Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Gulfstream Park
Friday - September 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GP-1   WIN (8/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/5)-(8/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/5)-(8/1/5)-(8/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/5)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-3   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-4   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-5   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(2/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-6   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/8)-(2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/8)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-7   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(2/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-8   WIN (2/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/8)-(2/6/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8)-(2/6/7/8/1)-(2/6/7/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GP-1   09/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($30.5K) 2 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURVIVAL ROSE Sep10         (williams andr)MORALES ANGEL 113 5.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  FIELD OF BLOSSOMS Aug18 Aug06       (pompay terri)REYES LEONEL 118 12.00    
3  CASTELLANA Aug20         (garcia rodolfo)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
4  JAZZIN         (sierra ruben)RIVERA JON 108 12.00    
5  WHATS UP BUTTERCUP Sep10 Aug18 Jul21     (pita daniel)MORELOS E 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  GIRVIN'S PRINCESS Sep03         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.50    
7  MISS ATHLETIC Sep01 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jun23 (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 118 4.50    
8  KOZEM Aug05 Jul15 Jun23     (minguet ramon)PEREZ EDGAR 118 3.00 47% 1.10    
 
GP-2   09/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE JUANITO Jul23 Jul08 May11 Apr22 Mar25 (d'angelo jose )REYES LEONEL 121 1.00 58% 0.70    
2  ABE HONESTLY Aug26 Jul30 Jul01 Jun09 May28 (breen j)MORALES ANGEL 116 4.50    
3  EARTH Aug19 Jul22 Jul02 Jun10 May19 (miller herbe)MORELOS E 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  UBIQUITOUS Aug05 Jun03 Apr08 Feb18 Jan22 (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 121 4.00 14% 6.20    
5  ALLEGEDLY PERFECT Jul02 May19 Apr29 Apr08 Mar11 (simpson will)THOMAS ANTHONY 121 20.00    
6  NEVER SATISFIED Aug05 Jul09 Jun03 Apr07 Feb26 (barboza vict)GONZALEZ EDWIN 121 4.00    
 
GP-3   09/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN ASP Sep10         (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00 11% 7.90    
2  SKYLANE         (pompay terri)MORALES ANGEL 113 12.00 10% 9.10    
3  KINGY Sep10 Aug13 Jul30 Jun25 May26 (pita daniel)REYES LEONEL 118 4.50    
4  DOWNEY'S WAY         (deaton william)LEON SONNY 118 10.00    
5  NO PROBLEM JOE Sep15 Sep03 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25 (mckathan kevin)PANICI LUCA 118 1.40 46% 1.20    
6  ADIAMOND ISFOREVER Sep10         (o'dwyer jer)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 20.00    
SCR  BIANCA LUNA Sep02 Aug18 Jul29 Jul14 Jun16 (pita daniel)CAMACHO SAMY 115 2.50    
 
GP-4   09/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($37K) 2 ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANPIRODU Aug25 Aug06 Jul16     (sano antonio)REYES LEONEL 118 3.00 15% 5.70    
2  RED ABARRIO Aug06         (perez l)GIL CIPRIANO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  PRAISEWORTHY Sep15 Jun17 May26 May13   (gonzalez javie)RIOS M 118 3.50    
4  ADIOS NOW         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 8.00    
5  FULL NELSON Aug19 Jul28 Jul02     (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 1.20 60% 0.70    
6  GO GO SANTI Sep16         (ochoa ernesto)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
 
GP-5   09/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTHING BUT PUMPS Sep09 Apr27 Mar26 Feb26 Jan29 (sano antonio)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 4.50 13% 6.70    
2  GRATIA Sep16 Aug13 Jul15 Jul01 Jun18 (dakin diley )THOMAS ANTHONY 118 20.00    
3  WICKLOW GAL Aug13 Jul15 Jun18 May18 Apr22 (spatz ronald)ZAYAS J 120 2.50 18% 4.60    
4  GRANDMA'S PUDDING Feb01 Dec23 Nov11 Sep24 Aug21 (rodriguez ang)MORALES ANGEL 119 4.00 24% 3.20    
5  KILKENNY BELLA Sep10 Jul15 May13 Apr23 Mar22 (mcgoey monica)RIVERA JON 114 8.00    
6  R AWESOME SAUCE Aug12 Jul16 Jun17     (joseph saffie )REYES LEONEL 120 3.50    
7  CONFER Aug18 Aug02 Jun02 May12 Apr27 (cazares laur)MORELOS E 118 4.00    
 
GP-6   09/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STERLING HARMONY Sep15 Aug20 Jul22 Jun17 May28 (dwoski)VASQUEZ ANGEL 121 4.50    
2  STARTONAHIGHNOTE Aug18 Jul02 Mar25     (joseph saff)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 3.00 34% 2.00    
3  INFAMOUS NONO Apr12         (vinson g)JARAMILLO E 118 10.00 32% 2.10    
4  DROPKICK MURPHY Sep02 Mar29 Feb18 Dec30 Dec03 (vinson g)PEREZ EDGAR 118 8.00    
5  EXCHANGE DAY Aug26 Jul22 Jun23 Mar18 Feb18 (breen)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 5.00    
6  BELLA FUTURE Aug19 Jun09 Apr15 Mar17 Feb18 (cazares laur)ZAYAS J 121 8.00    
SCR  AWESOME CRUSADER Sep08 Jul14 May28 Apr21 Apr01 (nicks e)REYES LEONEL 123 4.00    
8  COMMANDANT Aug05 Jul14 Oct01 Sep03 Aug06 (braddy dav)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 6.00 7% 14.40    
 
GP-7   09/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTS OF BROADWAY Aug18 Jul08 Jun10 May19 Apr08 (walder peter)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 4.00 22% 3.50    
2  SURROGATE Sep03 Jul23 Jul02 Jun09 May25 (young )VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
3  SWASHBUCKLE Sep15 Jul02 Jun10 May20 Apr27 (negrete javier)PEREZ EDGAR 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
4  BIG BUCKSALOT Sep08 Aug05 Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 (gatis chr)CAMACHO JR 118 10.00    
SCR  UNCLE ARMANDO Sep03 Aug20 Jul22 Jun30 May28 (hurtak danie)ZAYAS J 124 4.50    
6  A ROSE FOR RAVEN Sep03 Aug04 Jul09 Jun09 May25 (young)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 2.00 35% 1.80    
7  DENYING Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 Jul22 May06 (dobber arno)SPANABEL SKYLER 116 20.00    
 
GP-8   09/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRANTED SUCCESS Sep10 Aug04       (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 121 8.00 ★    
2  LAZZARONE         (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 121 3.50 67% 0.50    
3  ANTILLEAN Sep01 Aug04 Jul22 Jul08 May11 (minott leon)BORACO DAVID 121 10.00    
4  ETRETAT Aug11 Jul16 Feb24 Feb09 Jan13 (palmer nicholas)PANICI LUCA 121 8.00    
5  BIG ENVELOPE (IRE) Sep10 Sep02 Aug18     (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 121 6.00    
6  DOC BALLARD Sep15 Aug27 Aug11 Jul22 Jul08 (budhoo steve)LEON SONNY 121 4.50 8% 11.00    
7  UNCAPTURED TIGER Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 Jun23   (arias d)PEREZ EDGAR 124 3.00 ★    
8  TRAVEL GUIDE Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 May26 Apr30 (garcia r)RIVERA JON 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  GOOD BUMP Sep08 Jul07 Jun03     (minguet ramon)REYES LEONEL 121 15.00    
10  COMMANDER BIZ Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 Jul16 Aug22 (alonso cas)ALONSO LUIS 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.