Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Ruidoso Downs
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
RUI-2   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5/8)-(4/7/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
RUI-4   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
RUI-6   WIN (2/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/4)-(2/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/4)-(2/8/5/4)-(2/8/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
RUI-8   WIN (8/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/4/6)-(8/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/4/6)-(8/1/4/6)-(8/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
RUI-2   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANJERUS STORM May21 Feb28 Feb14 Jan17 Dec12 (marq)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 15.00    
2  BIGG LIMO Jul14 Jun03 Apr02 Mar14 Feb12 (riddle)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 10.00    
3  OL' MCCLINTOCK Jun25 May29 Mar26 Feb28 Jan08 (lambert case)MACIAS J 116 12.00    
4  JED Jun25 Feb14       (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 2.00 41% 1.40    
5  READS PET ZENON Dec06 Nov14 Oct24 Oct11 Sep04 (barton j)VALDEZ S 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  FLAGS FINALE Mar14 Feb14 Jan31 Jan17 Dec12 (a)DE CRUZ 121 6.00    
7  LET HIM BE Jul09         (marr h)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
8  B R KIDD ROCK Jul14 Feb28 Feb07 Jan17 Dec05 (buechler j)HEBERT J 123 4.00 ★    
 
RUI-4   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19.8K) 35 ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OLIVER TWISTED Feb07 Dec01 Oct17     (smith pau)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 15.00    
  (by DIXIE TOPAZ out of GHOSTLY WHISPER by GHOSTLY MOVES)
2  KING BARON         (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 4.00 12% 7.50    
  (by UNIFIED out of BROWN EYES by HALO'S IMAGE)
3  WHAT A MEMORY Jul09 Mar07 Feb14 Jan15 Nov30 (marquez m)MARQUEZ LARRY 118 8.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of FLYING NORTH by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
4  BLUE JEAN BOURBON Jul29 Nov21 Nov08 Oct25   (lambert case)MACIAS J 116 2.50 60% 0.70    
  (by KLIMT out of ON PAROLE by SILVER GHOST)
5  SECOND BATTALION Jul29 Jun16 Jun02     (gonzalez r)HEBERT J 121 6.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of NINE FROM TWO by CURLIN)
6  PARS AND BIRDIES Jul27 Jun10 May19 Apr29 Apr01 (c)DE CRUZ 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STANFORD out of SEEKITANA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  LEAP YEAR NIGHT Jun11 May13 Apr15 Jul29 Jul17 (acosta )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 116 12.00    
  (by RULE BY NIGHT out of HURRICANE HUSH by ATTILA'S STORM)
8  LEGALLY REDDY Jul29 May05 Mar19 Feb07 Mar05 (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.00 ★    
  (by OUTWORK out of SHE'S REDDY by MUTAKDDIM)
 
RUI-6   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22.8K) 35 ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMARTY'S BERTRANDO Jul29 May06 Apr09 Mar21   (leyba rub)KELLENBERGER KODY 123 15.00    
  (by DR. SMARTY JACK out of DON'TJACKWITHJILL by PRINCE OF FAME)
2  DESERT PUNK         (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of PRECIOUS BAY QUEEN by BAY HEAD KING)
3  SPEED BUMP BOB Jul09 Jun16       (buechler j)HEBERT J 121 8.00    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of FOLLOW THE SMOKE by DESERT GOD)
4  BIG D W Jul29 Jun16 Mar12 Feb14   (riddle ja)AMAYA RUIZ 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARKING out of BONNIE MAE'S GIRL by MONTEREY JAZZ)
5  ON YOUR LEFT         (gonzalez jua)MEDINA ANTHONY 123 6.00 15% 5.90    
  (by MUSAITER out of AMY'S LYIN by STORMIN' LYON)
6  TOWN HEAT Mar22 Feb01 Jan11     (gonzalez sal)CEBALLOS F 123 10.00    
  (by TOWN EXTENSION out of UNUSUALLY HOT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SCR  BENDICION Mar28 Mar12 Jan22     (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 2.00    
  (by MARKING out of PRETTY SUZI by DIXIE BRASS)
8  G G HENNESSY         (aldavaz herm)MACIAS J 116 4.00 18% 4.70    
  (by G G FLAG out of LA MARIPOSA by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
 
RUI-8   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTH BLUES Jul29 Jul08 Nov15 Oct25 Oct17 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 4.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  MICKEYS GOLD Jul22 Dec20 Dec12 Oct17 Oct05 (lambert)FUENTES T 123 10.00    
3  PHANTOMOFTHEOPERE Jul22 Apr22 Mar19 Oct09 Sep30 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 123 6.00    
4  CLUE Jul08 Jun17 May13 Apr29 Feb28 (c)DE CRUZ 121 2.50 19% 4.30    
5  REEL EM IN Jul22 Mar21 Sep30 Aug26 May28 (lello p)HEBERT J 123 15.00    
6  RAFAEL'S SURPRISE Jul22 Jul08 Jun11 May20 Apr29 (arms)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  ZESTY JAZZMAN Jul22 Jul16 May29 Apr02 Mar21 (villalobo)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 8.00    
8  GOLDEN MERGER Jun11 Jan22 Dec14 Nov21 Nov06 (rojero luis)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.