Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Friday - May 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/7) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6)-(1/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6)-(1/7/4/2)-(3/1/2/6) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
SA-2   WIN (1/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/2)-(3/1/2/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/2)-(3/1/2/6)-(2/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-3   WIN (3/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/6)-(2/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/6)-(2/5/1)-(6/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-4   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(6/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(6/1/4)-(5/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-5   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(5/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(5/9)-(2/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-6   WIN (5/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/9)-(5/9/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/9)-(5/9/4)-(5/9/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/9)-(2/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/9)-(2/3/4)-(4/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-7   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(4/7/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(4/7/5/6)-(4/9/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-8   WIN (4/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/6)-(4/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/6)-(4/7/5/6)-(4/7/5/6) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/5/6)-(4/9/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SA-9   WIN (4/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/8)-(4/9/8/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/9/8)-(4/9/8/10)-(4/9/8/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   05/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PEPPERMINT FLIRT Apr01 Mar17 Feb19     (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 126 6.00    
SCR  SLAM DIEGO Apr01 Feb04 Nov13 Sep02 Aug04 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 2.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  VIOLET STORM Feb12 Jan22 Dec18 Oct08 Aug26 (mullins jeff)FRESU ANTONIO 126 2.50 17% 4.80    
4  CLASSYMADEMOISELLE Mar27 Feb19 Dec10 Nov12 Sep09 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 12.00    
5  MOVINGLIKEAWINNER Sep05 Aug07 Jul23     (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 10.00    
6  SWEET HEIDELBERG Apr09 Mar09 Feb17 Jan13 Nov18 (ruiz lorenz)HERRERA A 126 4.00 18% 4.70    
7  BUSKER ALLIE Mar19 Feb03 Dec17 Nov25 Sep24 (d'amato phil)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 5.00 ★    
 
SA-2   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHTEOUSLY Mar17 Mar03 Jan06 Oct23 Sep05 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 4.00 38% 1.70    
2  CROWN KITTEN Apr09 Mar18 Feb26 Feb03 Jan08 (vallejo genar)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 6.00 5% 18.50    
3  HILLSTONE MARTINI Dec11 Jul31 Jun08 May04   (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 3.00    
4  SAILING ALONG Mar25 Mar17 Dec16 Nov19 Oct22 (saldana re)VAN DRAYDEN 122 10.00 11% 7.70    
5  DRIZELLA Feb20 Dec11 Nov18 Nov04 Oct10 (alvarez )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 5.00    
6  TIZ A MASTER Oct22 Oct01 Mar18 Feb11 Jan28 (vallejo ge)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 5.00    
7  RAIN DIVA Mar17 Jan06 Dec18 Sep23 Feb20 (harris andrew)MALDONADO E 122 2.50 17% 5.10    
 
SA-3   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT JOY Apr01 Mar04 Jan22 Dec18 Oct30 (treece s)FREY KYLE 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
2  SPLICER Jan20 Nov25 Oct23 Aug05 Jul08 (barocio lib)AGUILAR ARMANDO 113 12.00 16% 5.20    
3  YOUTEYOURHONOR Mar18 Feb20 Jan22 Nov13 Sep02 (cerin vladim)DESORMEAUX J 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
4  MISS FIA Mar26 Mar04 Feb05 Jan06 Oct21 (saavedra ant)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 3.00    
5  ROCK THE BOURBON Feb11 Nov20 Oct15 Sep05 Aug06 (cerin vl)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 4.00    
6  PROFESSORS' PRIDE Mar26 Apr09 Feb25 Jan15   (truman eddie)MALDONADO E 122 10.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  TOO MUCH HEAVEN Apr01 Apr09 Mar18     (d'a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 2.50    
 
SA-4   05/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUSTY RUSTY Apr29 Mar18 Mar04 Feb10 Jan21 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 118 6.00 11% 7.80    
2  INDULGE Apr02 Feb03 Jul22 Jun10 Apr30 (mandella richa)CEDILLO ABEL 126 2.50 43% 1.30    
3  DESERVEDLY Mar17 Mar26 Jan21     (glatt mark)DESORMEAUX J 126 2.00    
4  BIG HAT WILLIE Apr09 Mar11 Feb04 Jan06 Nov24 (mil)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 2.50    
5  QUICK BUCK Sep03 Jul30 May30 Apr17 Mar07 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 6.00 13% 6.90    
6  SPIRITIST Apr09 Dec10 Nov24 Nov05 Aug26 (mulhall kr)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 8.00    
 
