Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Golden Gate Fields
Sunday - May 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GG-1   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(5/2)-(4/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
GG-2   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/2)-(4/1/2/8) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(4/1/2/8)-(8/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
GG-3   WIN (4/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/8)-(4/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/8)-(4/1/2/8)-(4/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/2/8)-(8/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/8)-(8/4/6)-(2/9/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
GG-4   WIN (8/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/6)-(8/4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/6)-(8/4/6/5)-(8/4/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/4/6)-(2/9/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6)-(2/9/4)-(2/5/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
GG-5   WIN (2/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/9/4)-(2/9/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/9/4)-(2/9/3/4)-(2/9/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/9/4)-(2/5/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/9/4)-(2/5/7/3)-(7/13/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
GG-6   WIN (2/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/7/3)-(7/13/11) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/3)-(7/13/11)-(6/1/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
GG-7   WIN (7/13/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/13/11)-(7/13/11/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/13/11)-(7/13/11/1/3)-(7/13/11/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/13/11)-(6/1/8/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
GG-8   WIN (6/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/5)-(6/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/5)-(6/1/8/5)-(6/1/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GG-1   05/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JERRY JEFF WALKER Apr30 Apr02 Mar03 Feb18 Feb05 (rivera leob)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 4.00    
DE LA LUNA Apr30 Apr02 Mar04 Jan21 Jan02 (howey quinn)ALVARADO T 120 1.60 41% 1.50    
NEVER HAD I EVER Apr22 Mar26       (wong jonat)MONROY FRANCISCO 120 10.00    
GROSS PROFIT Apr15 Mar19 Feb20 Jan29 Nov04 (calvario s)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
CUT ACROSS SHORTY Apr30 Apr02 Mar12 Feb04 Jan08 (haley gloria)ROMAN A 122 10.00    
LORD OF LIGHT Apr30 Apr02 Mar12 Dec16 Nov12 (sherman steve)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 6.00 14% 6.20    
 
GG-2   05/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPPER HALO May27 May08 Feb06 Jan09   (badilla man)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 10.00    
WINE AND WHISKY Aug28 Aug07 Jul22 Jun19 May30 (mccanna tim)AYUSO ARMANDO 123 3.50 31% 2.20    
GREAT STORY Apr28 Apr01 Feb20 Jan07 Nov20 (trujillo victo)ROMAN A 123 1.40    
AWESOME DUDE Apr15 Mar19 Feb24 Jan29 Jan07 (trujillo m)MONROY FRANCISCO 123 6.00    
HORSE DOCTOR Apr15 Feb24 Feb03 Jan07 Dec10 (o'neill doug)RIVERA SANTOS 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
GG-3   05/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLEVYS TIGER         (badilla man)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 117 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of RECOILING by COIL)
CORAL CAT         (frank)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SURF CAT out of MADRE LUNA by RAHY)
CLEAR THE COAST         (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 120 6.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of RADIANT BELLE by SECRETARIAT)
GRAND SLAM SMILE         (specht steve)ALVARADO T 117 1.80 30% 2.40    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ROYAL GRAND SLAM by GRAND SLAM)
DRUM BUNNY         (calvario )MARTINEZ CATALINO 120 10.00    
  (by HOORAYFORHOLLYWOOD out of ULTIMATUM by MINESHAFT)
LUCCA'S LEGACY         (lenzini mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 5.00    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of TWISTED GINGER by KITALPHA)
DADS DREAM         (lenz)ANTONGEORGI JR 120 12.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of SOME TEMPER by WAR FRONT)
LUSMA         (bautista jose)HERRERA HUGO 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONQUEST FARENHEIT out of STRIKE AT DAYLIGHT by STRIKE FOR GLORY)
SCR  HALO RANDO         (specht st)MARTINEZ CATALINO 120 4.00    
  (by TAMARANDO out of HALO DARLIN by LUCKY PULPIT)
SCR  BIG CATTY         (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 117 20.00    
  (by BIG BAD LEROYBROWN out of CHATTY CATTY by GRAZEN)
 
