Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lethbridge
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LBG-1   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LBG-2   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LBG-6   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LBG-1   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPHABETICAL Aug22 Aug08 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 (mooney bill)BUGEAUD L 124 8.00    
2  KING WITT Aug06 Jul15 Jul08 Jun24 Jun17 (calfrobe shawn)POWELL ANDRE 124 6.00    
3  SABURO'S GRACE Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 Jul30 Jul02 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 0.50    
4  HELLO HANDSOME Jul30 Jul23 Jul15 Jun12 May23 (deroche heid)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 5.00 25% 3.10    
5  KALUGA BOB Aug27 Jul23       (brown p)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
 
LBG-2   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BULLET EXPRESS Aug19 Aug13 Jul29 Jul08 Jun23 (marks garry)POWELL ANDRE 124 2.50    
SCR  FORMAL TUX Aug19 Jul29 Jul08 Jun18 Jun10 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 4.00    
3  DR A TO D Aug20 Aug06 Jul30 Jun24 Jun18 (little be)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 10.00    
SCR  CROWN RULER Aug27 Jun11 Oct10 Aug28 Aug14 (marks garr)APANGO JOSE 124 8.00 23% 3.40    
5  SOUL OBSESSION Aug06 Jul23 Jun24 Jun11 May28 (smith rusty)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
6  IRISH POLO Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 7.00 5% 19.00    
7  FORGOTABOUTME Aug19 Aug05 Jul29 Jul15 Jul08 (rycroft clinton)ROCHA O 124 0.80    
 
LBG-6   09/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAKE THE GREAT Aug19 Jul30 Jun18 Jun03 Mar27 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
2  FLASH OF GLORY Aug13 Aug06 Jul23 Jun24 Jun16 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 7.00    
3  ANELLO Aug20 Aug13 Aug06 Jul23 Jul12 (kinch bill)GORDON GARFIELD 124 5.00    
SCR  THE HYBRID Aug13 Aug06 Jul22 Jun17 Jun03 (gwilliam b)APANGO JOSE 124 7.00    
5  DON'TTEASETHETIGER Aug19 Jul09 Jun18 Jun04 May20 (oberholtz)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 4.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  COZY BEAR Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jun17 May28 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 2.50    
7  MEET AT JAKES Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 Jul15 Jul08 (robson travi)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.