Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Sunday - August 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   08/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAP THE MOMENT Aug02 Jul12 Mar18 Feb09 Jan23 (campbell larry)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00 8% 11.00    
PROPER GRAMMAR Jul30 Jul14 May22 Apr14 Jan01 (pregman john)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 15.00    
OVERANDOVERAGAIN Jul10 Jun05 Apr15     (salzman timothy)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 20.00    
PLEASE MARRY ME Aug13 Jul09 Jul03 Jun11 May07 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
BAY B Jul01 Jun11       (saville niall)ACOSTA D 126 3.50    
CHALLENGE PRINCESS Jun24 May06       (barboza victor )CENTENO E 121 6.00 14% 6.30    
BAD TEMPER Aug04 Jul10 Jun19 May28 Apr21 (parker hora)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 4.50    
LOVE MY CAT Jun19 Mar20 Feb27 Feb12   (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 122 6.00    
SCR  HOT LOOKIN ROYAL May14 Apr28       (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
10  KAREN'S CATITA Jul27 Jul01       (allen ferris)CEDENO CAROL 126 8.00    
 
LRL-2   08/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 35 M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIBRANT JUDY         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 2.50 17% 5.00    
M'LADY THATCHER Jul28 Jul09 Jun26 Jun04 May06 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
LADRO DI FICHI Jul28 Jun26 Jun04 May13   (gonzalez cla)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 2.00    
BLUE MOON BUNNY Jul22 May29       (mcmahon thomas)AVILES YAN 121 12.00    
SMART EULEE Aug05 Jul03 May30 Apr30 Apr15 (keefe timothy)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 3.50 21% 3.70    
THAT'S SOME KISS Aug05         (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 8.00    
 
LRL-3   08/21/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVING CUP (JPN) Jul29 Jul08 Jun17     (voss kathar)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 4.50 19% 4.40    
MY FLICKER Aug13 Jul08 Jun16     (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 122 6.00    
SCR  VILLAREGGIA Jul30 Jul26 Jun22     (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 8.00    
REDWHITEANDTACOS Apr14 Mar26 Feb26 Jan28   (dilodovico damo)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 15.00    
LOOKS DON'T LIE Jul27 Jul02 Jun11 Apr30 Apr15 (salzman timothy)ACOSTA D 126 8.00    
MUSIC QUEEN Aug08 Jul23 Jul04 Jun14 May29 (cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 114 20.00    
SCR  ESPERANNNA Jul13 Jun17       (gonzalez cla)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 5.00 5% 17.30    
ROMANTIC COMEDY Jul28 Jul13 Jun24 Jun09 May16 (ness jamie)KARAMANOS A 121 6.00    
SENSON Jul28 Jul17 Jul02 Jun12 May05 (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  GHOSTLY NIGHT Jul23 Jun24 May29 May06   (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 121 12.00    
11  MARY JANE CHROME Jul31 Jun11 May01 Apr14 Feb26 (geralis emanue)BOYCE FOREST 126 2.50 48% 1.10    
12  ICY REPLY Aug14 Jul28 Jul02 Jun25 Jun12 (sanchez-salomon )AVILES YAN 112 20.00    
 
LRL-4   08/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTINTHENICKOTIME Jul27 Jun17 Apr21 Apr01 Mar04 (rivera ju)CARRASCO R 126 1.60 43% 1.30    
SCR  SOCIAL EQUALITY Jul30 Jul13 Jul04 Jun07 May16 (jones michael)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 30.00 7% 13.20    
AFTERMATH Aug12 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 May28 (brooks geral)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 6.00    
MILLEAN Apr03 Feb19       (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 122 3.50 7% 12.80    
DOLICE VITA Aug06 Jul15 Jun26 May29 Apr24 (capuano dale)ALVELO C 121 4.50    
ERAWAN Aug12 Jul22 Jul15 Jul01 Jun25 (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
CAPTAIN CARDO Aug03 Jun24 Jun11 May29 May08 (volpe john)AVILES YAN 121 15.00    
 
