Apr30   (ordonez aggie)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 12.00    
5  AMERICAN LIVIN Sep04 Aug18 Jun04 May12 Apr23 (papaprodromou ge)ESPINOZA V 120 20.00    
6  ACCELERAY Sep15 Aug06 Jul03     (uranga je)RAMIREZ S 120 15.00    
7  LEN'S LUCK Aug11 Jul22 Jul03 Oct02 Sep17 (scolamieri sa)VALDIVIA JR 124 4.00 34% 2.00    
 
SA-7   10/06/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS O'BRIEN Aug07 Jun17 May22     (blacker daniel)BRAVO J 122 6.00 ★    
2  YO YO MAMA Aug25 Sep05 Jul29 Jun26   (koriner br)VAN DRAYDEN 119 4.00    
3  DON'T JU FORGET Sep03 Aug06 Jul08 Nov25 Nov04 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
4  BIG CELEBRATION Jan29 Dec11 Oct29 Sep22 Sep03 (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 119 10.00    
5  SPOILED ROTTEN Sep01 Aug03 Jul08 Jun24 Jun02 (miller pete)HERRERA A 122 12.00    
6  UNWRITTEN CODE Sep01 Mar04 Feb10 Jan20 Jan06 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
7  QUEEN OF POMPEII Sep03 Aug06 Oct28 Aug27 Jul31 (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  PALEO'S PRINCESS Sep01 Aug17 Jun18 Jun02 May20 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00    
SCR  FLAME MCGOON Sep08 Aug06 Dec26 Nov18 Oct07 (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00    
SCR  DIAMONDS DANZING Sep24 Sep08 Aug06 Jun16 Nov22 (cam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 4.00    
 
SA-8   10/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAHOE SUNRISE Sep03 Jul21 Jun04 May06 Mar18 (baffert bob)ESPINOZA V 118 4.00    
2  AMERICAN ADMIRAL Sep17 Jul29 Jun11 May13 Mar19 (yakteen tim)TORREALBA JG 117 6.00    
SCR  MR FISK Sep03 Jul21 Jun04 Mar04 Jan02 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
4  NEWGRANGE Mar04 Jan28 Nov27 Nov06 Sep03 (d'amato philip)MALDONADO E 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
5  PRACTICAL MOVE Apr08 Mar04 Dec17 Nov20 Oct10 (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 120 1.60 28% 2.50    
6  TRIPOLI Sep02 Jul29 Jul09 May29 Mar19 (sadler w)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 8.00    
SCR  DIVINE ARMOR Sep03 Jul30 Jun18 May27 May07 (papaprodromou)FRESU ANTONIO 122 20.00    
 
SA-9   10/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 F PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CIRCLE OF TRUST         (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 12.00 10% 9.30    
  (by UNION RAGS out of OPEN HOUSE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
3  MOCHA GRANDE Aug19 Jul22       (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 12% 7.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of HOLIDAY MUSIC by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  BLUE OASIS Jul29         (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 120 5.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of BLUE NIGHT by GALILEO (ARG))
5  PERSIA Sep01         (mandel)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.50 19% 4.40    
  (by WAR FRONT out of MISS TEMPLE CITY by TEMPLE CITY)
6  AURATIUM Sep09 Jul29       (mccarthy mi)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 8.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of LIGHT CAT by INDYGO SHINER)
8  SABRES Sep04 Jul23       (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 12.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of POTESTA by MACHO UNO)
9  SHE IS ROMANTIC Sep03 Aug04       (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 120 12.00    
  (by BLAME out of ROMANTIC FROLIC by VINDICATION)
SCR  PINK WHITNEY Sep08 Jul29 Jun30     (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 6.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MADAME MAYRA by SCAT DADDY)
11  WILLA T Sep08         (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of WILLATHEWEST by GONE WEST)
SCR  INTO YELLOWSTONE Sep10 Jul30       (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 120 20.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of CHIQUIEM by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  CAILIN DANA Sep09 Aug04       ( )TBA null      
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ENTRECHAT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  MOTET Sep09 Aug12       ( )TBA null      
  (by MO TOWN out of MISS HOLIDAY INN by TACTICAL CAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.