Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Del Mar
Friday - September 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DMR-1   09/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIGHTY MATT Aug14 Jun23 Jun04 Apr20   (periban jorge)BAZE C 119 20.00    
BRIGHT LEAF Apr08 Mar18 Feb19     (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 7% 12.60    
MITICO Jun25 May28 Apr29 Apr10 Mar13 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
DURANTE Aug19 Jul23 Jun04 Apr29 Apr02 (craigmyle k)RISPOLI UMBERTO 119 5.00    
AMERICAREDWHITEBLU Jul22 Jun03 May06     (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 123 1.20 55% 0.80    
TISQUANTUM Aug25         (quinon)BERRIOS ISAAC 125 6.00 10% 9.40    
MO THEM DOWN Jul30 Jul04 Jun05 May13 Apr01 (o'neill doug)VAZQUEZ A 121 8.00    
SOCAL RED         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 119 12.00    
 
DMR-2   09/09/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL FIRE Jun18 May27       (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.80 29% 2.40    
DREAM A DREAM (NZ) Aug12         (callaghan s)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 8.00    
LA MACARENA         (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00    
NATALIA         (gaines carla)BRAVO J 121 10.00    
WEEMISSGRAMMY Jul22         (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 121 20.00    
DECADE OF DREAMS Aug12 Jun05 Apr30 Mar05 Jan23 (d'amat)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 4.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  CUBAN CRISIS (GB) Feb19 Jan29       (glatt mark)CURATOLO RYAN 121 2.50 39% 1.50    
 
DMR-3   09/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKEM FOR YOU Jul22 Jun03 May13     (alvarez edwin)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 12.00    
FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Jul29 Jun24 May27     (mathis and)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 5.00    
GOLDEN AGAIN         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 6.00    
FOREST ACCLAMATION Aug12 Jul10       (o'neill doug)CEDILLO ABEL 120 6.00    
ELEGANT SWAY Jul29         (mccarthy sean)BAZE C 120 5.00    
BIG GIFT         (yakteen ti)VAN DRAYDEN 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
NIGHT PARTY         (palma o)BRAVO J 120 4.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  PRETTY THIRSTY Aug13         (bonde jeff)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 15.00    
SCR  SMOKIN CHEENA Aug13 Jul22 Jun11 May21   (solis walther)FREY KYLE 120 4.00 36% 1.80    
10  VIOLET CROWN         (dollase crai)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 113 12.00    
11  WINK WISH AND PARK Aug19 Jul22       (winick debbie)LOPEZ ERICK 120 15.00    
12  CAANFOOLERY Jun26         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 15.00    
 
DMR-4   09/09/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOVE OVER (GB) Aug07 May27 May06 Mar19 Feb26 (howey quinn)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 8.00    
JACK SPROUT Aug12         (mendez luis)VALDIVIA JR 121 20.00    
SCR  PILLAR MOUNTAIN (IRE)         (hess b)BRAVO J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PROUD PEDRO (FR) Jul29 Jun12 May27     (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 6% 15.70    
SCR  RIJEKA (IRE) Aug05 Jun19 May15 Apr30   (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 60% 0.70    
SOUTHERN KING Aug12 Jun05       (korine)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 8.00    
HOLY GHOST Aug07 Jul08 Jun03 May13 Apr08 (ordonez aggie)PEREIRA TIAGO 119 20.00    
KITTEN'S SPA Aug07 Jun19 May15 Apr17 Apr01 (wilensky herm)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 12.00    
BACK RING LUCK Aug07 May15 Apr17 Mar19 Feb12 (barocio librado)MALDONADO E 121 6.00    
10  TARTINI Aug07 Jun12 May06 Jan07   (glatt mark)CURATOLO RYAN 121 3.50    
11  PERFECT CUT Aug12 Jul04 May12 Apr15 Mar17 (miyadi steven)CEDILLO ABEL 121 6.00    
SCR  U. S. DANGER Aug14 Jul24       (wong jonathan)FREY KYLE 121 5.00 7% 13.80    
13  FALSELY ACCUSED Aug18 Jun24 May01 Mar18 Jan29 (lucarelli )VAN DRAYDEN 121 12.00    
SCR  PEACE OF EKATI Aug21 Jul30 May21 Mar19 Feb10 (periban jorge)BAZE C 121 5.00    
 
