Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hastings Racecourse
Sunday - May 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HST-1   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HST-2   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
HST-3   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(5/6/3)-(3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
HST-4   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
HST-5   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(6/5/3)-(5/1/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HST-6   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3/8/9)-(6/5/3/8/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(5/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HST-7   WIN (5/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HST-1   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYE BE SEEING YOU Oct22 Oct09 Sep24 Sep17 Aug23 (maybin r)SEECHARAN C 120 5.00 10% 8.70    
MAKEITORBREAKIT Apr30 Oct22 Oct01 Sep18 Jul17 (cloutier mark)PEREZ AMADEO 120 4.00 6% 15.80    
DEBATABLE Oct02 Sep24 Sep17 Aug23 Jul31 (strachan )SANCHEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
I'M A CHI TOO Apr30 Dec09 Dec02 Nov11 Oct14 (condilenios di)AEBLY FRASER 113 0.60 62% 0.60    
SCR  DONE THAT Oct22 Oct09 Sep25 Aug29 Aug13 (maybin robe)MORALES SILVINO 120 6.00    
 
HST-2   05/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REA MEA Oct09 Sep17 Aug13 Aug01 Jul10 (mendoza edg)MORALES SILVINO 120 1.20 49% 1.00    
WANDALITA Oct16 Oct09 Sep17 Aug06 Jul23 (mendoza edgar)PEREZ AMADEO 120 1.80 26% 2.80    
SCR  DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER Jan28 Jan03 Dec14 Nov30 Nov04 (grieve larry)SANTO KIMAL 120 3.50    
IRISH LUNA Apr30 Oct22 Oct09 Sep18 Aug30 (henson steve)AEBLY FRASER 109 8.00    
ICE BREAKER Oct22 Oct08 Aug22 Aug13 Jul31 (grie)REYES AMBROSIO 120 8.00    
 
HST-3   05/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATOMIC HAZE Oct15 Sep18 Aug23 Aug07 Jul09 (miller c)SEECHARAN C 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
BARNEY GOOGLE Apr30 Oct22 Oct15 Oct02 Sep18 (henson rober)WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 3.50    
GWEN Oct22 Oct08 Aug22 Aug07 May28 (maybin robe)MORALES SILVINO 115 6.00    
ROLLIE'S SPIRIT Oct15 Sep25 Aug30 Aug07 Jul24 (snow john)SANTO KIMAL 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
GROOVY GIRL Oct15 Sep25 Aug29 Aug13 Jul31 (mendoza edgar)PEREZ AMADEO 115 5.00 19% 4.20    
TRAPALIS Sep25 Sep18 Aug14 Jul23 Jul09 (deyo)REYES AMBROSIO 120 2.00    
 
HST-4   05/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOPFLER Apr30 Oct22 Oct02 Sep17 Aug23 (pederson ke)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 3.00    
VANCOUVER'S HUNTER Oct09 Sep17 Aug23 Aug06 Jul23 (barroby harold )POWELL KURI 120 4.00    
CALAMAZEUS Oct22 Oct09 Sep24 Jul24 Jul10 (jarv)REYES AMBROSIO 120 4.00 14% 5.90    
CERTIFIABLE Oct22 Oct01 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (may)MAMDEEN ROY 116 10.00    
JUVEE TOO Apr30 Oct08 Sep18 Aug06 Jul10 (snow john)AEBLY FRASER 113 3.50 25% 2.90    
FOOT SOLDIER Apr30 Oct22 Oct01 Sep18 Jul31 (condilenios)MORALES SILVINO 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
HST-5   05/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOITANO Nov05 Oct29 Oct02 Sep10 Aug13 (snow mel)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 5.00    
BOLD ARCH Oct02 Sep10 Aug23 Aug01 Jun19 (morrison jo)MORALES SILVINO 120 1.60 31% 2.20    
CASCADE BILLY Oct02 Aug01 Jul17 Jul01 Jun04 (snow mel)SANTO KIMAL 120 1.80 41% 1.50    
SLEW'S BAK Oct02 Sep10 May15     (anderson rob)WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 5.00    
SOARINGFORTHESUN Sep10 Aug20 Aug01 Jul03 Jun11 (mendoza edgar)PEREZ AMADEO 120 4.00    
 
HST-6   05/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AVE'S IN COMMAND Oct15 Oct09 Sep18 Aug29 Aug14 (beneen g)GOMEZ ROBERTO 120 4.50    
YOU DON'T OWN ME Apr30 Oct09 Sep25 Sep10 Aug30 (milburn )SEECHARAN C 120 10.00    
APPELLANT Apr30 Oct15 Oct08 Sep25 Sep10 (jewe)REYES AMBROSIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SIR BARCLAY Aug06 Jul03 Jun19 Jun04 May14 (barroby harold )POWELL KURI 118 15.00    
MCMURPHY Oct09 Sep24 Sep10 Jul16 Jun25 (maybin robe)MORALES SILVINO 120 3.50 14% 6.30    
QUAGMIRE Oct22 Oct09 Sep18 Aug29 Jul31 (henson steve)AEBLY FRASER 113 3.00 57% 0.70    
MORETHANSOULTITLE Jan10 Dec26 Dec13 Nov30 Sep20 (condilenios di)PEREZ AMADEO 120 10.00    
RACING RIVER Apr30 Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Aug30 (henson rober)WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 10.00    
RING OF KERRY Oct22 Oct09 Sep18 Aug23 Aug07 (henson robe)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 8.00    
SCR  IT'S IN COMMAND Oct09 Sep24 Aug30 Aug14 Jul17 (barroby haro)BALGOBIN RIDGE 118 12.00    
 
HST-7   05/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREYTOGO Oct16 Oct09 Aug30 Aug14 Jun19 (anderson ro)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 8.00 13% 6.60    
WISELY PLAYED Oct16 Sep25 Aug14 Jul24 Jul10 (miller charl)WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 8.00    
RIMFIRE Jun25 Jun05       (head)REYES AMBROSIO 120 3.50    
SLOOP JOHN B Oct22 Oct02 Sep18 Aug30 Jul31 (milburn )SEECHARAN C 120 8.00 10% 9.50    
Y VEE R Oct22 Oct02 Sep02 Aug14 Jul23 (gilker r)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
COUNTRY COWBOY Oct16 Sep18 Aug30 Jul23 Jul03 (cloutier mark)PEREZ AMADEO 120 5.00 13% 7.00    
KLIMTOGLORY Dec09 Nov18 Oct30 Sep25 Sep02 (condilenios)MORALES SILVINO 120 6.00    
BETTER TONE Oct16 Oct02 Sep10 Aug30 Jul31 (condilenios )BALGOBIN RIDGE 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.