Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Del Mar
Friday - November 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DMR-1   11/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEISUREWEAR (IRE) Oct10 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 May27 (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.50 24% 3.20    
SAREEHA (IRE) Sep18 Aug06       (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
TAKEMEBYTHEHAND (GB) Oct08 Aug20 Jul30     (mullins jef)HERRERA A 125 12.00    
FIRST POINT Oct08 Aug20       (drysdale neil)FREY KYLE 122 20.00    
LOOKINTOGETEVEN Oct08 Aug26 Jul31 Jun04 May07 (powell)BERRIOS ISAAC 125 8.00 15% 5.50    
INFINITE EMPIRE Oct30 Sep11 Aug20 Jul22   (mandella richar)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00    
RUTHLESS BUT KIND Oct10 Aug04       (kruljac eric)BRAVO J 122 4.00    
 
DMR-2   11/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUGHTY NIKO Oct15 Sep02 Aug18 Jul28 Jun19 (winick debbie)FREY KYLE 124 15.00    
SCR  AMERICAN REFUGEE Sep02 Aug05       (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
LA'OCH ALOYSIUS Sep30 Sep03 Mar18 Feb19 Jan14 (herrick joe)ESPINOZA V 122 8.00 13% 6.50    
MAGNIFICENT Sep22 Sep02 Feb26 Jan08   (shirreffs j)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 2.50    
PICKING IT UP         (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
APFEL Nov05 Sep05       (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
 
DMR-3   11/11/2022 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 2 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAS RAPIDO (GB) Oct02 Sep11       (hess b)MALDONADO E 120 4.00    
AH JEEZ Oct09 Oct02 Sep11 Aug26 Aug05 (o'neill doug)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.00 8% 11.60    
HELLADIC Oct02 May20       (hanson ryan)BAZE C 120 1.60 66% 0.50    
JORDAN Oct05 Sep09 Jul17 Jun29   (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 117 4.00    
TANGLEDUPINGREY Oct16 Aug26 Aug11 Jun12   (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 6.00    
 
DMR-4   11/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MULTI PLATINUM Oct08 Sep10 Aug13 Aug06 Jun19 (miyadi ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
MITICO Oct22 Sep09 Jun25 May28 Apr29 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 122 15.00    
LAUGHING LEGACY Oct22 Sep01 Jul24     (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00    
BALADI Sep10 Aug13 May21 Apr16 Mar12 (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00 6% 14.60    
CHIPPER Aug25 Jul30 Jun17 May28 Apr30 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 114 8.00    
MORAWETH Oct08 Sep10 Aug25 Jul02 May15 (o'neill dou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00 49% 1.10    
ROGUE SON Oct09 May28       (papaprodromou geor)BAZE C 124 15.00    
TROUBADOUR Oct02 Jul24 Jun12 May14 Apr16 (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 124 5.00    
CANDY FOR CARMEL Sep17 Aug25 Jun03 Apr09 Mar19 (papaprodromou g)MALDONADO E 122 12.00    
 
DMR-5   11/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENCODE Oct22 Sep22 Sep02 Aug05   (yakteen ti)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
CAISSON Oct16 Sep11 Aug14 Jun18 May07 (ortiz sr)BAZE C 123 12.00    
DURANTE Oct16 Sep24 Sep09 Aug19 Jul23 (craigmyle keith)FREY KYLE 120 8.00    
KAZUHIKO (AUS) Sep30 Aug25 Jul22 May29 May08 (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 125 5.00 41% 1.40    
EL JOY Mar06 Feb18 Jan22 Jan14   (harty eoin)VAN DRAYDEN 123 12.00    
TISQUANTUM Sep09 Aug25       (quinonez rola)PEREIRA TIAGO 125 8.00    
PETRUCHIO Oct16 Sep01 Jul30     (o'neil)BERRIOS ISAAC 123 4.00    
PERCOLATE (IRE) Sep30 Sep11 Aug13 Jun04   (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 5.00 22% 3.50    
FLINT STROLL Oct16 Sep11 Aug14 Jun03 May08 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50    
10  ONCOMING Oct28 Sep17 Sep02 Aug05 Jun12 (saldana reed)VAZQUEZ A 123 12.00 12% 7.00    
 
