Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Woodbine
Sunday - September 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WO-1   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/3/6)-(2/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(2/7/1/6)-(3/7/1) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-2   WIN (2/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/7/1/6)-(3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/6)-(3/7/1)-(6/1/8/4) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-3   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/7/1)-(6/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(6/1/8/4)-(5/4/2/3) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-4   WIN (6/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/4)-(6/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/4)-(6/1/8/4)-(6/1/8/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (6/1/8/4)-(5/4/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8/4)-(5/4/2/3)-(5/7/2/8) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
WO-5   WIN (5/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/4/2/3)-(5/7/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/3)-(5/7/2/8)-(1/4/5) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-6   WIN (5/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/8)-(5/7/2/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/8)-(5/7/2/6/8)-(5/7/2/6/8) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
    DD (5/7/2/8)-(1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/8)-(1/4/5)-(6/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
WO-7   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/4/5)-(6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(6/2)-(2/6) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
WO-8   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(2/6)-(5/3/4/7) 16 $0.20 $3.20 
WO-9   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (2/6)-(5/3/4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
WO-10   WIN (5/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/9/7)-(5/3/4/9/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WO-1   09/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($61.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLUS POWER Aug26 Jul29 Jul07 Jun22 Jun01 (patton-casse)CONTRERAS LUIS 119 8.00    
2  REMEMBERING RHODA Aug26 Aug18 Jul07 Jun01 Apr29 (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00    
3  LIVIN ON LUV Aug26 Aug05 Jul07 Jun11 May13 (buttigieg)WILSON JAYNE 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
4  CARA CARA Sep08 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jun11 (mattine john)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 1.80 50% 1.00    
5  WINYAH BAY Sep08 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun09 (nosowenko nicho)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.50    
6  OLYMPIC FENCER Sep10 Aug17 Jul13 Jun29 Jun10 (katryan auste)CHERNETZ SKYE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
WO-2   09/24/2023 4620ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($61.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAST IN THE SNOW Aug27 Aug13 Jul09 Jun15 Nov27 (day)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 2.00 16% 5.10    
2  SPEEDY PAL Jun10         (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 119 4.00 40% 1.50    
3  AGILE DANCER Aug13 Jul22 Jun24 May26 May06 (attard ste)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 20.00    
4  SILVER SMOKE Aug06 Jul09 May28 Nov25 Nov06 (morden richard)STEIN JUSTIN 122 12.00    
5  FIELD HOCKEY Sep08 Aug17 Nov27 Nov06 Oct08 (whalen john)NICHOLLS KEVEH 121 8.00    
6  MIGHTY SEA Sep08 Jul30 Jun18 May21 Apr02 (grant carlos)VIVES SOFIA 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  EL COHETE Aug27 Jul30 Jul07 Jun15 May13 (depaulo mich)CONTRERAS LUIS 119 2.50 20% 4.00    
8  MOON OVER EGBERT Aug25 Aug06 Jul09 Jun03 May20 (buttigieg pa)KIMURA KAZUSHI 119 6.00    
SCR  POSTURING Sep09 Aug19 Jul23 Jun11 May21 (lopez shana)FLORES ESWAN 119 8.00    
 