LRL-5   08/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 35 ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT BOSS Jul31 Jun25 Jun10 May07 Apr22 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 5.00 5% 17.80    
LOOKIN FOR JUSTICE Jun25 Jun03 May15 Apr24 Apr08 (eubanks anne)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 20.00    
GRAND MANNER Aug05 Jun17 May01 Apr15   (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 6.00    
SOLOMON'S CHOICE Jul16 Jun26 Jun05 Apr30 Apr07 (geralis emanue)BOYCE FOREST 126 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  STEADY EDDIE Aug14 Jul17 Jul02 Jun05 May19 (buckley ric)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 10.00    
SCR  EYE'N A DEAL Aug06 Jul16 Jun24 May28   (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 117 6.00    
BUSHWICK BRUISER Jul17 Jun25 May26 May01 Feb13 (deiter lyn)AVILES YAN 116 10.00    
FIRE D'ROCKET         (colgan kel)MENDOZA JHONATAN 126 30.00    
SCINTILLIO Jul29 Jun25 May08 Apr15 Mar11 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 3.50 39% 1.60    
10  PERFECT PEACE         (milosevic m)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 15.00    
11  ICANDOTHAT Jul31 Jul16 May28 May19 May05 (merryman m)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 114 12.00    
SCR  RIP IT Jul31 Jun05 Apr29     (haughton donnov)GARCIA LUIS 122 20.00    
SCR  FIRST FORCE Jul31 May27       (aguirre anthony )AVILES YAN 112 30.00    
SCR  TAPPED OFF Jul28 Jul04       (saville niall)MENA E 121 8.00 6% 14.40    
SCR  BLAMEITONTHEFUN Jul30 Jul15 Jun25 Apr15 Apr03 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 121 12.00    
 
LRL-6   08/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POST TIME         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
SHACKINTHEBOX         (dilodovico damo)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
LANDON JACK Aug06 Jul15       (salzman e)ACOSTA D 120 4.50    
ISRAELI ARMY         (feliciano ben)KARAMANOS A 120 8.00    
JOHNNYFRENCHFRI Jul13         (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 6.00 12% 7.60    
JOHNYZ FROM ALBANY         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
DA BEERS ON ICE         (cox kennet)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 8.00    
 
LRL-7   08/21/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUE LOVES BARBADOS Aug07 Jul15 Jul03 Jun17   (capuano dale)AVILES YAN 118 3.50    
E. P. MILTON Aug07 Jul11 Jun24 May19   (cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 111 20.00    
PICKIN SEA GLASS Aug07 Jul15 Jun25 Jun10 May19 (peacock m)BOYCE FOREST 123 6.00    
JACKIE A Jul17         (capuano dale)ALVELO C 123 15.00    
MONSTER MASON Aug07 Jul15 Jul03 Jun17 May29 (mcfarlane brand)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 10.00    
SCR  VOTETHEMALLOUT Jul18 Jun25 May20 Apr29   (trombetta)CARRASCO R 118 15.00    
PREMIERE CHOICE Jul15 Jun17       (keefe timot)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 6.00    
TAUBER Aug07 Jul15       (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 126 2.50 60% 0.70    
SHARP RED EAGLE Aug04 Jul08 May30 Apr25 Mar15 (bentley fennek)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  BALISTICO Aug10 Jul26 Jun25 Jun09 Apr02 (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 5.00 11% 8.50    
 
LRL-8   08/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 M/F PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY WHISTLEDOWN Jun17         (gaudet lac)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 114 5.00    
TILTED TIARA Jul28 Jul08 May29     (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 121 2.00 59% 0.70    
HEARTBURN Aug13 Jul08       (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 117 20.00    
LUCKY LORRAINE Jun11 Feb26       (eppler e)AVILES YAN 117 4.00 6% 15.30    
RAISE YOUR GAME Jul29 Jul09 Jun26     (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 4.50    
CUMULONIMBUS Jul31 May15 Apr24 Mar27 Feb27 (keefe timothy)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 15.00    
FOUL BALLS Jul29 Jun11 May20     (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 121 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.