Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Del Mar
Saturday - November 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DMR-1   11/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOC ADAMS Nov05 Aug28 Aug07 Jul08 May22 (knapp steve)VAZQUEZ A 125 2.00 26% 2.90    
2  J T'S WATCH Nov11 Oct21 Oct01 Sep04 Aug14 (mcdaniel l)BAZE C 125 12.00 14% 6.00    
3  BIG HAND Oct10 Aug07 Jun11 May15 Apr08 (yakteen ti)VAN DRAYDEN 120 4.00 ★    
4  WORSE READ SANCHEZ Oct07 Sep03 Aug07 Jun18 May28 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
6  FORE FLAG Oct09 Aug18 Jul28 Jun19 May08 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.00    
7  MISCHIEVOUS PATH Oct10 Feb04       (gaines carla)BRAVO J 123 3.50 ★    
SCR  BEAUDACIOUS         ( )TBA null      
 
DMR-2   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3 ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOCHOMBO Oct15 Sep18 Aug25 Jul28 Jun12 (ellis w)CEDILLO ABEL 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  AS AMATTER OF FACT Sep10 Jul22 Jun18 May28   (knapp )BERRIOS ISAAC 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
3  PRAYER OF JABEZ Nov05 Oct07 Aug25 Aug14 Jun24 (azcarate da)HERRERA A 118 20.00 9% 10.60    
4  JOKER BOY Oct29 Sep03 Aug05 Jul08   (koriner brian)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 ★    
SCR  PIONEERING PAPA Oct30 Oct02 Sep10 Jun11 May21 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 110 4.00    
SCR  MICKY FROM WEXFORD Oct02 Sep10 Aug25 May07 Apr13 (papaprodromo)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 113 2.50 ★    
 
DMR-3   11/19/2022 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTESS ROSINA (IRE) Oct01 Jul23 Jun12 May07 Mar13 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 4.00 ★    
2  PAMMY'S READY Oct29 Oct01 Aug19 Aug04 Mar26 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 52% 0.90    
3  ANGELCENTS Sep22 Sep02 Jun11     (barocio libra)VALDIVIA JR 120 8.00 8% 11.00    
4  LEXINGTON HUMOR Oct29 Aug27 Aug06 Jun11 May14 (wong jonath)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 3.50 ★    
5  AIN'T EASY Jul04 May06 Apr09 Mar06   (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 118 4.00    
6  XMAS SURPRISE Aug19 Jul29 May22 Apr02 Mar05 (powell leonar)PYFER JESSICA 120 5.00    
7  THAT'S AMARE Aug19 May22 Mar05 Jan23 Jan02 (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 15% 5.80    
 
DMR-4   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SO IT WOULD SEEM Oct10 Sep11 Aug07 Jun10 May06 (knapp stev)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  WILD ARCH Nov06 Oct07 Sep23 Aug18 Jul29 (saavedra an)HERRERA A 120 5.00    
3  SAILING ALONG Oct22 Sep15 Sep03 Jul31 Jul02 (saldana re)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 120 8.00 6% 14.60    
4  FOCUS FIRST Oct15 Sep17       (wong jonathan)MALDONADO E 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
5  LITTLE RACHEL Oct01 Sep17 Jul29 Apr30 Apr10 (bonde jeff)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.00 ★    
6  BOWL OF CHERRIES Oct21 Oct07 Oct01 Sep04 Aug05 (o'neill doug)CEDILLO ABEL 122 3.00 ★    
 
DMR-5   11/19/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDENSPA Oct16 Aug11       (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 12.00 19% 4.40    
2  LORD MO         (gomez ruben)HERRERA A 120 30.00    
3  CAPTAIN SPARROW         (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 ★    
4  STORM THE NIGHT Aug20         (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 15.00    
5  REXFORD Oct21 Sep11 Aug11     (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
6  BLUEGRASS GO GO         (o'neill doug)CEDILLO ABEL 120 6.00    
7  ZIHUATANEJO         (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00    
8  TASTERFOR THE KING Sep11         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 ★    
9  SEAL TEAM (GB)         (mandella richa)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
 
