Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Sunday - May 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(1/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(1/4/3)-(3/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(3/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(3/1/5)-(2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-3   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(2/4)-(4/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(4/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(4/5/3)-(1/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-5   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(1/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(1/9)-(8/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-6   WIN (1/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/9)-(1/9/10/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/9)-(1/9/10/6/7)-(1/9/10/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9)-(8/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/9)-(8/4/5)-(1/11/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-7   WIN (8/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/5)-(8/4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/5)-(8/4/5/2)-(8/4/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/4/5)-(1/11/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
SA-8   WIN (1/11/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/11/2)-(1/11/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/11/2)-(1/11/2/8)-(1/11/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   05/14/2023 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS LIZZY Apr21 Mar09 Feb08 Jan05 Dec07 (o'neill dou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 4.00 40% 1.50    
2  IRISH PATSY Apr21 Mar17 Feb12 Jan22   (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
3  M IS FOR MAGIC Apr22 Sep02 Aug07 Jun10 May08 (eurton peter)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 3.00 17% 4.80    
4  DADDY CLASSY DILL Apr21 Apr07 Mar09 Jan29 Nov19 (alvarez )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 118 20.00    
5  R SWIRVIN GIRVIN Jan18 Oct28       (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 118 8.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  THUNDER RUN Apr30 Mar25       (knapp steve)SMITH E 126 4.00    
7  AVENTAPP Apr22 Mar18 Feb19 Jun10 May14 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 2.50    
 
SA-2   05/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 M/F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELITEFULL HART         (puype mike)SMITH E 118 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by OUTWORK out of DELITEFULL LADY by DIALED IN)
2  MINEDANDREFINED         (mccarthy sean)MALDONADO E 118 3.50    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of BULLET BYRNES by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  GUITAR GIRL         (gom)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 8.00 9% 9.70    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of PENELOPE PLUM by BADGE OF SILVER)
4  APPLE FEST Apr23         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.60 24% 3.20    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of STARLIKE by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  MAGAZINE Mar18 Nov18       (gaines carla)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 111 12.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CURLIN'S FOX by CURLIN)
6  ROYALE DELTA         (knapp steve)VAZQUEZ A 126 3.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of RED BARCHETTA by SEEKING THE GOLD)
 
SA-3   05/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISTLER'S STYLE Apr02 Mar18 Feb18 Dec18 Nov26 (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
2  DOLLY MAY (IRE) Apr28 Mar09 Feb12 Jan13 Nov18 (cerin vladi)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 4.00    
3  JIBBER JABBER (IRE) Mar25 Feb11 Jan20 Nov18 Oct16 (saldana reed)BRAVO J 122 1.80 41% 1.50    
4  TOO MUCH HEAVEN Apr01 Apr09 Mar18     (d'a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 1.60    
5  MAJESTIC STEPS (IRE) Apr09 Feb03 Jan13 Nov13 Feb11 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00 13% 6.80    
 
SA-4   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 35 M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SONG OF SHADOWS Mar19 Feb19 Jan02     (miyadi stev)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 2.50 30% 2.30    
2  ASSUREDLY         (puy)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 5.00 26% 2.90    
3  BLONDE BOMBSHELL Feb25 Jan15       (winick debbie)FREY KYLE 126 6.00    
4  SHAMBALA GIRL Apr23 Apr01       (knapp steve)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 111 8.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  DIALING SCOTTY Apr21 Jun11 May22 Apr17   (gaines carla)VAZQUEZ A 126 3.00    
SCR  COPPER BO TEN Apr23 Jan28 Jan02     (gaines carla)BRAVO J 126 3.00    
7  WHISKEY OUTLAW Mar19         (howey quinn)MALDONADO E 118 10.00    
 
SA-5   05/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME TAYLOR Apr21 Mar18 Feb04 Nov26 Oct23 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 124 8.00    
2  HEELS UP Apr28 Mar06       (baffert bob)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 5.00    
3  TECUMSEH CAROLINE Mar17 Feb03 Dec03 Oct28 Oct09 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 126 1.80 9% 10.00    
4  LUCKY FOR YOU Apr29 Apr02 Jan28 Jan02   (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 58% 0.70    
5  TROUVILLE Mar18 Feb20 Jan20 Dec16 Dec02 (powell leonard)CEDILLO ABEL 124 3.00 12% 7.10    
 