SA-5   05/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUBABE Mar18 Feb17 Oct07 Aug18 Jul28 (sadler w)BRAVO J 126 2.50 17% 4.70    
2  CLOUSEAU Apr08 Jan27 Jan06 Nov18 Oct16 (kru)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 4.00    
3  SHORTMAN Apr07 Mar18 Feb10 Jan08 Dec17 (naranj)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 8.00    
4  WORSE READ SANCHEZ Apr07 Nov19 Oct07 Sep03 Aug07 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 3.00 16% 5.30    
5  J T'S WATCH Jan02 Dec11 Nov19 Nov11 Oct21 (bonde jeff)FREY KYLE 126 8.00    
6  TALKLESSWORKMORE Apr07 Mar17 Feb04 Jan08 Jun05 (garcia ant)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
SA-6   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRUEHOOD         (baffer)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by NYQUIST out of NELLA VETRINA by BERNARDINI)
SCR  MIDNIGHT FURY Feb11 Jan22       (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 126 6.00 10% 9.40    
  (by CONNECT out of BETTER NOT BLINK by HARD SPUN)
3  CAPTAIN CHOOCHIES         (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 118 8.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MIGHTY RENEE by MARIA'S MON)
4  SIR ATTICUS         (shirreffs john)SMITH E 126 6.00 ★    
  (by GORMLEY out of RON RHONDA by LAWYER RON)
5  STAVROS         (baffert bob)CEDILLO ABEL 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of COQUIHALLA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  EMERALD UNION         (shirreffs john)BRAVO J 126 15.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of EMERALD GOLD by WAR FRONT)
7  MOHAWK SUN         (headley kar)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 8.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE (JPN) out of UNTOUCH by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  DEL MAR JERRY         (mccarthy mic)DESORMEAUX J 118 6.00    
  (by MASTERY out of XTRA SPICE by QUALITY ROAD)
9  MYSTIFICATION Mar18         (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 118 8.00 18% 4.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SWEET NINA by TIZNOW)
 
SA-7   05/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THUNDERHEART Apr21 Mar19 Aug11 Jul30 Jul03 (craigmyle keith)FREY KYLE 126 6.00    
2  DONCIC Mar31 Jun03 May08 Mar27 Feb26 (cerin vladim)DESORMEAUX J 126 1.80 57% 0.80    
3  WYFIRE Mar27 Jan21 Nov20 Oct21   (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 4.00 10% 9.30    
4  LAW ABIDING Mar31 Mar19 Feb05 Dec31 Nov11 (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 6.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  INCH Mar31 Mar12 Feb11 Oct22 Aug25 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 5.00 ★    
6  MARKS HIP Apr09 Mar19 Jan21 Dec10 Nov05 (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 118 6.00    
SCR  WESTWARD LOOK Mar27 Feb19 Jul11 May04 Apr09 (yak)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 10.00    
8  KANT BEAT THE ROCK Apr02 Feb10 Dec31 Nov04 Oct21 (ruiz lorenzo)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 15.00    
SCR  CREW DRAGON Apr23 Mar04 Jan21 Dec04 Oct23 (azcarate dan)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 8.00 ★    
 
SA-8   05/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACT OF SERENDIPITY Apr08 Feb20 Dec18 Nov27 Oct29 (vallej)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 8.00    
2  SENSIBLE MOVE Apr09 Mar09 Feb12 Nov13 Oct15 (pederson dean)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 5.00    
3  TIZZY TWISTER Mar25 Feb03 Jan06 Nov26 Oct23 (palma hecto)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 8.00    
4  ROSE HARBOR Mar17 Feb03 Jan13 Feb18 Jan15 (hanson ryan)SMITH E 126 2.50 39% 1.60    
5  STARSHIP DEFIANT Mar27 Mar09 Feb03 Jan13 Dec18 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 124 3.00 17% 5.10    
6  POINT AND SHOOT Mar31 Feb17 Jan27 Jan02 Nov20 (kruljac ian)BRAVO J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  RACE JUDICATA Jul29 May29 May13 Apr01 Feb20 (d'amato phili)PYFER JESSICA 124 3.00 19% 4.40    
 
SA-9   05/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 M/F PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ORGANIC Aug13 Jul23       (drysdale neil)BRAVO J 118 6.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of RUNAWAY MOON by RUNAWAY GROOM)
3  SMOOVE AS SILK Feb17 Feb05 Jan02 Nov20 Oct23 (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 4.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of SMOOVE IT by SQUARE EDDIE)
4  GOLDEN MICROPHONE         (wong jonathan)FREY KYLE 118 3.00 48% 1.10    
  (by STANFORD (IRE) out of OPEN MIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  ANNIE'S HOPE Mar19         (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 118 12.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of CHELCEE'S HOPE by BARTOK (IRE))
6  ROUBAIX Mar19 Nov04 Sep17 Aug19 Jun11 (capestro paul)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SWEET ESPRIT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  WARRIOR LADY Apr07         (eurton pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 8.00 ★    
  (by JERANIMO out of MADAME FORBES by TIZNOW)
8  SIT LOOK AND HOPE         (miller pet)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 5.00 13% 6.90    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of MY DUE PROCESS by HENNY HUGHES)
9  MAGIC GAME Apr07 Nov27 Nov04 Sep30 Aug19 (krulja)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 2.50 16% 5.20    
  (by FLINTSHIRE (GB) out of MAGIC SCHOOL by IN EXCESS (IRE))
10  SQUARE FUN Apr07 Feb20 Jan08 Jan02   (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 126 12.00 ★    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of FUNNY BELLE by SHARP HUMOR)
11  BEAUTIFUL WORLD         (agarie rick)HERRERA A 126 20.00    
  (by WORLD RENOWNED out of TIZ LOVELY by TIZNOW)
SCR  MS MOAB May28 May07 Apr15 Mar27 Mar04 ( )TBA null      
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of ATTA GIRL ALMA by ATTICUS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.