Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Sunday - February 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/5)-(4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(4/5)-(7/4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
SA-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/1/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/1/3/2)-(4/5/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5)-(7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(7/4)-(1/3) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
SA-3   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4/2/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/4/2/1/6)-(7/4/2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4)-(1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(1/3)-(9/1) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
SA-4   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/5/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/5/4/2)-(1/3/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3)-(9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(9/1)-(6/3) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
SA-5   WIN (9/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/1)-(9/1/8/2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (9/1)-(9/1/8/2/5)-(9/1/8/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/1)-(6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/1)-(6/3)-(2/1) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
SA-6   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/1/7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/1/7/2)-(6/3/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3)-(2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(2/1)-(3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
SA-7   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/5/9/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/5/9/8)-(2/1/5/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1)-(3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(3)-(1/9/8/3/4) 10 $0.50 $5.00 
SA-8   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/2/7/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3)-(1/9/8/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
SA-9   WIN (1/9/8/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/8/3/4)-(1/9/8/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/8/3/4)-(1/9/8/3/4)-(1/9/8/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   02/19/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 45 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAROL'S COMIC Jan20 Dec16 Nov26 Oct23 Aug28 (brinkerhoff )CONTRERAS LUIS 124 5.00    
  (by GEM HEIST out of LADY COMIC by COMIC STRIP)
2  BILLBERNJOEJOHNICK Dec02 Oct02       (mullins jef)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 3.00 12% 7.30    
  (by BOAT TRIP out of REMEMBERING EILEEN by BERTRANDO)
3  JOHNNY PAYCHECK Dec02 Jun05 Mar27     (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 124 3.50 ★    
  (by VIOLENCE out of UNSUNG HEROINE by MORE THAN READY)
4  SUMMER FIREBALL         (powell leona)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 12.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MISS DEL MAR by AMERICAN CHANCE)
5  SIX FEET Jan20 May28       (hanson ryan)VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00 7% 12.60    
  (by DADS CAPS out of MOONIE by SQUARE EDDIE)
7  ORTH Dec02 Nov04 Oct02 Sep18 Aug18 (krulja)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 4.00 ★    
  (by JERANIMO out of LETS GET FRISKY by MARINO MARINI)
SCR  BARTON STRONG         (gaines carla)BRAVO J 124 4.00 49% 1.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of MIGHTY FRIO by PULPIT)
9  CHIEF COUNCIL Jan20 Dec02       (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 124 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of COURTROOM KISS by LAWYER RON)
SCR  ROUBAIX Nov04 Sep17 Aug19 Jun11 Apr17 ( )TBA null      
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SWEET ESPRIT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
SA-2   02/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIGRE DI SLUGO Jan07 Aug27 Jul23 May28 Apr30 (puype mike)VALDIVIA JR 124 3.50 ★    
2  IT'S MY HOUSE Jan20 Nov25 Sep30 Aug25 Aug13 (glatt mark)MALDONADO E 122 3.00 ★    
3  RED FLAG Jan15 Nov06 Jun12 May15   (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 122 5.00 ★    
4  HOLDEN THE LUTE Jan15 Nov25 Oct08 Sep11 Aug18 (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60 53% 0.90    
5  CLEM LABINE Jan15 Oct08 Sep24 Aug21 Jul22 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
 
SA-3   02/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 45 ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATTENZIONE Jan21 Dec10 Oct28 Oct09 Aug18 (k)ROJAS EDUARD 122 6.00 ★    
2  THIRTY FOUR COUPE Jan27 Jan23       (papaprodr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.00 ★    
3  PEACE TOUR Oct02 Aug18       (freeman edwar)CURATOLO RYAN 124 15.00    
4  BIG FLINT Jan21         (eurton peter)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  DERBY PROSPECT         (gomez ruben)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 12.00    
6  BELMONT BILL Jan29 Apr16 Mar27     (saavedra an)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 8.00 ★    
7  THE KEY IS UNITY Jan21 Nov25 Oct28 Sep30 Sep11 (spawr )BERRIOS ISAAC 124 1.80 40% 1.50    
 
SA-4   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALICE MARBLE Jan07 Nov26 May28 Apr09 Feb26 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.40 44% 1.30    
  (by GRAZEN out of UNSUNG HEROINE by MORE THAN READY)
2  DORIS MAE Dec31 Nov18 Oct28     (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 ★    
  (by DADS CAPS out of TIZALOVELYLADY by WESTERN FAME)
3  CHANCERY WAY Jan28 Dec10 Jul23 Jul03 Jun04 (thomas jamey)SMITH E 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of THIS MEANS WAR by WAR CHANT)
4  EDDIE'S NEW DREAM Jan07 Dec04 Oct15 Sep10 Aug21 (cecil d)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 2.50 ★    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of WALKINGONADREAM by TAPIT)
5  TAMING THE TIGRESS Jan07 Nov13 Oct30 Sep04 Aug06 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 122 5.00 ★    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of JOEANDBETTY'SBABY by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
SA-5   02/19/2023 4290ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GYPSY LYNN Jan13 Nov26 Sep02 Aug21 Jul03 (kruljac ian)DESORMEAUX J 124 15.00 7% 13.60    
2  SHE'S GOT A WAY Feb04 Dec30 Nov27 Sep22 Aug21 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 ★    
3  AVENTAPP Jun10 May14 Apr01 Mar11 Jan21 (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 5.00    
4  PALEO'S PRINCESS May28 May08 Apr16     (mullins jeff)VAZQUEZ A 124 10.00    
5  SUPER RENEE Nov26 Oct23 Oct07 Aug25 Jul31 (hess b)SMITH E 124 12.00 ★    
6  PEPPERMINT FLIRT         (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 124 20.00    
7  TOO BOSSY Jan22 Nov06 Sep11 Jul22 Jun18 (puype mike)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 6.00    
8  KATERINI Dec31 Nov06 Oct22 Sep25   (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 5.00 ★    
9  GOOD BOO JOO Jan13 Nov04 Oct09 Aug28 May08 (mul)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 3.50 73% 0.40    
10  ALBAYAADER (IRE) Jan28 Dec31 Oct30 Oct10 Aug20 (mullins jef)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 6.00    
 
