Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - August 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 2 F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAINT ME BEAUTIFUL Aug12         (breen j)FERRER C 117 5.00    
2  LET HER RUN Aug05         (owens j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 12.00    
3  BEL PENSIERO Aug12         (margotta antho)MOYA F 117 3.50 10% 9.30    
4  MIDNIGHT HEIRESS Aug12 Jul22 Jun24     (hollendorfer)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 0.80 67% 0.50    
5  BABY CAKES Aug21 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24   (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 6.00    
6  EXCLUSIVE CHAMPION         (einhorn kim)TORRES JOMAR 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-2   08/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMAZING GRACES JOY Jul16 Jun26 Jun05 May14 Apr01 (mazza w)FERRER C 120 3.00    
2  POSTINO'S CHAMPION Aug13 Aug06 Jul22 Jul02 Jun12 (gonzalez cla)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 5.00    
3  POMTINI Jul31 Jul16 Jun03 May14   (huston r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50    
4  WICKED JANE Aug13 Jul16 Jun03 May14 Feb06 (sacco )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  NO SYMPATHY Aug06 Jul22 Jul09 Jun12 May28 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00    
6  RACHEL CAROLINE Aug06 Jul22 Jul02 Jun03 May28 (frang)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 6% 16.20    
7  BEACH DAZE May28 Apr19 Mar08 Jan31 Jan04 (mann farrel)BOWMAN ADAM 115 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
MTH-3   08/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SADIE BABY         (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 119 4.00 26% 2.90    
2  DIXIE LARK         (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 119 10.00 26% 2.90    
3  CITY SPEAKER Jul09         (owens)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 8.00    
4  BIG LEE'S LEGACY Aug06 Jul09 Jun19     (frangella james )FERRER C 124 6.00    
5  LASSIE'S NOTION Jul30 Jun26 Jun05 May14 Apr06 (martin ramon)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 3.50    
6  TE AMO Aug15 Jul30       (russo victor)PARISH R 119 20.00    
7  DESERT PASSION         (milne joan)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 12.00 26% 2.90    
8  RANDOM LUCK Jul09 Jun26 Jun05 Apr20   (marquez ces)OCASIO JONATHAN 119 6.00    
9  PUNK ROCK GIRL (IRE) Jul30         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO null   5% 19.00    
SCR  TWYLA Jul30 Jun26       (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 15.00    
 
MTH-4   08/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASSATION Aug05 Jul10 Jun19 May22   (owens edd)VARGAS A 115 4.00    
2  DUQUESNE Aug12 Jul24 Jun29 Jun18 May29 (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
3  GONE ASTRAY KISS Aug14 Aug01 Jul15 Jul03 Jun26 (foglia anthony )RIVERA JR 120 30.00    
4  OHANA EMPIRE Jul24 Jul10 Jun18 May30 Apr29 (pimenta)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
SCR  KRATOS Aug22 Aug07 Jul17     (sweezey j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50    
6  COUNTRY MILES Aug14 Aug07 Jul15 Jul03 Jun19 (huston r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00    
7  ONE TIME WILLARD Jul23 Jul15 Jun19 May29 May08 (stephens john)RENDON JAIRO 115 3.50 34% 2.00    
8  WOLFE 'N HAWKE Jul24 Jun18       (milne )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CASH KID Aug22 Aug07 Jul03 Jun10 May22 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 8.00    
 
MTH-5   08/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST ROMANCE Jul10 Jun11 May08 Apr09 Jan29 (lynch cathal)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
2  SPEAKING Aug06 Jul10 Jun12 May15   (owens j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 2.50 21% 3.80    
3  PICKIN' TIME Jul16 May15       (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  KAZ SWEET HEIST Aug14 Jul31 Jul01 Jun11 May22 (synnefias dimitrio)NO RIDER 116 15.00    
5  PIANZI Aug08 Jul18 Jun25 Jun15   (breen j)RENDON JAIRO 119 8.00    
6  ROYAL URN Jul16 Jun12 May15     (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00    
7  DR. DOYLE Aug08 Jul31 Jul10 Jun19   (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00    
8  NO CENTS Jul02 May15       (lynch catha)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
MTH-6   08/28/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY LOVER BOY Aug14 Aug07 Jul22 Jan09   (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 15.00    
2  YOUNG GUN Aug14 Jul31 Jul01     (frangella james )FERRER C 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SUNSHINE CHARLIE Aug08 Jul17 Jul04 Jun11 May08 (dini mik)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
4  SAND DUNE Aug08 Jul17 Jun18 Jun05   (abrams jack)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 10.00    
5  LIKE WHAT I SEE Aug07 Jun17 Jun05 May20 Mar27 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
6  WHAT'S UP MR. Z Jul17 Jun19       (kendall dennis)RENDON JAIRO 120 4.00 13% 6.60    
7  SHIELD OF FAITH Aug14 Jul31 Jul15 Jul04 Jun04 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
8  MAGICAL JAIME Jul17 Jun18 Jun03 May08 Mar26 (mcburney )RODRIGUEZ A 120 2.50    
 