DMR-6   11/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTIQUE Oct08 Jul31       (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 120 1.60 46% 1.20    
2  PARODY Oct30         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 ★    
3  NAUGHTY LOTTIE Oct08 Aug26 Jul09     (desormeaux j)DESORMEAUX J 120 12.00 ★    
4  HUNTINGCOCO Oct08 Sep04       (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
5  SMOKEM FOR YOU Oct28 Sep09 Jul22 Jun03 May13 (alva)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 118 30.00    
6  BLESSED TOUCH Oct08 Sep11       (yakteen ti)VAN DRAYDEN 120 1.80 12% 7.50    
7  DADDY CLASSY DILL Sep22 Aug12 Jul30 Jul04 Jun10 (alvarez edw)HERRERA A 120 30.00    
 
DMR-7   11/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE MORE BID Oct01 Sep04 Aug05 Jun04 May14 (hanson ryan)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
2  TOKAMAK Sep30 Aug13 Jul22     (harty eoin)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 15.00    
3  QUINTECENTS Oct01 Sep03 Jul04 Jun04 May07 (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  LORD SHELDON Oct01 Aug04 Jun18 May14   (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 122 12.00    
5  SIX MAGPIES (IRE)         (drysdale neil)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 ★    
6  IRISH PROPHET Sep05 Aug13 Jun18 May07 Apr10 (drysdale n)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
7  DANCING RINCA Oct01 Sep03       (drysdale neil)BRAVO J 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
8  ONE TIME MARK Oct01 Aug25 Jun19     (glatt mark)HERRERA A 122 10.00 ★    
 
DMR-8   11/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FINNEUS Oct16 Sep03 Aug05 Apr09 Mar11 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00 ★    
2  COALINGA ROAD Oct16 Sep10 Jul30 Jun17 May20 (gaines carla)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00 20% 4.00    
4  BIG CITY LIGHTS Sep17 Aug05       (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.80 34% 2.00    
5  THE CHOSEN VRON Oct16 Sep17 Aug27 Aug06   (krulja)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 1.00 24% 3.20    
6  NONE ABOVE THE LAW Oct16 Oct01 Sep03 Aug06   (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 ★    
SCR  SURFING STAR Aug21 May08 Jan14     ( )TBA null      
 
DMR-9   11/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARPE FORTUNA Oct02 Jan23       (eurton)BERRIOS ISAAC 123 4.00    
2  LADY CLEMENTINE (GB) Oct29 Aug20 Jul30     (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 12.00    
SCR  GIMME MO BABY Oct29 Sep03 Aug04 Jan29   (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 120 6.00    
4  GILLIAN ELIZABETH Oct28 Oct02 Aug20 Jul23 Jun10 (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 12% 7.30    
5  KITTY KITANA (GB) Oct29 Sep10 Aug04 Feb12 Jan08 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
6  EMERALD LAKE Oct28 Oct02 Aug27 Jul31 Apr15 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00 7% 12.50    
7  URBAN FAIRYTALE Sep07 Jul11 May19 Apr24   (puype mike)VELAZQUEZ R 125 6.00 10% 9.10    
8  FOUNDER'S DAY Oct16 Sep18 Aug20 Jul04 Jun10 (hess b)MALDONADO E 123 12.00    
9  ALMOST A FACTOR Oct02 Aug19 Jul28 Jun19   (gaines carla)BAZE C 125 15.00    
10  BATYAH Sep06 Jul17       (motion g)VAN DRAYDEN 123 12.00    
11  OVER ATTRACTED Oct21 Sep22 Sep04 Aug27 Jan17 (dealba cesa)HERRERA A 123 20.00    
SCR  LADY JAE Oct29 Sep04 Aug06 Jul08 Jun03 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 123 6.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  DRAMATIZER Oct02 Sep01 Aug14 Jun19 May29 (desormeaux keit)SMITH E 125 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.