Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Saturday - August 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-1   08/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAIN TAP WATER         (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 3.50    
SUPER BESLIU         (eliott ro)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 120 15.00    
RENEGADE GIRL         (rojero luis)SCRIVER L 117 8.00    
ZACH WHO         (rojero lu)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 4.50    
FLEET OF FLAGS         (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 120 3.00 16% 5.40    
GUITAR BOY Jul17         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 2.50 61% 0.60    
EL ZARAPE         (singh johnny)VAZQUEZ JOSE 120 6.00    
 
ALB-2   08/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS RULES May27 May13 Mar08 Jan25   (chavez arturo)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00    
SELECTION PARK Aug12 Mar22 Jan30 Jan16   (armstrong sh)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 4.50    
MISS YOU MOM Aug13 Aug06 Jun17 Apr28 Apr18 (valerio raymond)REYES FRANK 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
HOT LIL MESS Aug03 May15 Apr24 Jan18   (leyba j)BARAJAS J 121 20.00    
BOLD REY Jun16 May28 Apr12 Mar27 Feb28 (hernandez miguel)MEDELLIN A 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
AUTUMN TOUCH Aug07 May27 May08 May01 Apr23 (chav)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 3.00    
BEAUTIFUL BOUNTY Aug07 May27 May15 Jan22   (esparza stepha)VAZQUEZ JOSE 121 10.00 12% 7.60    
TICK TOCK Aug04 Jul09 Jun26 Jun02 May26 (hernandez mig)JUAREZ J 121 3.50 13% 7.00    
 
ALB-3   08/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAVE IT Jul31         (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 122 8.00    
I GET STORMED Aug03 May27 Apr29 Mar20 Mar01 (gonzalez jose )VAZQUEZ JOSE 122 4.50    
CANDY CARMA         (salazar mich)SALAZAR TERESA 119 15.00    
I'M A GIRAFFE Jul31         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
MIDNIGHTONTHENILE Jul31 Jun04 Feb08 Jan11   (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
K P MCCOVEY COVE Jul31         (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 122 6.00    
RESPECT THE RIDE Aug06 Jul30       (de cruz)SIGALA ALFREDO 122 3.50    
 
ALB-4   08/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATRIOT Aug03 Jul04 Mar06 Jan18   (roje)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 10.00    
NOT THAT SERIOUS Apr25 Mar30 Mar09 Feb17 Jan28 (cappellucci dic)REYES FRANK 119 4.50    
WHEREDOESTHECASHGO Aug06 Apr30       (gonzalez andres)PEREZ A 121 3.00 35% 1.80    
SWEET RIVER BAINES Jul31 Jun24 Apr30 Mar27 Jan29 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 3.50    
STORMIN FAST Aug06 Jul17 Jun26 Jun12 Mar19 (rojero lu)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 5.00    
DOCTOR TINK Aug03 Apr24 Mar22 Jan07   (armstrong sherry)MEDELLIN A 124 8.00    
DEPUTY'S ECHO Aug03         (valdez aure)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
 
ALB-5   08/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREENBRIER Aug03 Apr03 Mar13 Feb24 Feb01 (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 8.00    
SILVER KID Aug03 Jun05 Apr26 Apr07 Mar03 (valerio raymond )MEDELLIN A 124 5.00 24% 3.20    
SECRET'S DOUBLE Aug06 May22 Apr29 Mar06 Feb15 (clemmer phil)SIGALA ALFREDO 124 10.00 7% 13.80    
DUBRONSKY Jun25 May06       (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 7.00    
DIA DE PAGO Aug03 Jun23 May08 Mar24 Feb04 (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 4.00    
REVOLT AND RIOT Aug03 Apr03 Jan15     (cross gary)REYES FRANK 122 6.00    
K P AIM HIGH Jul30         (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
BIG SKIPPER Jul30 Jun18 May19 Mar27 Mar05 (summers nancy)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.