SA-6   05/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 35 ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELMONT BILL Apr23 Mar26 Feb19 Jan29 Apr16 (saavedra an)HERRERA A 126 3.00 38% 1.70    
2  CARPE BELLUM Apr28 Mar17 Mar18 Feb25 Jan09 (koriner bri)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 20.00    
3  LA'OCH ALOYSIUS Dec03 Nov11 Sep30 Sep03 Mar18 (herrick joe)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 20.00    
4  SIPPIN WHISKEY Mar09 Feb10 Nov05     (ovi)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 30.00    
5  KAWAZAKI (IRE) Sep30 Sep03 Jun18     (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 5.00    
6  STORM THE NIGHT Apr23 Mar12 Feb17 Jan06 Nov19 (miller)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 6.00 ★    
7  STOP AND A TRES Apr29 Apr02 Mar04 Jan21 Dec17 (brinkerhoff val)BRAVO J 118 15.00 ★    
8  SECRET TREASURE Apr08 Jan21 Dec26 Nov12 Aug26 (mccarthy micha)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00    
9  THE KEY IS UNITY Apr23 Mar26 Feb19 Jan21 Nov25 (pederson dean)VAZQUEZ A 126 4.00 37% 1.70    
10  RUSSELLS HUSTLE Apr23 Mar11 Feb17 Jan15 Dec04 (papaprodro)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 ★    
11  PORT ROYAL Apr28 Jul16 Jun22 Jun09 Mar18 (desormeaux j)DESORMEAUX J 126 12.00    
13  OVERRULE Jan27 Apr02 Mar05     (mandella richar)MALDONADO E 126 12.00    
SCR  ZIHUATANEJO Mar12 Feb17 Dec26 Nov19   ( )TBA null      
 
SA-7   05/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARELESS KITTEN Apr23 Mar31 Jan21 Dec17 Nov12 (brinkerhoff val)BRAVO J 126 5.00    
2  KRIXUS FLASH Apr28 Mar03 Dec16 Nov25 Sep16 (stute gary)FREY KYLE 118 12.00 ★    
SCR  DIVINE FEMININE Apr23 Mar31 Mar09 Jan20 Oct30 (ganbat enebis)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 8.00    
4  ECONOMICAL Apr23 Feb20 Dec30 Dec17 Oct28 (mccarthy sean)CEDILLO ABEL 126 2.50 26% 2.90    
5  SIR FLATTER Apr11 Feb12 Jan23     (ruiz lorenz)HERRERA A 126 8.00 8% 12.10    
6  BIG SPLASH Apr28 Apr02 Mar09 Jan13 Apr17 (pin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 5.00    
7  CRYPTO MUNNY Apr23 Mar27 Feb10 Dec04 Nov04 (kruljac ian)DESORMEAUX J 126 6.00    
8  BIG SWEDE Apr23 Mar31 Jan21 Dec30 Dec04 (cerin vladi)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
SA-8   05/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 M/F PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMELY LUCK Apr23 Apr07 Feb05 Jan07   (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by UNKNOWN out of THIRD TIME LUCKY by GILDED TIME)
2  LOVE OUR FAMILY Apr07 Mar26 Feb17 Jan27 Jan02 (truman eddie)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 111 12.00 6% 15.10    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of LOVE YOU SO by WAR CHANT)
3  TAPIT ROCKS Apr23 Mar26 Feb12 Jan13 Dec03 (dunham dan)VAN DRAYDEN 126 30.00    
  (by HEAVEN'S GLORY out of INCREDIBLE TEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  CANDY ON TOP Apr23 Mar26 Feb12 Jan13 Nov27 (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CANDY CAUSEWAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  SMOOVE AS SILK May05 Feb17 Feb05 Jan02 Nov20 (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 8.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of SMOOVE IT by SQUARE EDDIE)
6  YVETT'S SURPRISE Apr23 Mar26 Feb17     (periban jorg)DESORMEAUX J 118 10.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of R SUNDAY SURPRISE by LUCKY PULPIT)
7  CHERRY CHAOS Jan02 Dec04 Nov05 Sep22 Aug28 (dollase craig)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of CHOKECHERYMARY by CAPSIZED)
8  WARRIOR LADY Apr07         (eurton pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 12.00 ★    
  (by JERANIMO out of MADAME FORBES by TIZNOW)
9  SAPADILLA Apr22 Mar27 Feb12 Jan21 Dec30 (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 126 12.00    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of LITTLE TREASURE by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
10  BETSY IS THE CODE Apr23 Mar19 Feb19     (alvare)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 20.00    
  (by DESERT CODE out of CALL BETSY by FLAT OUT)
11  BOGINSKAYA Apr23         (m)ROJAS EDUARD 118 20.00 13% 6.90    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of ROSES FOR JONI by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SCR  IDESSIA Apr23 Mar19 Feb03     (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SILVER SWALLOW by ALPHABET SOUP)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.