DMR-6   11/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAZEN SUN Oct10 Sep25 Sep18 Apr08 Mar27 (m)ROJAS EDUARD 120 20.00    
CLUB CAL Oct16 Sep16 Aug28 Jul22   (kelley a)BAZE C 123 20.00    
SEATTLE BREAKOUT Oct07 Aug12       (headley karen)LOPEZ ERICK 123 20.00    
MR. T'S THIRSTY Sep10 Aug19 May21 Apr09 Jan23 (spawr william)FREY KYLE 120 12.00    
ATOMIC DROP Oct16 Sep11 Jul24 Feb19   (d'amato philip)CEDILLO ABEL 123 3.00 12% 7.10    
LIL RICHARDS BELLO Oct10 Sep11 Aug12 Jun19 May30 (eurton)BERRIOS ISAAC 123 6.00 12% 7.30    
NOLONGERAHOBBY Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 Jul30 Jul01 (saldana ree)GUTIERREZ MARIO 125 15.00 8% 12.10    
LEYAS CANDY Oct07 Aug28 Aug07 Jun05 May13 (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
BIG TALKER Oct16 Oct07 Aug05 Jun04 May07 (pineda milton)CURATOLO RYAN 125 4.00    
10  LEMON SUSHI Oct16 Aug28 Aug07 Jan15   (brinkerhoff val)VAZQUEZ A 123 5.00    
SCR  HOLIDAY AROUSAL Nov05 Aug27 Aug04 Jun05 May15 (hess b)MALDONADO E 120 6.00    
 
DMR-7   11/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLUTCH HITTER Sep05 Jul22 Jun19     (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 122 6.00    
HANDY DANDY Oct29 Sep05 Aug13 Jul23 May06 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 21% 3.90    
LAW ABIDING Oct22 Sep05 Jul30 Jul04 May29 (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 20.00    
CRAZY DREAMS Oct28 Sep09 Aug13 Jul23 Jul01 (tamayo isidro)CEDILLO ABEL 120 12.00    
SCRIPT Oct12 Feb10       (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
ST ANTHONY Oct22 Sep14 Sep03 Aug13 Jul22 (drysdale neil)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00    
TIME TO PARTY Oct16 Oct09 Sep10 Aug18 Jul22 (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 120 12.00 8% 12.10    
SPYCATCHER Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 Jun04   (glatt mark)CURATOLO RYAN 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
DEGREE OF RISK Oct29 Aug13 Jul23 Jan01   (harty eoin)VAN DRAYDEN 120 12.00    
 
DMR-8   11/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORTHINESS Oct21 Sep23 Sep02 Aug07 Jul03 (palma o)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 8% 11.50    
SUGAR SUGAR Oct21 Sep23 Aug12     (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
BALI DANCER Oct30 Aug26 Aug04 Jun26 May15 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 122 10.00    
AWSOME DONNA Oct08         (a)ROJAS EDUARD 122 20.00    
TIGER'S WISH Oct09         (winick debbie)ESPINOZA JUAN 124 15.00    
LA CHIQUIS Feb27 Feb04       (wicker lloy)HERRERA A 122 15.00    
HEAVEN'S GHOST Apr17 Feb25 Jan22     (dunham daniel)DONOE V 122 15.00    
VEGAS DREAM Oct21 Sep16 Aug05 Jul09   (truman eddie)MALDONADO E 122 6.00    
SUPERCENTS Aug26 Jul03       (papaprodromo)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 6.00    
10  GOLDEN HALO Oct21 Sep11 Aug07 Jan07   (brinkerhoff v)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 5.00 19% 4.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.