MTH-7   08/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIA'S CRUSADE Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 Jun05 May14 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  PRINCESS GEORGIA Aug13 Aug06 Jul22 Jun18 Jun05 (gonzalez a)NO RIDER 116 20.00    
SCR  PERSPICACIOUS (ARG) Aug15 Jul30 Jul09 Jun12   (breen j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 12.00    
4  ROSELBA Jul30 Jul09 Jun10 May14   (huston r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
5  JERSEY JEWEL Jul30 Jun18 May14     (servis tyle)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 3.50 ★    
6  TAKEITTOCOMITTEE Jul30 Jul02 May28 May14   (huston ro)VARGAS A 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ALTA VELOCITA Jul29 Jun05 May14 Feb20   (simoff andre)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
8  I CAN RUN Aug12 Jul23 Jul03 May28 May14 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 4.00    
9  ODDSONDUSTYMILLER Jul30 Jun18 May14     (wilson tony)RENDON JAIRO 117 15.00    
 
MTH-8   08/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHERRY ORIENTAL Aug07 Jul16 Jun25 Jun03 Apr22 (nunn d)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 8.00    
2  JOY'S PRIDE Aug15 Aug06 Jul16 Jul02 Jun12 (huston r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  ASHLEY'S HOPE Aug08 Jun12 May28 May14   (mcburne)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
4  ROB THE TREASURE Aug15 Jul16       (dini mike)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 10.00    
5  HER NAME IS LOLA Aug15 Jul09 Jun11 Feb16 Jan08 (sweezey j)VARGAS A 117 3.00 ★    
6  BEATUBYACHUBINOSE Jul30 Jul22 Jul02 Jun05 May14 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 20.00 8% 11.90    
SCR  MUZZLE TOUGH Aug06 Jun18 Jun05     (breen j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 8.00    
8  BIKINI BABY Jul22 Jul02 Jun05 May14   (owens jr)JUAREZ NIK 120 6.00 35% 1.90    
9  POSTINO'S IDOL Aug15 Jul09 Jun28 Feb05 Jan02 (frangella james )FERRER C 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
10  MODEL BEHAVIOR Aug15 Jul15 Jun12     (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 30.00    
11  TALE LIGHTS Aug15 Jul16       (mcburney )RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00    
 
MTH-9   08/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN BROWN Jul10 Jun19 Jun04 May15   (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 123 2.50 26% 2.80    
2  STEFANO Aug07 Jul10 May15     (hollendor)VARGAS A 117 12.00    
SCR  OPTIC WAY Jul24 Jul10 Jun12 May15   (ryan s)FERRER C 118 8.00    
4  ROYAL COUP Aug07 Jul03 May29 Apr18 Mar29 (pearce penny)ADORNO ABNER 117 20.00    
5  PRENDIMI Jul19 Jun12       (carvajal luis )CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HIT ME I'M LUCKY Aug08 Jul24 Jul10 Jun18 May29 (huston ro)RODRIGUEZ A 117 20.00    
7  IRISH MEADOW Jul24 Jun12 May28 May15 Apr22 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 24% 3.10    
8  OUR MAN LUKE Jul27 Jul10 Jun12 May15 Apr19 (carvajal lui)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 10.00    
9  HE'SPUREGOLD Jul23 Jul10 May29     (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00    
10  AMATTEROFTIME Jul19 Jul09 May21 May15   (ramirez silvino)NO RIDER 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
 
MTH-10   08/28/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($68.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIANT JAMES Jul31         (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00    
2  INDIANTOWN Aug05         (motion graham)ROSE J 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
3  TALE GATORING Aug05         (mcburney )RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EXAGGERATEDDEFENCE Aug05 Jul01 Jun19     (lynch catha)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 2.50    
5  POSTINO'S PROPHECY Jul09 Jun11 May14     (einhorn kim)RENDON JAIRO 113 3.50 28% 2.60    
6  FOREVER CHOCOLATE Aug12 Jul10 Jun11 May22 May08 (huston ro)VARGAS A 118 4.50    
7  JERSEY PERFECTION Aug12 Jul31 May08     (nunn douglas)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 12.00    
8  CHANGING THE KARMA Aug12 Jul30 Jul10 Jul01 Jun19 (simon l)GONZALEZ LUIS 118 8.00 6% 16.50    
9  WINSOR MANOR Aug12 Jul10 Jun19 May30   (leeson d)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.