GG-4   05/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DO IT FOR DAVE Apr23 Apr02 Mar18 Jan08 Nov27 (howey quinn)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 4.50    
BOOMING BERNARDO Apr15 Mar25 Mar04     (stortz marcia)ROMAN A 120 15.00    
AZURE STAR (IRE) Apr16 Mar25 Mar05 Feb11 Dec30 (mathis andy)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 6.00    
SGT POWELL Apr23 Apr02 Mar11 Feb17 Jan08 (jauregui o )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 118 3.00 20% 4.10    
MOTOWN CLASSIC Mar26         (mathis andy)RIVERA SANTOS 120 10.00    
COBRE Apr16 Mar05 Jan27     (thomas jamey)PENA BRYAN 120 10.00 14% 6.30    
COOPERKLIMT Apr16 Mar26       (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 120 10.00    
LASMUIGH (GB) Apr23 Apr02 Mar09 Feb10 Dec31 (wong)ANTONGEORGI JR 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
GG-5   05/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUY THE RUMOR Apr08         (ledezma ser)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 20.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ROZZIE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
SEVENTEEN BLACK Apr30 Apr01 Mar04     (hofmans dav)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 2.00 57% 0.80    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of AMERICAN SUGAR by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
FAST CHAD Apr08 Feb04 Jan02     (mccarthy mich)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 3.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of AWESOME BELLA by AWESOME AGAIN)
CANTILEVER Apr23 Mar26       (haley gloria)HERRERA HUGO 120 15.00 6% 16.30    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of EYES ON THE PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
UNCLE WALT Apr23 Feb20 Jan29 Jan07   (trujillo )MARTINEZ CATALINO 120 12.00    
  (by TEXAS RYANO out of KULINSKI ROSE by MUD ROUTE)
SCR  ANTHONY'S BEST Mar25 Mar04       (mathis andy)ROMAN A 120 10.00    
  (by ANTHONY'S CROSS out of FANTASTIC CAREER by SCORE QUICK)
SCR  FAST SERVICE Apr08 Mar05       (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 120 8.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of SHOW HOSTESS by MINESHAFT)
EL PERFECTO Apr30 Apr08 Aug13     (deso)ANTONGEORGI JR 120 4.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of VOYAGE by RAHY)
ACERO Apr23 Feb04       (miyadi steven)RIVERA SANTOS 120 6.00 9% 9.80    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of INTENSIFY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
GG-6   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONLITE IN HEAVEN Apr29 Mar19 Mar05 Jan08 Dec09 (miyadi ste)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 5.00    
SILENT BEAUTY Apr23 Mar12 Jan20 Dec09 Apr10 (france reid)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 1.80 26% 2.80    
HANNAH IN A HURRY Apr28 Mar25 Mar11 Feb11 Jan20 (stortz marcia)ROMAN A 125 10.00 13% 7.00    
BYE BYE BUGGSY Apr29 Apr01 Mar09 Jan29 Dec04 (mccarthy mi)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 3.50    
MADAME GAZELLE Dec02 Nov13 Oct23 Sep04 Aug05 (miran)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 120 12.00 23% 3.40    
HAYDEN'S ANGEL Apr14 Jun04 May20 Apr23 Mar12 (meier r)HERRERA HUGO 125 12.00    
HAPPY IS Jul23 Jul03 May22 Apr29 Apr08 (howey quinn)RIVERA SANTOS 125 8.00 13% 6.80    
PRETTY THIRSTY Apr07 Feb19 Jan16 Dec26 Nov26 (bonde jef)MARTINEZ CATALINO 120 6.00    
 
GG-7   05/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGREETODISAGREE Apr01 Mar11 Jan28 Oct28 Sep04 (mathis andy)ROMAN A 123 4.00    
PACIFIC ZIP Apr22 Mar31 Mar09 Feb05 May15 (jackson ell)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 15.00    
SEEMS LOGICAL Apr07 Mar11 Feb12 Jan22 Feb19 (paldanius she)RIVERA SANTOS 123 10.00    
JACRODRA'S DEVIL Apr15 Mar24 Feb25 Jan08 Dec10 (mccanna tim)DURAN F 123 15.00    
WARRIOR'S MOON Apr28 Sep22 Sep01 Jul31 May30 (mathis a)ELLINGWOOD A 123 8.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI MIST Apr23 Apr09 Mar09 Feb17 Jan21 (taylor fai)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 15.00    
NAUGHTY NADINE (GB) Apr22 Apr07 Mar11 Feb19 Jan29 (badilla man)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
RIVENDELL Feb04 Feb25       (drysdale )MARTINEZ CATALINO 123 8.00    
SHEZARUNAWAY Apr07 Feb19 Jan28 Jan07 Nov26 (markle dan)ALVARADO T 127 8.00    
10  DERRYGOOLIN Jan08 Dec10 Nov24 Nov04 Oct01 (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 127 12.00    
11  BANDEENA Apr21 Apr01 Feb19 Jan08 Dec10 (moger ed )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  A CROWN FOR KITTEN Apr21 Mar09 Feb12 Jan13 Nov25 (sherman steve)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 20.00    
13  LADYWEARSTHERING Mar26 Oct29 Oct01 Sep03 Aug06 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 123 6.00 23% 3.30    
 
GG-8   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M DR. O Apr23 Apr01 Mar11 Feb04 Dec26 (calvario sa)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 1.80 25% 3.00    
TALBOT BAY Apr23 Apr02 Mar12 Feb20 Jan27 (bautista jorg)RIVERA SANTOS 125 6.00    
PARK ROAD COWBOY Apr08         (thomas jamey)AYUSO ARMANDO 123 10.00    
GRAZEN SUN Apr26 Apr11 Mar19 Feb20 Feb03 (wright blaine)ROMAN A 125 10.00    
ROBIE Apr23 Apr01 Mar12 Sep10 Aug14 (taylor fait)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 127 8.00 7% 14.20    
WINDRIBBON Apr01 Feb24 Jan29 Jan07 Dec18 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00 32% 2.20    
LITTLE CASINO Apr23 Apr01 Aug14 Jul17 Jul03 (wrig)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 10.00    
AWESOME SUMMER Apr23         (bautista )MARTINEZ CATALINO 127 10.00 10% 9.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.