Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - August 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   08/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUJU ON DA BEAT Jul15 Jul07 Jun09 Apr16 Apr08 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 1.00 23% 3.30    
2  TRACE ESTATE Jul28 Jul07       (collyer jamie)THORPE DARIUS 124 12.00 ★    
3  I SHALLBE RELEASED Jul30 Jul07 May27 Apr08 Feb10 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.20 46% 1.20    
4  ROO Jul07 May27 May13     (mcclure l)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
5  WEAVINYOUINTHEDUST Jul07 May28 Apr22     (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 15.00 ★    
6  FREYA'S BLESSING Jul07 Jun18       (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 120 10.00 10% 9.20    
 
CT-2   08/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LATE IN THE GAME Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 May28 Apr29 (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 1.80 35% 1.80    
2  ACASHA'S INTUITION Aug12 Jul29       (smith g)RODRIGUEZ V 120 99.00    
3  MY BOY CLYDE Jul23 Jun04 May07 Apr16 Mar25 (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  WELL EQUIPPED Jul23 Jun18 May28 Mar25 Mar02 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 116 3.00 ★    
5  HAPPY YEARS Jun23 May27 Apr20 Mar19 Mar02 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 3.50 11% 7.90    
6  AZURE FIRE Jul23 Jul14 Jun23 May27 May18 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00    
7  JAXJAXXORJACKS Aug05 Jul15 May27 Apr20 Apr02 (caison jody)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 15.00 ★    
 
CT-3   08/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVOLUTIONARY ROAD Jul28 Jul20 Jun10 May19 Apr10 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  BOATSWAIN Jul28 Jul08 Jun17 May12 Mar02 (farrior ant)RAMGEET R 124 5.00 37% 1.70    
3  QUAD EIGHTS Jul20 Jun11 May25 May18 May04 (jones michael)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 10.00    
4  CHARITABLE VISIT Jul29 May26 Apr29 Apr20 Mar31 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
5  SUNMAN Jun09 May27 May14 Apr22 Apr09 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
6  FU MAN SUE Jul29 Apr13 Mar24 Feb26 Feb05 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50    
7  GHOST ON A MISSION Jul23 Jun03 May11 Apr20 Mar31 (schottroffe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 12.00    
8  SEIZE THE DAY Jun30 Jun05 May07 Apr08 Feb24 (feliciano m)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 ★    
 
CT-4   08/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARDLY EVER BETTER Jul18 Jun18 May21 Apr02   (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 116 4.00    
2  RED HOT TODDY Jul08 Jun17 May25 May04 Apr13 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
3  SLEW THE TURN Jul18 Jun25 May18 Apr13   (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 8.00 11% 8.10    
4  ROCKET SOUND Jul09 Jun17 Apr29 Mar26 Mar04 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 120 5.00 ★    
5  BLUE N GOLD Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 Apr29 Feb25 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 1.20 34% 1.90    
6  FIGAROS FORTUNE Jul30 Jul09 Jun30 Jun16 May26 (obed-l)LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 6.00 ★    
 
CT-5   08/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH FLIGHT Jun02         (espinosa )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 8.00 18% 4.50    
2  ORANGEBURG Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 Jun04 May14 (meehan elizab)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00    
3  ROCKET BALLAD Jun17 May04 Feb25 Feb05 Jan14 (myers larry)CECIL Y 124 50.00    
4  ONE NIGHT MIKE Jul29 Jun30       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 119 1.40 33% 2.10    
5  EVANESCO Aug13 Jul23 Jun30 Jun16   (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 119 10.00 ★    
6  WHATAPUNCH Jul23 Jun30       (stehr p)LIMA FELINO 112 20.00    
SCR  WATCHING SNOW FLY Jul08 Jun02 May11 May04 Apr13 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 119 15.00    
8  JUBA BOUND Jul29 Jun30 Jun04 May25   (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 119 6.00 ★    
9  RIVER MALBUMOONRVF         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
CT-6   08/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICE N' BROAD Jul28 Jul14 May20 Apr27 Apr07 (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
2  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun02 May20 (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 ★    
3  MISS WAVE Jul14 May25 May06 Apr16 Apr07 (patter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00 9% 9.90    
4  JAMESTOWN ROAD Aug04 Jul16 Jun17 May20 Apr27 (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 4.00    
5  GRACE ELIZABETH May20 Apr27 Feb17     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  OCEAN LILLY Aug04 Jul02 May20 Apr27 Apr07 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 2.00 26% 2.90    
7  DISTORTED SPLENDOR Aug15 Jul14 Jun03 May05 Apr27 (stehr p)LIMA FELINO 113 30.00    
 
CT-7   08/19/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOT ANY Jul27 Jun08 May14 Apr23 Apr01 (pearson michae)RIOS-CONDE A 124 12.00    
SCR  SISTER JOANN Jul28 Jun18 May11 Apr21 Apr09 (hess g)LARROSA G 120 30.00    
3  WINDSOR'S PLAY Jul28 Jul01 Jun04 Apr27 Apr09 (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 116 2.50 13% 6.90    
4  LIME AFTER LIME Jul28 Jun23 May11 Apr28 Mar16 (jackson)NUNEZ ANAHI 116 20.00 ★    
5  COUSIN WINNIE Jul28 Jul01 May28 May14 Apr23 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 4.50 12% 7.10    
6  CASTLE LIGHTS Jul28 Jul02 May14 Apr23 Mar17 (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 5.00 ★    
7  CEDAR'S WISH Jul28 Jul01 Jun24 May28 May19 (grams timoth)MORALES KELVIN 116 8.00    
8  SNOWY JUBA CAT Jul23 Jul02 Jun04     (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.80 50% 1.00    
 
CT-8   08/19/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOBAL EMPRESS Jul28 Jul15 Jun02 May12 Mar10 (anderson patr)ADAMS L 114 2.50 43% 1.40    
2  PRETTY CASTLE Jul30 Jul21       (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50    
3  JADE SKYE         (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 5.00    
4  SIENTE LA BRISA Jul21 Jun30       (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00    
5  LET'S B CIVIL         (campbell marshall)CECIL Y 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUNSET QUEEN Jul23 Jul07       (lucas a)NUNEZ ANAHI 118 12.00    
7  CHARITABLE SHOW         (pearson michae)RIOS-CONDE A 122 50.00    
8  A BLONDE THING         (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
9  BADS LIL LADY May24 Apr22 Apr09 Mar30 Mar09 (bowman elex)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 50.00 5% 19.00    
10  TAPTAP Jul28 Jul07 Jun18 May28 Apr29 (pyke joseph)LIMA FELINO 117 4.00 6% 14.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.