DMR-5   09/09/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACT OF SERENDIPITY Jul10 Jun12 May22 Apr17   (vallejo genar)AYUSO ARMANDO 119 12.00    
BIG BEAUTY May01         (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
BIG TREAT Aug07         (hanson r)ELLINGWOOD A 119 6.00    
SATURDAY HEIST Aug11 Jun25 Jan16 Jan02   (brinkerhoff val)ESPINOZA V 122 12.00    
EMMA'S DANCE Aug11 Jul16 Jun24 May07 Apr01 (moger jr)HERRERA A 122 20.00 7% 13.20    
SHEZA GIRLY GIRL Aug11 May30 May07     (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 6.00    
SHE'S BULLETPROOF Aug11 May07 Mar26 Feb13 Jan02 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
LAUREL CANYON         (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 35% 1.90    
10  SMILIN EVIE Apr16 Mar26 Jan08     (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 119 12.00    
11  CAUSE SHE'S A LADY Aug07 Jan15       (o'neill doug)FREY KYLE 119 6.00    
SCR  SPANISH CHANNEL Aug27 Aug14 Jul10 May27 May01 ( )TBA null      
 
DMR-6   09/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANACARO Jul31         (callaghan s)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 12.00    
LA PEER Aug04         (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 15% 5.70    
BALENCIAGA BETTY Aug04         (hanson ryan)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  THREAD COUNT         (gallagher patric)ESPINOZA V 120 10.00    
SCR  SAKURA FLAVOR (IRE)         (gallagher patr)CEDILLO ABEL 120 12.00    
CLASSYMADEMOISELLE Aug13 Jul31 Jul04 May21   (periban jor)HERRERA A 120 8.00    
SHIRLEY'S BANE         (mullins jeff)SMITH E 120 8.00    
BOLT'S BROAD Aug04         (ruis shelb)VAN DRAYDEN 120 15.00    
FREE AND HUMBLE Jul30 Jul04       (miller peter)VALDIVIA JR 120 3.50 8% 12.10    
SCR  SUNSET GLORY (IRE)         (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 5.00 7% 13.10    
SCR  PRIDE OF THE NILE         (o'neill doug)CURATOLO RYAN 120 8.00    
SCR  DADDY CLASSY DILL Aug12 Jul30 Jul04 Jun10 May20 (alvarez edwin)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 15.00    
SCR  HALF NELSON Aug14 Jun11 May21     (brinkerhoff v)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JENNIFER'S D'LIGHT Aug14         (mccarthy micha)CEDILLO ABEL 120 12.00    
 
DMR-7   09/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 9:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KANGAROO COURT Aug20 Jul23       (yakteen tim)CEDILLO ABEL 121 1.60 44% 1.30    
MOON ICE         (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
HACKING IT UP Aug12 Jul24 Jun19     (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 10.00    
AMIGO G A Aug27         (quinonez roland)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00    
STRAIGHTEN UP Aug12 Jul01       (hollendorfer jerr)SMITH E 121 2.50 17% 4.80    
MERIT SONG Aug26 Jul31 Jul04     (palma o)BRAVO J 119 12.00    
GIVER NOT A TAKER Aug14         (miller peter)VALDIVIA JR 121 2.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  GOOD N THIRSTY Aug12 Jul09 Jun18 May14   ( )TBA null      
 
DMR-8   09/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEPTUNE'S STORM Aug13 Jul24       (o'neill doug)VAZQUEZ A 121 5.00 23% 3.30    
COAST OF ROAN Aug13 May21 Apr09     (mullins jeff)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00    
SCR  OPRY Aug12 Jun02       (bonde jeff)CEDILLO ABEL 121 12.00 12% 7.60    
ONE FAST BRO Jul30 Jun04 Apr30 Apr02   (ruis shelbe)CURATOLO RYAN 121 15.00    
OVERDUE Jul29 May21 Mar25     (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 6.00    
SCR  FIRST PREMIO Aug13         (yakteen ti)VAN DRAYDEN 121 6.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  CREW DRAGON Jun12 Mar11 Feb05 Jan02   (sadler w)BRAVO J 121 12.00    
MAC DADDY TOO Aug18 Jul22       (o'neill doug)VALDIVIA JR 121 6.00    
SCR  MECKLENBURG (IRE)         (mullins je)GONZALEZ RICARDO 121 12.00    
11  MOODY JIM (IRE) Aug12 Jun18 May14 Apr16 Feb04 (eurton peter)SMITH E 121 6.00    
12  FORT MOULTRIE Aug19 May12 Mar26 Feb26 Jan16 (d'amat)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 3.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  LINCOLN CITY Jul28         ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.