SA-6   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SETTECENTO Feb03 Dec30 Dec17 Jun25 Jun03 (knapp steve)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00 ★    
2  SITTIN ON GO Jan15 Dec30 Dec17 Oct15 Apr15 (pineda milto)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 10.00 ★    
3  PAPALE Dec30 Dec04 Jul22 Jul04 May27 (hanson ryan)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 3.00 29% 2.50    
4  MR. T'S THIRSTY Jan07 Nov11 Sep10 Aug19 May21 (spawr william)FREY KYLE 124 4.00    
5  WARRENS CANDY MAN Dec30 Oct07 Aug06 Jul23 May13 (harris andrew)CEDILLO ABEL 124 6.00    
6  NOLO CONTESTO Jan21 Jan13 Dec30 Nov24   (campuzano loren)MALDONADO E 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
7  PRAYER OF JABEZ Jan07 Dec20 Nov19 Nov05 Oct07 (azc)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 8.00 ★    
 
SA-7   02/19/2023 4290ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($43K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARIBOUX (GB)         (mullins jef)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.50 27% 2.80    
2  REBEL POSSE Jan13 Dec03 Jul16 Jun09 May13 (d'amato phil)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 6.00 49% 1.10    
3  WESTWARD LOOK Jul11 May04 Apr09 Mar19 Feb25 (yak)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 20.00    
4  FINALLY HERE Jan22 Nov26 Oct22 Sep24 Aug25 (koriner brian)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00    
5  FULLY LOADED Jan22 Nov26 Jun03 May13 Mar05 (puype mike)DESORMEAUX J 122 6.00 ★    
6  OCTOPUS Jan27 Dec11 Nov06 Aug21 Jul31 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 10.00    
8  SAFFA'S DAY Jan27 Dec11 Oct29 Aug21 Jul03 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 5.00 ★    
9  REDLINE Jan15 Oct29 Sep30 Sep03 Aug13 (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 ★    
10  NEWPARK (IRE) Aug06 May30 May08 Apr03 Mar05 (kitchingman ad)CEDILLO ABEL 122 6.00    
SCR  TED Jan22 Jan02 Nov04 Oct10 Aug27 ( )TBA null      
 
SA-8   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSYMADEMOISELLE Dec10 Nov12 Sep09 Aug13 Jul31 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 20.00    
2  BLESSED TOUCH Dec10 Nov19 Oct08 Sep11   (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50 ★    
3  PROCRASTINATION Aug13 Jul04       (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 122 1.80 53% 0.90    
4  FAST AND SHINY Jan08 Nov12 Oct09 Sep10 Aug07 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  GETTHEMONEY Sep11 Aug07       (koriner brian)SMITH E 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  HIALEAH HOTTIE Jan29 Dec09 Nov05 Oct15 Sep09 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 20.00    
7  GOOD AS GONE Jan02 Oct23 Oct01 Aug21 Jul23 (knapp stev)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 6.00 ★    
 
SA-9   02/19/2023 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 F PT- 7:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOOREA TIME Nov20 Nov05 Aug28     (mandella gary)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of KATIE'S HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
2  SONG OF SHADOWS Jan02         (yakteen tim)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 20.00    
  (by CITY WOLF out of SIBERIAN SONG by SIBERIAN EXPRESS)
3  PROOF SHE ZIPS Jan28 Jan13       (jackson ellen)CEDILLO ABEL 122 4.00 9% 10.20    
  (by IDIOT PROOF out of ZIPPING MY WAY by CITY ZIP)
4  CLASSY CANDY         (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 122 10.00 7% 13.10    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of SOPHISTICATED SIS by MILLENNIUM ALLSTAR)
5  ONE MO EDDIE Jan02         (callaghan s)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 10.00    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of MO STYLE by UNCLE MO)
6  FREYAS CATZ Jan28         (baz)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 50.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of HAYLEY'S COMMENT by INCLUDE)
7  BETSY IS THE CODE         (alva)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
  (by DESERT CODE out of CALL BETSY by FLAT OUT)
8  SQUARE AND RARE         (miller peter)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 5.00 11% 8.10    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of CHARRED RARE by MOMENTUM)
9  DANEHILL SONG Jan07         (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 12% 7.10    
  (by GOLDEN BALLS (IRE) out of MINDY'S BIRTHDAY (IRE) by SINGSPIEL (IRE))
10  BLONDZILLA         (valenzuela mart)VAZQUEZ A 122 15.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of FLEET CAROLINE by TEJANO RUN)
11  ISABEL LUDLOW         (miyadi steven)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of YOUR CHEATIN HEART by KNIGHTS CHOICE)
SCR  SMOKEMONTHECLIFF Feb05         (metz jeffrey)VAZQUEZ A 122 8.00    
  (by SMOKEM out of GUISE CLIFF by DISTANT VIEW)
SCR  ELUSIVE CLASS         ( )TBA null      
  (by GREAT STUFF out of YUMIKO'S STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.