Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Grande Prairie
Saturday - July 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GPR-2   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
GPR-3   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
GPR-5   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(6/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GPR-6   WIN (6/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GPR-2   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN LASS Jul23 Jul08 Jun23 Nov04 Sep25 (robson tra)APANGO JOSE 124 3.00 13% 6.80    
QUALITY PLUS Jul15 Jun23 Oct16 Sep25 Jul17 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 2.00    
CMON SHARON Jul15 Jun25 Oct02 Sep18 Aug14 (miyashiro tansley)BUGEAUD L 124 10.00    
LLYRA Jul15 Sep25 Sep10 Sep04 Aug20 (mcconaghie s)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 4.50 28% 2.60    
ANN OF WAR Jul15 Jun25 Oct28 Oct14 Oct09 (bugeaud mik)GORDON GARFIELD 124 6.00    
SARASOTA SALSA Jul08 Oct01 Sep17 Aug21 Jul31 (speaks de)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
GPR-3   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORT RIB Jul08 Jun28 Jun05 May22 Apr12 (tourangeau rus)ALLEN LARRIS 124 10.00    
FORMAL TUX Jul08 Jun18 Jun10 May20 Jul31 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 3.50 10% 8.60    
FORGOTABOUTME Jul15 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May28 (rycroft clinton)ROCHA O 124 5.00    
WITTS SHORT STOP Jun18 Jun11 Oct02 Sep18 Jun18 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00    
BULLET EXPRESS Jul08 Jun23 Jun03 Oct02 Sep18 (marks garr)APANGO JOSE 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
LET THE BOY SING Jul08 Jun30 Jun16 Jun03 Aug14 (bolin jack)GORDON GARFIELD 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
GPR-5   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY TO ORBIT Jul15 Jun25 Nov13 Oct22 Sep17 (fogle all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 3.00    
HIGH KELLY BABE Jul15 May13 Aug28 Aug14 Jul23 (mcnally kat)GORDON GARFIELD 124 1.40 39% 1.50    
SOLANA (IRE) Jul08 Sep03 Jul22 Jul08   (nikiforuk raym)POWELL ANDRE 124 10.00    
NORTHERN GOLD Jul08 Jul01 Oct21 Oct01 Sep03 (perry carl)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 4.00 12% 7.40    
ZIBO Oct08 Sep23 Sep13 Sep05 Aug23 (bugeaud mike)BUGEAUD L 124 8.00    
LASKA (CHI) Jul08 Sep17 Sep03 Aug19 Aug06 (mohindee manku)ALLEN LARRIS 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
 
GPR-6   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OIL COUNTRY BOY Jul22 Jul09 Jun16 Oct10 Sep11 (perry car)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 8.00    
QUICK SIX Jul15         (snider corey)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 12.00    
HIGH KELLY SONG Jul16 Jun24 Jun10 May26 Oct29 (daniels ant)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.50 9% 10.10    
CAROLINA GENT Jun26 May29 Oct28 Oct09 Oct02 (calfrobe shaw)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 15.00    
BLACK WOLF Jul09 Aug05 Jun26     (smith darcy)ALLEN LARRIS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHAIRMAN FOX Nov26 Nov13 Oct28 Oct01 Sep16 (fogle allen)POWELL ANDRE 124 4.00 62% 0.60    
BOMEGA Oct21 Aug14       (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 3.00 7% 13.10    
WE NEED V L TS PLZ Jul15 Jul09 Sep13 Sep05 Aug08 (gardipy ra)APANGO JOSE 124 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.