Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - August 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   08/20/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARTERED COURSE Jul09 Jun17 May11 Apr27   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
MANHATTAN WEAVE Jul23 Jun30 Jun16 Apr27 Apr06 (mcclure l)LARROSA G 120 1.80 40% 1.50    
POSTED Jul20 Jun04 May26     (williams l)CECIL Y 122 12.00    
LIMEHOUSE NEWS Jul01 Jun24 Jun03     (hess jacob )MCKENZIE CONNIE 111 30.00    
CHIPPEWA'S CASTLE Jun04 May11 Apr13 Mar17   (brown ronne)RAMGEET R 120 3.00 12% 7.10    
SMALL PAW Apr13 Mar18 Feb25 Feb05   (jackson ang)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 1.60 23% 3.30    
 
CT-2   08/20/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BULL SHARK Jul28 May20 May12 Apr30 Apr02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.40 37% 1.70    
SCOTTY SILVER Jul28 Jul09 May13     (straughn will)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00    
FLUENT IN SARCASM Jul28 Jul08 Jun16 May20 Apr22 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
BRIAN'S AVENUE Jul15 Jun17 May06 Mar25 Feb11 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00    
WIDGET FACTORY Jul29 Jul09 Jun11 May12 Apr15 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  CASH FOR THE SOUL Aug09 Jul14 Jun25 Mar31 Mar10 (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 10.00 15% 5.80    
 
CT-3   08/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADDY'S LADDY T N T Aug05 Jul15 Jan20     (walters henry)ACOSTA D 119 2.00 11% 7.80    
PROUD UNION Jul30 Jul09 Jun02 May15 Apr22 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00    
SCR  IT BEAST ALL Jul30 Jul02 May28 Mar13 Feb04 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 114 3.00 57% 0.70    
EL PATOJO Jul30 Apr23 Mar26     (cooper stev)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 6.00    
NORTHERN TICK TOCK         (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 5.00    
SUN OF SILVER Jul30         (yovanovich dona)RODRIGUEZ V 124 50.00    
CHARGEITTOTHEGAME Aug12 Apr14       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50    
LITTLE BUD Apr30 Mar13       (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 124 50.00    
 
CT-4   08/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE CROSSING Jul31 Jul07 Jan27 Jan12   (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 124 12.00    
ELLIE'S LIL MAN Jul17 Jun07 Apr27 Mar31 Mar02 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 1.60 32% 2.20    
VIDMER'S COURAGE Jul29 Jul09 Jun25 Jun18 May26 (pennella rh)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 10.00    
JUST GETS BETTER Jun18 May13 Apr29 Mar24 Mar03 (butts e)LARROSA G 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
CAYENNE CREEK Aug06 May27 Apr30 Mar02 Jan27 (davis russe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.40 43% 1.30    
JACKLIGHTING Aug03 Jun25 May18 Apr20 Mar18 (johnson c )ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 3.50    
 
CT-5   08/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATHERINES WARRIOR Jul30 Apr30 Feb18 Feb03   (jones royla)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 12.00    
SECRET CASTLE Jul15 May28 May20 May11 Apr01 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.60 48% 1.10    
BUFF N Jul30 Feb26 Feb02     (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 124 15.00    
CHIT CHAT GIRL Aug11 Jul09 Jul01 May07 Mar26 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
HERETODAYGONMANANA Jul21 May28 Apr30 Apr20 Mar25 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 15% 5.60    
RHYTHM TREE Jul30 Jul09 Jun23 Jun02 May11 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00    
SCR  ANGELS CASTLE Aug05 Jul22 Jun23 May19 Apr30 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00    
LONGSTORYLUCY Aug11         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00 10% 8.80    
 
CT-6   08/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRECIAN ADMIRAL Jun25 May13 Apr14 Mar24 Feb10 (greaves verno)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  PLONDER Jul16 Jun09 May14 May07   (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 6.00    
WORLD OF FOOLS Jul30 Jul14 Jul09 Jun17 Jun04 (smith lawre)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 118 6.00 10% 9.00    
LET US MAKE GOLD Jun30 May29 Apr08 Mar27 Mar02 (davies jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00    
DIVINE PROPORTION Jul23 Jul04 Jun17 May27 May06 (butts e)LARROSA G 122 4.50    
ELVIRUS Jul20 Jun30 Jun07 May06 Apr14 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 2.50 13% 6.80    
 
CT-7   08/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN RIDGE Aug04 Jul16 Jun25 Jun02   (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.50 10% 8.90    
MARTIN MAN Jul28 Jun25 Jun03 May14 Apr21 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00 7% 12.70    
GHOST STALKER Jul31 Jul16 Jun19 May26 May14 (sillaman richard )HO WESLEY 120 3.00    
RRACE DAY WARRIOR Jul14 May18 Apr29 Apr13 Mar10 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
JAYJAYDEE Jul14 Jun03 May11 Apr22 Apr14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 60% 0.70    
HOBE SOUND (IRE) Aug04 Jul07 Jun03 May26 May11 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00    
CHARITABLE SPENNY Jul14 Jun04 May11 Apr08 Jan27 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 120 30.00    
 
CT-8   08/20/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOZYMILKSHAKEBAR Aug08 Jul09 Jun24     (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.50 7% 12.40    
ABOUT TO RAGE Jul07 Jun17 May26 May05 Mar18 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 6.00    
QUICK WIT Jul21 Jun10       (mcmahon hug)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 1.40 50% 1.00    
VITO ANDOLINI Jul29 Jul10 May20 May04 Feb24 (lane j)ADAMS L 110 30.00    
TANELEER Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 Mar03 Feb11 (raymond donovan)CECIL Y 120 8.00    
SCR  D TACHYON Jan04         (brown a)THORPE DARIUS 122 8.00    
KING T'CHALLA May26 May12 Apr28 Apr14 Mar26 (johnston r)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
SCR  SMELLSLIKEMONEY Aug04 Jul07 May26 May07 Apr23 (shanley mar)MCKENZIE CONNIE 109 5.00 12% 7.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.