Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Pleasanton
Friday - July 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PLN-1   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(4/5/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(4/5/7)-(2/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PLN-2   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(2/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(2/6/1)-(3/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PLN-3   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(3/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(3/5/2)-(5/6/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PLN-4   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(5/6/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(5/6/3/7)-(4/7/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PLN-5   WIN (5/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/3/7)-(4/7/5/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/7)-(4/7/5/2)-(1/4/6/3/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PLN-6   WIN (4/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/2)-(4/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/2)-(4/7/5/2)-(4/7/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/5/2)-(1/4/6/3/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
PLN-7   WIN (1/4/6/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/3/7)-(1/4/6/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/3/7)-(1/4/6/3/7)-(1/4/6/3/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PLN-1   07/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHELSIESDANZIGLITE Jun24 Jun03 May06     (mcdaniel l)HERRERA HUGO 122 12.00    
MOVIETIME Jun10 May21 Apr14 Mar18 Feb26 (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 3.50    
FRESNO CHILE Jun02 Apr29 Apr08     (meier monty)BURNHAM MATILDA 107 5.00 31% 2.20    
WAY TOO HOT Jun10 May21 Feb19 Jan16 Dec11 (mccanna tim)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 2.00 34% 2.00    
TRIBUTE TO M         (dunham dani)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 8.00 10% 9.40    
QUALITY CAT May19         (sherman s)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 2.50    
 
PLN-2   07/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 2 F PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BROADWAY TIGER         (badilla ma)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 3.50    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FINISH RICH IN NYC by GOTHAM CITY)
SCR  SHANA MADEL Jun10         (badi)ANTONGEORGI JR 120 10.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
CATTIN ALL AROUND         (wright blaine)RIVERA SANTOS 120 6.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of J'S TWO STEP HALO by TWO STEP SALSA)
BIG CATTY Jun24 Jun10       (bautista )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by BIG BAD LEROYBROWN out of CHATTY CATTY by GRAZEN)
VINOS ANGEL         (mccanna tim)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 3.00 25% 3.10    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of TWISTED ADAGE by HARD SPUN)
CEE'S THE IMAGE Jun10         (rondan fe)MARTINEZ CATALINO 120 12.00    
  (by SOUTHERN IMAGE out of CEE'S JOY by ETESAAL)
BROOKYS GAL         (mccanna tim)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 8.00 5% 18.30    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of BROOKYS STAR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
PLN-3   07/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTERN TOWN Oct28 Sep25 Sep05 Jun24   (miller que)AMERICANO MANUEL 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
PRETTY THIRSTY Jun18 May14 Apr07 Feb19 Jan16 (bonde jeff)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 1.80 41% 1.40    
CRY ME A RUNNER Jun18 May29 May04 Apr07 Mar11 (badilla man)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 4.50    
SHE'S SO FANCY May19 Mar17 Feb19 Feb03 Jan16 (badilla man)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 2.50    
WHATWASTHENISNOW Jun09 May21 Apr29 Apr14   (hobson simo)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 6.00    
EXTREME BLAZE Jun16         (meier r)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 4.00 33% 2.00    
 
PLN-4   07/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIANT KID Jun04 Mar31 Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 (mclean bill)RIVERA SANTOS 122 8.00    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of CANDY CAUSEWAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
GRASPY Jun17         (rich l)PENA BRYAN 122 10.00 7% 13.60    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of GRASP by SOUVENIR COPY)
MAGAZINE Jun16 Mar18 Nov18     (france reid)ROMAN A 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CURLIN'S FOX by CURLIN)
ADAPTED MEMORY May26 May05       (wright blaine)HERRERA HUGO 122 3.50    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of ADAPTABILITY by EDDINGTON)
RAFANELLI Jun17         (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 2.50 18% 4.70    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of WINE TRAIN by TIZ WONDERFUL)
GADDING Jun04 May13       (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 5.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of MY MALOOF ROCKER by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
PLN-5   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUR ROYAL FLYNESS Aug12         (tayl)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 10.00    
STAR SO FAR Jun25 May20 Apr24 Apr10   (paldanius she)RIVERA SANTOS 122 8.00    
ALL HALLOWS Nov05 Sep16 Aug12 Jul10   (mccanna tim)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 2.50 11% 8.10    
GOLONDRINA (CHI) Jun16         (becerra )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 15.00    
AUNT NOREEN Jun16 May21 May04 Mar11   (galvin brendan)HERRERA HUGO 125 3.50 35% 1.80    
HAUGHTY KITTY Jun16 May27       (france reid)ROMAN A 122 4.50 25% 2.90    
ZIPPIDY DU DAD         (taylor faith)ALVARADO T 122 12.00 6% 14.90    
MY YVONNE Jun23 May13 Nov27 Nov06 Sep23 (mathis andy)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 4.00    
 
PLN-6   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFORMATIVE Jun09 Apr29 Apr14 Mar25 Feb20 (stei)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 6.00    
WEGOTBEERONICE Jun16 Nov05 Oct10 Sep18 Sep04 (ordonez aggie)ALVARADO T 122 8.00 10% 8.70    
MR. FIGHTER Jun23 May29 May07 Apr28 Apr02 (rivera leobard)ROMAN A 122 6.00    
DOGE OF VENICE Jun17 Jan28 Dec30 Dec09 Nov18 (france reid)PENA BRYAN 120 8.00 22% 3.60    
MOB BOSS Jun17 May05 Apr09 Mar19 Feb18 (bonde jeff)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.50 15% 5.50    
BIG DON'S SMILING Jun17 Jun03 May13 Oct22 Sep24 (mclean bill)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.00    
WICKLOW HILLS Jun18 May29 May05 Apr14 Mar12 (trujillo )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 4.50 16% 5.30    
G'S LAST CHANCE Jun23 May13 Apr23 Apr02 Feb25 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 15.00    
 
PLN-7   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWICE FOOLED Jun10 Apr04 Mar04 Feb06 Jan17 (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.50 68% 0.50    
TACOMA SOUND Jun23 Dec03 Oct30 Sep25   (france reid)ROMAN A 122 3.50    
VIVA LEON JODIDO Jun23 Apr23 Feb20 Feb05 Jan20 (rich l)HERRERA HUGO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
MOTOWN CLASSIC Jun18 May28 May14 Mar26   (mathis andy)RIVERA SANTOS 122 6.00 8% 11.70    
SON OF SHANGHAI Jun24         (taylor faith)PENA BRYAN 122 5.00    
START THEM UP Jun18 May29 May06 Apr16 Mar17 (sherman ste)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
WAKES AND WEDDINGS Jun23 Jun09 May20 Apr29 Apr14 (puentes jos)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
RIVER'S BENCHMARK Jun23 Jun10 May27     (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 15.00    
ONE LITTLE INDIAN Jun23 May28       (france reid)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.