WO-3   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($111.6K) 2 ALL PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEFRONTIERSMAN Sep10 Aug13 Jul23 Jul02   (squires nathan)BYNOE DESEAN 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of ECHLUATH by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  FIFTY B M G         (minshall )WILSON JAYNE 118 4.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MAZUCAMBERA by MILWAUKEE BREW)
3  JAYHAWK Aug27         (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 121 1.60 61% 0.60    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of ROOM FOR APTITUDE by APTITUDE)
4  VITALITY Aug27         (ladauceur harol)MUNGER RYAN 118 6.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of BELISSIMO by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  EAT FOOD EVERYDAY         (mcdona)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 15.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of POLY ANNA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  PRINCESS JADE Aug27         (dixon patrick)SALLES LEO 115 20.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of IRENE ADLER by BERNARDINI)
7  ROAD TO WATER         (casse mark)CIVACI SAHIN 118 2.50 13% 6.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of THICKER THAN WATER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
WO-4   09/24/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO TOURIST Aug13 Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 Nov26 (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
2  VIVID VIXEN Sep08 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 (nosowenko nicho)VIVES SOFIA 113 12.00    
3  AIR FORCE RESERVE Aug26 Aug04 Jul08 Jun16 May26 (mcpherson)WILSON JAYNE 123 8.00    
4  MOMENT OF PEACE Aug17 Jul16 Jun17 May06 Dec02 (morden richa)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 8.00 7% 13.60    
5  ARMALINE Aug13 Nov25       (mcknight nor)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 6.00    
6  STORMIN DAVE Sep08 Aug13 Jul30 Jul07 Jun16 (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
7  HANK OLLIE Sep02 Aug13 Jul22 Jul01 Jun18 (attard c)WALCOTT W 122 12.00    
8  KILLARY Sep09 Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 Jun22 (hughes c)SALLES LEO 125 3.50 13% 6.70    
9  LOBBY BAR Aug26 Jun18 May28 Aug12 Jul24 (kierans d)MUNGER RYAN 123 20.00    
 
WO-5   09/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($65.9K) 2 ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANKINGONAMIRACLE Sep02 Jul30       (cole-simpson kri)SALLES LEO 121 3.00    
2  SIESTA BEACH Aug06 Jul16 Jun25     (doyle michael )CIVACI SAHIN 118 8.00 18% 4.60    
3  HE SHOOTS HE WINS         (mcknight nor)WALCOTT W 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  IM A SOUPERMAN Aug27         (love m)MORENO OMAR 118 6.00 28% 2.50    
5  VALYRIAN SKY Sep10 Aug27 Jul30 Jul13   (ross a)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 1.60 32% 2.10    
6  CANADIAN DADDY         (buttigieg paul)STEIN JUSTIN 118 15.00    
SCR  FEATHERWEIGHT Sep14 Aug20       (dipaola san)MARTI ALEXANDER 115 20.00    
8  FAIRWAY TO HEAVEN         (carey julia)MUNGER RYAN 121 12.00    
9  RED ENSIGN         (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 10.00    
 
WO-6   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($111.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT TEMPESTA Aug06 Jul15 Jun15 May13 Apr29 (dipaola san)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 20.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of STERLING MADAME by UNBRIDLED ENERGY)
2  TOWN'S WARRIOR Aug10 Jul21 Jun24 Jun03 May13 (depaulo m)WILSON JAYNE 120 2.50 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of CODE WARRIOR by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN)
3  THIS DUDE A BREEZE         (dunslow a)HOYTE JASON 120 15.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of ACADIA BREEZE by ROYAL ACADEMY)
4  DARE TO BE KING Sep17         (brooker terr)NICHOLLS KEVEH 124 20.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of DANCEROFTHEREALM by KING OF KINGS)
5  PARK PLACE Aug31 Aug04 Jan26 Dec11   (sti)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 3.00 59% 0.70    
  (by MASTERY out of CHUCKLING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  SUPER SICILY Aug18 Jul30 Jul02 Jun01   (katryan abraham )SALLES LEO 117 8.00 ★    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of EVERYDAY GRATITUDE by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  KID MARVELOUS Sep08 Jul30 Jul21 Jun24 Jun02 (tiller rob)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 124 4.00 13% 6.90    
  (by ASTERN out of NUTMEG by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
8  LAST MONARCH Sep08 Aug17 Jul22 Jul08 Sep30 (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG SCREEN out of MONARCHIST by SALT LAKE)
9  CINNAMON BITS         (charalambous j)STEIN JUSTIN 117 12.00    
  (by TONALIST out of SPARKLES' GIRL by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN)
10  TIMES A BREEZE         (carroll josie)CIVACI SAHIN 124 6.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SHEER ENCHANTMENT by ARCHERS BAY)
 
