Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Friday - May 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (9) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (9)-(9/2/3/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (9)-(9/2/3/5)-(9/2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9)-(3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (9)-(3/5)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
SA-2   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/5)-(5/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(5/1/2)-(1/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-3   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(1/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(1/3/2)-(5/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-4   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(5/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(5/1/2)-(6/7/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-5   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(6/7/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(6/7/3)-(3/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-6   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(3/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(3/2/1)-(3/1/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-7   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(3/1/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SA-8   WIN (3/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   05/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADVENTURESOME Apr22         (miller peter)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of BOODLES by FORTY NINER)
2  NASHOBA'S JOY Mar25 Feb20 Dec03 Nov11 Oct08 (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 126 3.50 ★    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of NASHOBA'S GOLD by SMART STRIKE)
3  CLASSICALLY Mar25 Feb20       (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.00 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FANTICOLA by SILENT NAME)
4  RIPPIN' RUIS (AUS)         (gar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 8.00    
  (by DEMERIT out of RIPTIDE by GOLD CASE)
5  UPRIGHT Mar26 Jan29       (puype mike)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 5.00 ★    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of SALLIE'S MEMORY by HOLY BULL)
6  CARIBBEAN KING         (eurton peter)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of FAST MAMA by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  AMERICAN LIVIN Apr23         (powell leonard)BRAVO J 118 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of LOVELY MARISSA by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  MALTESE FALCON (IRE) Mar12 Feb04 Dec26     (powell)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 6.00 11% 7.90    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of ISABELLA by GALILEO (ARG))
9  PRECISION STRIKE Apr09 Mar12 Mar04 Feb11   (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 118 3.50 56% 0.80    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of INCENTIVE by MR. GREELEY)
 
SA-2   05/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT SPECIAL Apr21 Apr01 Feb11 Jan21 Dec02 (valenzuela )AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 5.00    
2  VICENTE'S SHADOW Apr21 Apr01 Mar05 Feb05 Sep23 (ste)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 6.00    
3  ESTABLISHED Feb12 Jan02 Oct07 Sep10 Aug06 (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 122 1.20 63% 0.60    
4  SCRATCHY APACHE Sep17 Jul09 Jul01 May08 Mar27 (uranga jesu)HERRERA A 122 8.00    
5  MIGHTY MATT Apr21 Apr01 Mar05 Feb11 Jan15 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 5.00 7% 13.90    
6  CAJUN TREASURE Mar26 Dec18 Oct21 Sep16 Aug28 (uranga jesu)RAMIREZ RICARDO 122 3.00 ★    
 
SA-3   05/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT LOVE         (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 118 4.00 7% 13.90    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of MAGICAL BAND by DIXIE UNION)
2  SPOT D' ORO         (palma hecto)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 8.00 7% 13.90    
  (by GATO DEL ORO out of MAGIC SPOT by PAPA CLEM)
3  SMOKEM EZ         (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 118 2.50    
  (by SMOKEM out of EZ INDY by A.P. INDY)
4  MR. CHIVAS         (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 118 2.50    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MISS ATHENA by CITY ZIP)
5  SHE'S MY NIECE         (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 115 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ANYDAYISMYDAY by AFLEET ALEX)
 
SA-4   05/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEEGEE Mar25 Jan02 Nov06 Oct07 Sep11 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
2  SITTIN ON GO Mar04 Feb19 Jan15 Dec30 Dec17 (pin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 15.00 6% 16.00    
3  MOODY JIM (IRE) Mar25 Jan20 Nov13 Oct23 Sep09 (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 14% 6.10    
4  RIP CITY Apr28 Feb05 Dec26 Nov26 Nov05 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 2.50    
5  GROWTH ENGINE Jun18         (sadler w)BRAVO J 122 2.50    
6  COMRADERY (IRE) Nov24 Oct21 Sep30 Aug12 Jul29 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 8.00    
 
SA-5   05/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 35 M/F PT- 6:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT SUSI Apr22         (palma hecto)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 4.00 17% 4.90    
2  PRESTIGIOUS Apr21 Mar26 Mar12 Feb12 Jan27 (mendez luis)VALDIVIA JR 118 6.00 8% 11.10    
3  MIDNIGHT SILENCE Apr21 Mar25 Apr15 Mar07 Jan29 (gallagher patrick)BRAVO J 126 3.00    
4  JACQUELINE COCHRAN Apr21 Mar12 Feb12 Jan27 Jan02 (miyadi steven)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.50    
5  ROSY EDGE Mar27 Feb20 Jan21 Sep25 Aug25 (powell leon)HERRERA A 126 1.20 43% 1.30    
 
SA-6   05/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENT HEAT Apr21 Mar25 Mar17     (saavedra an)HERRERA A 126 4.00    
  (by UNUSUAL HEATWAVE out of SILENT DEPOSITION by SILIC (FR))
2  STAMP MY PASSPORT Dec16         (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 126 6.00    
  (by VANCOUVER out of SWEET BOSS by STREET BOSS)
3  SILVER N BLACK Feb11 Jan22 Dec16 Oct15 Sep24 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 118 2.50 10% 8.90    
  (by STRAIGHT FIRE out of BEALE STREET BELLE by TAPIT)
SCR  MONTANA May06 Apr09 Mar05 Jan06 Nov27 (hess b)MALDONADO E 118 5.00 9% 10.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of SUNNY OAK by GIANT OAK)
5  WE NEED MARKETING Apr01 Mar17 Feb10     (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 20.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of LA PREMIERE ETOILE by SQUARE EDDIE)
6  GET THE GOLD Apr28         (mulhall kristin)BRAVO J 118 3.00 38% 1.70    
  (by PASSION FOR GOLD out of HONDO'S WAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  GHOSTLY ACT Apr01 Mar03 Feb04 Jan06   (winick debbie)FREY KYLE 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of DEBBIES CUTE GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
SA-7   05/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3 F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLESSED TOUCH Mar05 Feb19 Dec10 Nov19 Oct08 (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50 14% 5.90    
2  GETTHEMONEY Mar27 Sep11 Aug07     (korine)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
3  DOINITTHEHARDWAY Mar26 Mar03 Jan06 Dec10 Nov25 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.40 42% 1.40    
4  LIBERAL LADY Mar27 Feb10 Jan02     (powell leonard)CEDILLO ABEL 122 6.00    
5  IN COLOR Mar31 Mar05 Dec21 Nov23   (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 12.00    
6  GILA Apr08 Mar12 Jan22 Sep11 May14 (knapp steve)SMITH E 120 10.00    
 
SA-8   05/12/2023 4290ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 35 M/F PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA BABY Apr21         (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  TURQUOISE BIKINI Mar27 Mar09 Feb17 Jan27 Jan02 (morfin serg)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 12.00    
3  AVA'S STORM Feb20         (sadler w)CEDILLO ABEL 126 2.50 30% 2.40    
4  MYGALSDAWNNLORI Apr21 Apr02 Jan28 Apr09   (eurton peter)VAZQUEZ A 126 3.50    
5  MISS JOANNIE Apr21 Mar19       (pederson dean)FREY KYLE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  PRECIPICE Apr21 Feb06 Dec12     (quinonez ro)HERRERA A 118 5.00 16% 5.10    
7  SIGNORA MINISTER         (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 126 6.00    
8  STREISAND         (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.