WO-7   09/24/2023 4620ft TURF RC11 FIRM Bull Page Purse ($100K) 2 C/G PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEKO MAKEE Aug19 Jul29       (tharrenos willi)MORENO OMAR 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by HYPER out of MISS CURLY Q by ESTEVAN)
2  BEARING DOWN Aug27 Aug06 Jul13     (hall philip)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 10.00    
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of BEARALLLEGS by ROCK HARD TEN)
3  ZIPPY GIZMO Aug27 Aug06 Jun25     (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 3.00    
  (by AMIS GIZMO out of AVIE'S ZIP by CITY ZIP)
4  YACHT BOY Aug27 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04   (mcknight nor)WALCOTT W 120 2.00 18% 4.60    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of CAWAJA BEACH by WHERE'S THE RING)
5  SUMMER COMMANDER Aug27 Jul16       (sim)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 8.00 13% 7.00    
  (by SILENT NAME out of DANCING ALLSTAR by MILLENNIUM ALLSTAR)
6  BRAVE DANCER Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jul16   (attard steve)MUNGER RYAN 120 6.00    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of AUDACIOUS BEAR by PHILANTHROPIST)
 
WO-8   09/24/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($111K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMI'S LINK May25 Mar31 Mar13 Feb22 Jan27 (chircop s)WILSON JAYNE 121 10.00    
2  LADY MOONSHINE Jul08 Jun17 May12 Dec10 Nov12 (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 123 2.00 28% 2.60    
3  STATE OF MIND Aug12 Jul08 Jan12 Nov26 Sep17 (carroll josi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 4.00    
SCR  MACHISIMA Aug10 Jun29 Jun04 May14 Mar19 (depaul)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 116 3.50    
5  BUTTERED TOAST Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 Jun02 (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 123 8.00    
6  FRANKIE'S GIRL Sep02 Jul15 Jun17 Mar15 Feb08 (macrae donal)WALCOTT W 123 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
WO-9   09/24/2023 4620ft TURF RC11 FIRM Victorian Queen Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLIVIA ROSE Aug26 Jul29 Jul01     (casse mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 3.00    
  (by SILENT NAME out of MALIBU SUNRISE by MALIBU MOON)
2  NEVER SILENT Aug20 Jul15       (day)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 1.60 30% 2.40    
  (by SILENT NAME out of SUMMERTIME FRIEND by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  VANDOO Aug27 Jul29       (attard kevin)HUSBANDS P 120 12.00    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of MONA MOON by PERIGEE MOON)
4  FOURFIFTYFOUR Aug20 Jul29       (minshall )WILSON JAYNE 120 4.00    
  (by PERFECT TIMBER out of RAGING TOWN by JERSEY TOWN)
5  WAR PAINTER Aug27 Jul29       (attard kevin)HUSBANDS P 118 4.50    
  (by DANISH DYNAFORMER out of MORNING TALE by TALE OF EKATI)
6  HURRICANE CLAIR Aug27 Jul29       (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 122 6.00 28% 2.60    
  (by SILENT NAME out of HURRICANE LORRAINE by WEATHER WARNING)
 
WO-10   09/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($111K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S FULLY LOADED Aug27 Aug06 Jul08 Dec11 Nov18 (black ian)MUNGER RYAN 125 12.00    
2  HAVE A SOUPER DAY Aug13 Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May14 (drexler mart)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 6.00    
3  STAR SIGN Aug27 Aug13 Jul16 Jul07 Jun17 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 123 3.00 22% 3.50    
4  MAAKWA Aug27 Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 May14 (lopez shan)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 123 12.00 8% 12.20    
5  RELOAD'S RASCAL Jun04 Nov25 Oct16     (burke r)HUSBANDS P 123 4.00 45% 1.20    
6  POSEIDON STEEL Sep08 Aug19 Jul16 Jun04 May14 (colbourne)WILSON JAYNE 123 15.00    
7  RED LINE OVERDRIVE Aug27 Jul23 Jun04 May06 Mar04 (mck)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  TAKE CHARGE SOUSI Aug06 Jun25 Jun03 May13 Dec11 (mattine michae)FLORES ESWAN 123 8.00    
9  CAUSIN' MAYHEM Sep03 Aug03 Jul02 May28 Jan20 (giliforte layne)VIVES SOFIA 118 3.50 ★    
10  ADELAIDE COURT Sep15 Aug17 Jul16 Jun11 Dec08 (holder)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 116 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.